TeraWulf

WULFNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$13.36
+$0.80 (+6.37%)Today 1M −8.79%
After hours$12.96−2.99%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$12.56
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$13.00–$13.76
Regular-session low and high so far today.
48.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 25 projected
Projected for 2027-02-25 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$9.51–$29.84
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own WULF if that conversion produces cash before leverage, losses or dilution absorb the upside.

WULF price history

Latest price$13.36Today+$0.80 (+6.37%)
WULF -1.46%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Scarcity of U.S. power-ready digital infrastructure lets TeraWulf turn AI/HPC demand into contracted compute revenue rather than competing only as commodity capacity.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    The Item 1 profile describes TeraWulf as a vertically integrated owner, developer and operator of large-scale digital infrastructure in the United States, purpose-built for HPC workloads including AI, machine learning and advanced cloud applications. If true, revenue growth can become durable and contract-backed; if false, growth is just cyclical capacity sales with weak pricing power.

    Watch: Hyperscalers or established data-center operators secure enough utility-scale power and interconnection that TeraWulf's speed-to-power is no longer scarce.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    The Item 1 profile describes TeraWulf as a vertically integrated owner, developer and operator of large-scale digital infrastructure in the.

    Open source ↗
  • Vertical integration only creates value if TeraWulf's power procurement and facility operations preserve an energy-cost advantage as utilization rises.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit remained positive at $37.0 million in FY2023, $69.8 million in FY2024 and $66.0 million in FY2025. Gross spread is the bridge between owning infrastructure and earning economic returns; if power or facility costs rise faster than pricing, scale destroys value.

    Watch: Utility tariffs, curtailment rules, congestion charges or power-market volatility raise delivered energy cost faster than customer pricing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit remained positive at $37.0 million in FY2023, $69.8 million in FY2024 and $66.0 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The funded buildout is value-creating only if management converts the enlarged asset base into contracted, cash-generating capacity before operating burn becomes structural.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Cash increased from $274.1 million at FY2024 year-end to $3.27 billion at FY2025 year-end, giving the company runway to execute the buildout. A larger platform helps owners only if it produces cash returns, not if it merely increases capital intensity and funding needs.

    Watch: Construction delays, interconnection bottlenecks, permitting issues or customer deployment delays keep assets idle.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash increased from $274.1 million at FY2024 year-end to $3.27 billion at FY2025 year-end, giving the company runway to execute.

    Open source ↗
  • Equity holders need financing discipline: the HPC infrastructure option must accrue to common shareholders rather than to lenders, lessors or new share issuance.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Stockholders' equity remained positive at $140.4 million at FY2025 year-end. Even a valuable asset base can be a poor stock if the capital structure captures the economics before common shareholders do.

    Watch: Debt, lease or project-financing terms allocate most project economics to creditors or equipment financiers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Stockholders' equity remained positive at $140.4 million at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
  • The operating model depends on high utilization absorbing fixed site, development and corporate costs; if operating losses widen with scale, TeraWulf is buying growth without operating leverage.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    The company is described as a large-scale digital infrastructure owner, developer and operator, a model that should have meaningful fixed-cost absorption if utilization rises. Operating leverage determines whether infrastructure scarcity becomes per-share earnings power or merely a bigger revenue base with larger losses.

    Watch: HPC-grade operations require materially higher staffing, maintenance, cooling, security or service-level spending than the current platform can absorb.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    The company is described as a large-scale digital infrastructure owner, developer and operator, a model that should have meaningful fixed-cost.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Scarcity of U.S. power-ready digital infrastructure lets TeraWulf turn AI/HPC demand into contracted compute revenue rather than competing only as commodity capacity. If true, revenue growth can become durable and contract-backed; if false, growth is just cyclical capacity sales with weak pricing power.

Vertical integration only creates value if TeraWulf's power procurement and facility operations preserve an energy-cost advantage as utilization rises. Gross spread is the bridge between owning infrastructure and earning economic returns; if power or facility costs rise faster than pricing, scale destroys value.

The funded buildout is value-creating only if management converts the enlarged asset base into contracted, cash-generating capacity before operating burn becomes structural. A larger platform helps owners only if it produces cash returns, not if it merely increases capital intensity and funding needs.

Equity holders need financing discipline: the HPC infrastructure option must accrue to common shareholders rather than to lenders, lessors or new share issuance. Even a valuable asset base can be a poor stock if the capital structure captures the economics before common shareholders do.

The operating model depends on high utilization absorbing fixed site, development and corporate costs; if operating losses widen with scale, TeraWulf is buying growth without operating leverage. Operating leverage determines whether infrastructure scarcity becomes per-share earnings power or merely a bigger revenue base with larger losses.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

that conversion produces cash before leverage, losses or dilution absorb the upside.

Evidence assessed Nov 8, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Terawulf

Where the evidence on Terawulf disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 8, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Scarcity of U.S. power-ready digital infrastructure lets TeraWulf turn AI/HPC demand into contracted compute revenue rather than competing only as commodity capacity.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Vertical integration only creates value if TeraWulf's power procurement and facility operations preserve an energy-cost advantage as utilization rises.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Equity holders need financing discipline: the HPC infrastructure option must accrue to common shareholders rather than to lenders, lessors or new share issuance.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The funded buildout is value-creating only if management converts the enlarged asset base into contracted, cash-generating capacity before operating burn becomes structural.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The operating model depends on high utilization absorbing fixed site, development and corporate costs; if operating losses widen with scale, TeraWulf is buying growth without operating leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Terawulf

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

Loading the break-condition record for Terawulf.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Terawulf filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Terawulf filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Terawulf filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-23: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Hyperscalers or established data-center operators secure enough utility-scale power and interconnection that TeraWulf's speed-to-power is no longer scarce.
  • Utility tariffs, curtailment rules, congestion charges or power-market volatility raise delivered energy cost faster than customer pricing.
  • Construction delays, interconnection bottlenecks, permitting issues or customer deployment delays keep assets idle.
  • Debt, lease or project-financing terms allocate most project economics to creditors or equipment financiers.
  • HPC-grade operations require materially higher staffing, maintenance, cooling, security or service-level spending than the current platform can absorb.

WULF news

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Financial statements

WULF income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

WULF: quick answers

When does Terawulf (WULF) report earnings next?
Terawulf's next results are projected for February 25, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 6, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is WULF's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 122M WULF shares were sold short, 24.3% of its shares outstanding, down 4.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. WULF short interest history
Which well-known investors own WULF?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported WULF shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Lone Pine Capital (Stephen Mandel), 3.6%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

WULF in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported WULF shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Stephen MandelLone Pine Capital3.6%$596M+21.2%Q2 2026
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.01%$2.2M—Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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