CTVA at a glance
The past year
Chart−85.8% $9.43, close Nov 13
- From the highest close
- −89.6%
- Vs the 200-day average
- −86.3%
Short interest
History51.0M shares
- Of shares outstanding
- 7.64%
- Since the last report
- +32.2%
- Days to cover
- 2.7 days
- Settled
- Oct 30, 2026
Congress and officials
Trades4 trades, 90 days
- Buys / sells
- 1 / 3
- Filers
- 2
Insider buying, 7 days
FilingsNone filed this week
- Form 4s filed
- Nov 9 – Nov 15
Top investors
Funds1 of 37 funds hold it
- Ray Dalio
- 0.1%
- Latest 13F filings
- 1 added · 0 cut
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
CTVA price history
Loading recent earnings…
Investment thesis
What must happen next
Corteva’s seed genetics, traits, and differentiated crop-protection products continue to create enough agronomic value that the company can defend pricing and mix against generic and branded competitors.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual gross_profit increased to $8.229 billion in FY2025 from $7.379 billion in FY2024. If this holds, Corteva can compound value even in a modest-growth crop-input market; if it breaks, revenue may hold for a time but margins and returns should compress.
Watch: Bayer, Syngenta, or BASF launch seed traits or crop-protection products that deliver visibly better farm economics and force Corteva to discount.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual gross_profit increased to $8.229 billion in FY2025 from $7.379 billion in FY2024.
Open source ↗The breadth of Corteva’s seed and crop-protection portfolio keeps farmer wallet share resilient through crop-price and product-cycle volatility.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue was $17.401 billion in FY2025, above $16.908 billion in FY2024. A resilient portfolio supports the argument that Corteva is more than a one-season ag-cycle trade; if resilience fails, earnings power becomes much more cyclical.
Watch: A prolonged downturn in farmer income reduces spending on premium seed traits and crop-protection applications.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue was $17.401 billion in FY2025, above $16.908 billion in FY2024.
Open source ↗Management’s operating discipline is improving cash conversion in a seasonal, inventory-heavy agricultural input business, giving Corteva more capacity to fund innovation and shareholder returns without stressing the balance sheet.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating_cash_flow rose to $3.406 billion in FY2025 from $2.145 billion in FY2024. If cash conversion is durable, the business can self-fund R&D, working capital, and capital returns; if it reverses, accounting earnings will overstate owner value.
Watch: Channel inventory builds ahead of demand, requiring extended payment terms or later destocking.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating_cash_flow rose to $3.406 billion in FY2025 from $2.145 billion in FY2024.
Open source ↗Corteva must translate operational improvement into per-share earnings, because the business has not yet proven that higher gross profit and cash flow consistently flow through to GAAP diluted EPS.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual eps_diluted improved to $1.60 in FY2025 from $1.30 in FY2024 and $1.03 in FY2023. Owners ultimately need per-share compounding, not just stronger revenue or gross profit; failure here would cap upside even if the operating franchise is healthy.
Watch: SG&A, R&D, litigation, restructuring, or regulatory costs absorb the benefit of stronger product mix and pricing.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual eps_diluted improved to $1.60 in FY2025 from $1.30 in FY2024 and $1.03 in FY2023.
Open source ↗Corteva’s liquidity gives it room to invest through agricultural downturns and product-cycle shocks rather than cutting back at the wrong point in the cycle.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Cash was $4.521 billion at FY2025 year-end, up from $3.106 billion at FY2024 year-end. A strong cash position lets the company protect R&D, seed production, and market access during weak farm cycles; if liquidity is consumed, strategic flexibility shrinks.
Watch: A large acquisition, litigation payment, environmental liability, or restructuring program materially consumes cash.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash was $4.521 billion at FY2025 year-end, up from $3.106 billion at FY2024 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
Loading the original research archive…
Original research
Corteva’s seed genetics, traits, and differentiated crop-protection products continue to create enough agronomic value that the company can defend pricing and mix against generic and branded competitors. If this holds, Corteva can compound value even in a modest-growth crop-input market; if it breaks, revenue may hold for a time but margins and returns should compress.
