Case todayNot read todayThesis-Break EngineThe case · mixed · Oct 15, 2026Own ROG if Rogers is a specialty-materials recovery story whose upside depends on proving that recent profit collapse is cyclical and operational, not a loss of design-in relevance.4 conditions1 strengthening · 1 holding · 2 weakeningNext resultsNot scheduledNo date filed yet

ROG at a glance

The past year

Chart

+52.1% $125.14, close Nov 13

From the highest close
−25.1%
Vs the 200-day average
−3.2%
Nov 12, 2025Daily close, RogersNov 13, 2026

Insider buying, 7 days

Filings

None filed this week

Form 4s filed
Nov 8 – Nov 14

Top investors

Funds

1 of 37 funds hold it

Ray Dalio
0.0%
Latest 13F filings
0 added · 1 cut

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

ROG price history

Latest price$125.63Today−$4.29 (-3.30%)
ROG -11.03%S&P 500 -2.05%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Rogers’ specialty-material design-ins must keep customers from migrating to cheaper commodity or competitor materials as end markets normalize.WeakeningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue remained sizable at $810.8 million in FY2025 despite a multi-year downturn. If design-in relevance holds, the revenue base can stabilize and recover; if customers redesign away, the business becomes a lower-quality cyclical materials supplier.

    Watch: Major OEMs or electronics customers qualify lower-cost substitutes from Panasonic, Isola, DuPont, 3M, AGC/Taconic, or local Asian suppliers in applications where Rogers was previously specified.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue remained sizable at $810.8 million in FY2025 despite a multi-year downturn.

    Open source ↗
  • Performance-critical material requirements must preserve Rogers’ premium mix and pricing power rather than forcing the company into commodity gross margins.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit was $256.8 million in FY2025, implying Rogers still generated meaningful gross profit on a reduced revenue base. Gross-margin resilience is the economic proof that customers value Rogers’ differentiation; sustained mix or price erosion would cap any recovery in earnings.

    Watch: Competitors win qualified sockets by offering equivalent performance at lower prices, forcing Rogers to discount to retain business.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit was $256.8 million in FY2025, implying Rogers still generated meaningful gross profit on a reduced revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • Rogers must restore manufacturing utilization and cost execution so specialty gross profit converts back into GAAP operating profit.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Rogers was GAAP operating-profitable in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, showing the model has previously converted revenue into operating income. The moat is not worth much to shareholders if fixed costs, under-absorption, yield issues, or restructuring consume the gross profit pool.

    Watch: Persistent plant underutilization indicates the manufacturing footprint is too large for the demand base.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Rogers was GAAP operating-profitable in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, showing the model has previously converted revenue into operating income.

    Open source ↗
  • Rogers’ balance sheet and cash generation must let it keep funding customer qualification, R&D, and operational fixes through the downturn without forced dilution or financial distress.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents increased to $197.0 million at FY2025 year-end from $159.8 million at FY2024 year-end. A strong cash position gives management time to repair operations; a liquidity squeeze would turn an operating recovery story into a financing-risk story.

    Watch: A large acquisition, restructuring program, legal settlement, or facility investment consumes cash before earnings recover.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents increased to $197.0 million at FY2025 year-end from $159.8 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Rogers’ specialty-material design-ins must keep customers from migrating to cheaper commodity or competitor materials as end markets normalize. If design-in relevance holds, the revenue base can stabilize and recover; if customers redesign away, the business becomes a lower-quality cyclical materials supplier.

Performance-critical material requirements must preserve Rogers’ premium mix and pricing power rather than forcing the company into commodity gross margins. Gross-margin resilience is the economic proof that customers value Rogers’ differentiation; sustained mix or price erosion would cap any recovery in earnings.

Rogers must restore manufacturing utilization and cost execution so specialty gross profit converts back into GAAP operating profit. The moat is not worth much to shareholders if fixed costs, under-absorption, yield issues, or restructuring consume the gross profit pool.

Rogers’ balance sheet and cash generation must let it keep funding customer qualification, R&D, and operational fixes through the downturn without forced dilution or financial distress. A strong cash position gives management time to repair operations; a liquidity squeeze would turn an operating recovery story into a financing-risk story.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Rogers is a specialty-materials recovery story whose upside depends on proving that recent profit collapse is cyclical and operational, not a loss of design-in relevance.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Rogers

Where the evidence on Rogers disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 1 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Performance-critical material requirements must preserve Rogers’ premium mix and pricing power rather than forcing the company into commodity gross margins.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rogers’ balance sheet and cash generation must let it keep funding customer qualification, R&D, and operational fixes through the downturn without forced dilution or financial distress.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Rogers’ specialty-material design-ins must keep customers from migrating to cheaper commodity or competitor materials as end markets normalize.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rogers must restore manufacturing utilization and cost execution so specialty gross profit converts back into GAAP operating profit.

    sec.gov ↗

Company research

Research on Rogers

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Rogers

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Rogers’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Rogers filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Rogers filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-19: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Rogers filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-07: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major OEMs or electronics customers qualify lower-cost substitutes from Panasonic, Isola, DuPont, 3M, AGC/Taconic, or local Asian suppliers in applications where Rogers was previously specified.
  • Competitors win qualified sockets by offering equivalent performance at lower prices, forcing Rogers to discount to retain business.
  • Persistent plant underutilization indicates the manufacturing footprint is too large for the demand base.
  • A large acquisition, restructuring program, legal settlement, or facility investment consumes cash before earnings recover.

ROG news

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Financial statements

ROG income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

ROG: quick answers

Which well-known investors own ROG?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported ROG shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

ROG in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported ROG shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$674K−64.3%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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