Parker-Hannifin

PHNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$972.90
+$7.73 (+0.80%)Today 1M +0.27%
After hours$969.96−0.30%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$965.17
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$964.48–$980.10
Regular-session low and high so far today.
581.0K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 28 projected
Projected for 2027-01-28 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$806.22–$1,099.94
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PH if Parker-Hannifin turns engineered, mission-critical motion & control content and a sticky aftermarket into predictable cash and expanding margins, letting it compound EPS through pricing, mix, and disciplined M&A/capital returns.

PH price history

Latest price$972.90Today+$7.73 (+0.80%)
PH +0.97%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • A large, sticky aftermarket and installed-base service business will keep operating cash flow high and stable, insulating Parker from cyclical OEM new-build swings.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    operating_cash_flow rose each year: $2,980,000,000 (FY2023) -> $3,384,000,000 (FY2024) -> $3,776,000,000 (FY2025) -> $4,364,000,000 (FY2026), showing steadily improving cash generation. If aftermarket cash proves durable, shareholders get predictable free cash that funds buybacks/M&A and supports a higher multiple; if aftermarket declines, cash flow will become cyclical and valuation should fall.

    Watch: Large OEMs beginning to insource motion/control systems or consolidate suppliers, reducing long-term aftermarket share.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow rose each year: $2,980,000,000 (FY2023) -> $3,384,000,000 (FY2024) -> $3,776,000,000 (FY2025) -> $4,364,000,000 (FY2026), showing steadily improving cash generation.

    Open source ↗
  • Scale, engineering content and integration of acquisitions will keep operating income rising faster than revenue (operating leverage), supporting durable margin expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    operating_income increased from $4,347,000,000 (FY2025) to $5,068,000,000 (FY2026) while revenue grew from $19,850,000,000 to $21,499,000,000, indicating operating income grew faster than sales in the last year. If operating leverage continues, the company can grow EPS faster than revenue; if not, EPS upside tied to margin gains disappears and higher valuation is unjustified.

    Watch: Sustained commodity/labor inflation or warranty/recall costs that compress margins.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_income increased from $4,347,000,000 (FY2025) to $5,068,000,000 (FY2026) while revenue grew from $19,850,000,000 to $21,499,000,000, indicating operating income grew faster.

    Open source ↗
  • Electrification, automation and higher-content systems in transportation and industrial markets will drive above-market revenue growth by raising content-per-platform for Parker’s engineered systems.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Revenue rose to $21,499,000,000 in FY2026 from $19,850,000,000 in FY2025 (≈8.3% year-over-year growth), continuing a multi-year rise from earlier years. If secular trends translate into design wins, revenue growth and long-term share gains follow; if adoption stalls or competitors win designs, revenue growth will revert to end-market cyclicality.

    Watch: Slower-than-expected electrification or automation adoption by OEMs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue rose to $21,499,000,000 in FY2026 from $19,850,000,000 in FY2025 (≈8.3% year-over-year growth), continuing a multi-year rise from earlier years.

    Open source ↗
  • Disciplined capital allocation (accretive M&A and buybacks) will allow EPS to compound faster than revenue, leveraging operating cash flow into shareholder returns.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    eps_diluted increased from $10.09 (FY2022) -> $16.04 (FY2023) -> $21.84 (FY2024) -> $27.12 (FY2025) -> $28.48 (FY2026), outpacing revenue growth over much of the period. If capital allocation remains disciplined, shareholders benefit from higher EPS per share; if management overpays or takes on excessive leverage, EPS can be impaired despite healthy revenue.

    Watch: Aggressive acquisitions at high multiples that do not achieve synergy targets.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    eps_diluted increased from $10.09 (FY2022) -> $16.04 (FY2023) -> $21.84 (FY2024) -> $27.12 (FY2025) -> $28.48 (FY2026), outpacing revenue growth.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

A large, sticky aftermarket and installed-base service business will keep operating cash flow high and stable, insulating Parker from cyclical OEM new-build swings. If aftermarket cash proves durable, shareholders get predictable free cash that funds buybacks/M&A and supports a higher multiple; if aftermarket declines, cash flow will become cyclical and valuation should fall.

Scale, engineering content and integration of acquisitions will keep operating income rising faster than revenue (operating leverage), supporting durable margin expansion. If operating leverage continues, the company can grow EPS faster than revenue; if not, EPS upside tied to margin gains disappears and higher valuation is unjustified.

Electrification, automation and higher-content systems in transportation and industrial markets will drive above-market revenue growth by raising content-per-platform for Parker’s engineered systems. If secular trends translate into design wins, revenue growth and long-term share gains follow; if adoption stalls or competitors win designs, revenue growth will revert to end-market cyclicality.

Disciplined capital allocation (accretive M&A and buybacks) will allow EPS to compound faster than revenue, leveraging operating cash flow into shareholder returns. If capital allocation remains disciplined, shareholders benefit from higher EPS per share; if management overpays or takes on excessive leverage, EPS can be impaired despite healthy revenue.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Parker-Hannifin turns engineered, mission-critical motion & control content and a sticky aftermarket into predictable cash and expanding margins, letting it compound EPS through pricing, mix, and disciplined M&A/capital returns.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Parker-Hannifin

Where the evidence on Parker-Hannifin stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • A large, sticky aftermarket and installed-base service business will keep operating cash flow high and stable, insulating Parker from cyclical OEM new-build swings.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Scale, engineering content and integration of acquisitions will keep operating income rising faster than revenue (operating leverage), supporting durable margin expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Electrification, automation and higher-content systems in transportation and industrial markets will drive above-market revenue growth by raising content-per-platform for Parker’s engineered systems.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Disciplined capital allocation (accretive M&A and buybacks) will allow EPS to compound faster than revenue, leveraging operating cash flow into shareholder returns.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large OEMs beginning to insource motion/control systems or consolidate suppliers, reducing long-term aftermarket share.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained commodity/labor inflation or warranty/recall costs that compress margins.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Slower-than-expected electrification or automation adoption by OEMs.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Parker-Hannifin

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Parker-Hannifin’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

No assessed change was returned in this research window. That can reflect a quiet period or a coverage limit.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large OEMs beginning to insource motion/control systems or consolidate suppliers, reducing long-term aftermarket share.
  • Sustained commodity/labor inflation or warranty/recall costs that compress margins.
  • Slower-than-expected electrification or automation adoption by OEMs.
  • Aggressive acquisitions at high multiples that do not achieve synergy targets.

PH news

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Financial statements

PH income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PH: quick answers

When does Parker-Hannifin (PH) report earnings next?
Parker-Hannifin's next results are projected for January 28, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is PH's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 1.5M PH shares were sold short, 1.19% of its shares outstanding, up 3.1% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.0 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. PH short interest history
Have members of Congress traded PH?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 5 trades in PH by 2 filers: 2 purchases and 3 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed PH trade
Which well-known investors own PH?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PH shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

PH in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PH shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.05%$11.8M−43.6%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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