The breadth of Corteva’s seed and crop-protection portfolio keeps farmer wallet share resilient through crop-price and product-cycle volatility. A resilient portfolio supports the argument that Corteva is more than a one-season ag-cycle trade; if resilience fails, earnings power becomes much more cyclical.
Management’s operating discipline is improving cash conversion in a seasonal, inventory-heavy agricultural input business, giving Corteva more capacity to fund innovation and shareholder returns without stressing the balance sheet. If cash conversion is durable, the business can self-fund R&D, working capital, and capital returns; if it reverses, accounting earnings will overstate owner value.
Corteva must translate operational improvement into per-share earnings, because the business has not yet proven that higher gross profit and cash flow consistently flow through to GAAP diluted EPS. Owners ultimately need per-share compounding, not just stronger revenue or gross profit; failure here would cap upside even if the operating franchise is healthy.
Corteva’s liquidity gives it room to invest through agricultural downturns and product-cycle shocks rather than cutting back at the wrong point in the cycle. A strong cash position lets the company protect R&D, seed production, and market access during weak farm cycles; if liquidity is consumed, strategic flexibility shrinks.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its differentiated seed and crop-protection technology keeps commanding farmer spend while management converts that agronomic value into structurally higher gross margin and cash flow.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Corteva
Where the evidence on Corteva stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 14, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Corteva’s seed genetics, traits, and differentiated crop-protection products continue to create enough agronomic value that the company can defend pricing and mix against generic and branded competitors.
The breadth of Corteva’s seed and crop-protection portfolio keeps farmer wallet share resilient through crop-price and product-cycle volatility.
Management’s operating discipline is improving cash conversion in a seasonal, inventory-heavy agricultural input business, giving Corteva more capacity to fund innovation and shareholder returns without stressing the balance sheet.
Corteva must translate operational improvement into per-share earnings, because the business has not yet proven that higher gross profit and cash flow consistently flow through to GAAP diluted EPS.
Corteva’s liquidity gives it room to invest through agricultural downturns and product-cycle shocks rather than cutting back at the wrong point in the cycle.
Bear case: what would count against it
Bayer, Syngenta, or BASF launch seed traits or crop-protection products that deliver visibly better farm economics and force Corteva to discount.
A prolonged downturn in farmer income reduces spending on premium seed traits and crop-protection applications.
Channel inventory builds ahead of demand, requiring extended payment terms or later destocking.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in Corteva’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on Corteva, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Corteva.
- Analyst downgradecondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 12,641 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
- Late SEC filingcondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 4,811 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 12% over the next six months, and 52% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
- CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
- Sharp drawdowncondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 15,428 times before. Those stocks beat comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
Several kinds of break have stacked on Corteva at once. A cluster is a stronger read than any one signal alone.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedOther material event.
Corteva filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-13: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Corteva filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-07: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedMaterial modification to security holder rights.
Corteva filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-07: Material modification to security holder rights. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Bayer, Syngenta, or BASF launch seed traits or crop-protection products that deliver visibly better farm economics and force Corteva to discount.
- A prolonged downturn in farmer income reduces spending on premium seed traits and crop-protection applications.
- Channel inventory builds ahead of demand, requiring extended payment terms or later destocking.
- SG&A, R&D, litigation, restructuring, or regulatory costs absorb the benefit of stronger product mix and pricing.
- A large acquisition, litigation payment, environmental liability, or restructuring program materially consumes cash.
CTVA news
Loading headlines…
Financial statements
CTVA income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
CTVA: quick answers
- When does Corteva (CTVA) report earnings next?
- Corteva's next results are projected for February 2, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 12, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is CTVA's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 51.0M CTVA shares were sold short, 7.64% of its shares outstanding, up 32.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. CTVA short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded CTVA?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 4 trades in CTVA by 2 filers: 1 purchase and 3 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed CTVA trade
- Which well-known investors own CTVA?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported CTVA shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios
CTVA in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported CTVA shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.08% | $20.6M | New | Q2 2026 |

