Whirlpool

WHRNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the WHR thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$30.31
−$1.58 (−4.95%)Today 1M +5.13%

Updated Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

—
Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
—
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
—
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$31.89
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$29.82–$31.32
Regular-session low and high so far today.
2.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 27 projected
Projected for 2027-01-27 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$25.50–$94.82
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own WHR if operating-profit recovery converts into sustained free cash flow and revenue stabilization from winning product cycles and channel share.

WHR price history

LATEST PRICE$30.31TODAY−$1.58 (-4.95%)
WHR +5.06%S&P 500 -3.68%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

INVESTMENT THESIS

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Whirlpool's brand and retail/scale advantages will keep gross margins roughly stable through cyclical demand, protecting profits even if unit volumes fall.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    gross_profit remained around $3.17B (2023), $2.581B (2024) and $2.386B (2025) even as revenue declined, implying a roughly stable gross-margin level through the downturn (compare with revenue fields). If margins hold, the company can remain profitable through downturns and fund restructuring/innovation; if margins fall, profit recovery evaporates and leverage or cash will be pressured.

    Watch: Major retailers (e.g., losing placement or favoring lower-cost brands) reduce Whirlpool's shelf space or promotional support.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    gross_profit remained around $3.17B (2023), $2.581B (2024) and $2.386B (2025) even as revenue declined, implying a roughly stable gross-margin level.

    Open source ↗
  • The improvement in operating_income will only fund capex, deleveraging and buybacks if Whirlpool materially improves operating_cash_flow conversion via working-capital management; otherwise profit gains will not translate into shareholder value.HoldingMateriality: High

    operating_income rose to $838,000,000 in 2025 from $143,000,000 in 2024, showing operating-profit improvement. Operating-income alone can be ephemeral; true balance‑sheet repair and returns to shareholders require cash — failure to convert leaves leverage and liquidity constrained.

    Watch: Sustained retailer/distributor inventory build (weak sell-through) that increases days-inventory and receivable days, preventing cash conversion.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_income rose to $838,000,000 in 2025 from $143,000,000 in 2024, showing operating-profit improvement.

    Open source ↗
  • Revenue will only stabilize and re‑grow if Whirlpool wins new product cycles and regains or grows channel share in its core markets; absent these, structural replacement weakness and low-cost competition will leave top line depressed.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    revenue declined from $19.724B (2022) to $19.455B (2023) then to $16.607B (2024) and $15.524B (2025), demonstrating substantial top‑line pressure needing a demand/market-share remedy. Sustained EPS and cash growth require revenue stabilization — cost cuts can only offset so much; without unit/price growth the business will hit a ceiling.

    Watch: Prolonged housing-market weakness or consumer spending retrenchment that reduces replacement cycles.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    revenue declined from $19.724B (2022) to $19.455B (2023) then to $16.607B (2024) and $15.524B (2025), demonstrating substantial top‑line pressure needing.

    Open source ↗
  • Whirlpool's materially lower cash balance constrains aggressive capital returns or large strategic investments until operating_cash_flow and liquidity improve.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    cash fell to $669,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 from $1,958,000,000 in 2022 and $1,275,000,000 in 2024, reducing liquidity buffer. If cash stays low, management must prioritize liquidity and debt service over buybacks or big acquisitions; a recovery in cash changes capital-allocation outcomes for shareholders.

    Watch: Management executes large asset sale(s) or raises cash via financing/refinancing that materially increase liquidity.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    cash fell to $669,000,000 as of 2025-12-31 from $1,958,000,000 in 2022 and $1,275,000,000 in 2024, reducing liquidity buffer.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Whirlpool's brand and retail/scale advantages will keep gross margins roughly stable through cyclical demand, protecting profits even if unit volumes fall. If margins hold, the company can remain profitable through downturns and fund restructuring/innovation; if margins fall, profit recovery evaporates and leverage or cash will be pressured.

The improvement in operating_income will only fund capex, deleveraging and buybacks if Whirlpool materially improves operating_cash_flow conversion via working-capital management; otherwise profit gains will not translate into shareholder value. Operating-income alone can be ephemeral; true balance‑sheet repair and returns to shareholders require cash — failure to convert leaves leverage and liquidity constrained.

Revenue will only stabilize and re‑grow if Whirlpool wins new product cycles and regains or grows channel share in its core markets; absent these, structural replacement weakness and low-cost competition will leave top line depressed. Sustained EPS and cash growth require revenue stabilization — cost cuts can only offset so much; without unit/price growth the business will hit a ceiling.

Whirlpool's materially lower cash balance constrains aggressive capital returns or large strategic investments until operating_cash_flow and liquidity improve. If cash stays low, management must prioritize liquidity and debt service over buybacks or big acquisitions; a recovery in cash changes capital-allocation outcomes for shareholders.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

operating-profit recovery converts into sustained free cash flow and revenue stabilization from winning product cycles and channel share.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

BULL CASE / BEAR CASE

Bull case and bear case for Whirlpool

Where the evidence on Whirlpool disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 1 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Whirlpool's brand and retail/scale advantages will keep gross margins roughly stable through cyclical demand, protecting profits even if unit volumes fall.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The improvement in operating_income will only fund capex, deleveraging and buybacks if Whirlpool materially improves operating_cash_flow conversion via working-capital management; otherwise profit gains will not translate into shareholder value.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Whirlpool's materially lower cash balance constrains aggressive capital returns or large strategic investments until operating_cash_flow and liquidity improve.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Revenue will only stabilize and re‑grow if Whirlpool wins new product cycles and regains or grows channel share in its core markets; absent these, structural replacement weakness and low-cost competition will leave top line depressed.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Whirlpool’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Whirlpool, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Whirlpool.

peers+14%-15%-1%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -1% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+14% to -15%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Price target fell below the stockcondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 1,809 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Whirlpool filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-26: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. MIXED
    Director or principal officer change.

    Whirlpool filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-20: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Whirlpool filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

RISKS / FALSIFIERS

What could break the thesis

  • Major retailers (e.g., losing placement or favoring lower-cost brands) reduce Whirlpool's shelf space or promotional support.
  • Sustained retailer/distributor inventory build (weak sell-through) that increases days-inventory and receivable days, preventing cash conversion.
  • Prolonged housing-market weakness or consumer spending retrenchment that reduces replacement cycles.
  • Management executes large asset sale(s) or raises cash via financing/refinancing that materially increase liquidity.

WHR news

Loading headlines…

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

WHR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

WHR: quick answers

When does Whirlpool (WHR) report earnings next?
Whirlpool's next results are projected for January 27, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 26, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is WHR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 21.0M WHR shares were sold short, up 17.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.5 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. WHR short interest history
Have members of Congress traded WHR?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 3 trades in WHR by 1 filer: 2 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed WHR trade
Which well-known investors own WHR?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported WHR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Appaloosa (David Tepper), 0.4%. Fund portfolios

WHR in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported WHR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
David TepperAppaloosa0.36%$28.2M−63.3%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.