V2X

VVXNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$82.17
−$0.54 (−0.65%)Today 1M +15.02%
After hours$82.170.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$82.71
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$81.26–$82.99
Regular-session low and high so far today.
213.7K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 22 projected
Projected for 2027-02-22 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$50.89–$93.98
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own VVX if V2X converts a globally distributed, full-life‑cycle national‑security services footprint into repeatable revenue and improving margins by executing complex, in‑theatre contracts that are hard for generalist contractors to replicate.

VVX price history

Latest price$82.17Today−$0.54 (-0.65%)
VVX +18.74%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • V2X’s global, full‑lifecycle footprint and mission‑specialized capabilities produce repeatable contract wins and renewals that sustain revenue growth and reduce revenue volatility versus a non‑specialized competitor.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Revenue increased from 2,890,860,000 (2022) to 3,963,126,000 (2023) to 4,322,155,000 (2024) to 4,480,038,000 (2025). If true, revenue and backlog stay stable and the company retains pricing leverage; if false, revenue will be more contestable and growth will slow, pressuring the stock.

    Watch: Large competitor consolidation or teaming wins that capture multi‑theatre contracts, or government policy favoring small‑business set‑asides, which would reduce V2X's win rate.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue increased from 2,890,860,000 (2022) to 3,963,126,000 (2023) to 4,322,155,000 (2024) to 4,480,038,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
  • A shift in contract mix toward higher‑margin service lines and more favorable contract types (relative to cost‑plus work) will drive sustained increases in operating income and operating margins.HoldingMateriality: High

    Operating income rose from 55,771,000 (2022) to 124,416,000 (2023) to 159,204,000 (2024) to 194,270,000 (2025). If V2X can improve mix, operating leverage will lift profits and cash generation; if it cannot, margin gains will be transient and profits will be exposed to cost overruns.

    Watch: Widespread cost overruns or underestimating costs on firm‑fixed‑price projects (driver: estimating failure), which would reverse margin improvement.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating income rose from 55,771,000 (2022) to 124,416,000 (2023) to 159,204,000 (2024) to 194,270,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
  • Failures or material delays in ERP/IT integration or cybersecurity incidents will disrupt billing, collections and supply‑chain operations, causing operating cash‑flow volatility and margin pressure before GAAP profits necessarily show the full impact.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow fell from 254,237,000 (2024) to 181,992,000 (2025). If the ERP rollout and IT controls succeed, cash conversion stabilizes; if they fail or a cyber/CUI control issue occurs, the company faces billing delays, missed payments and contract remediation costs that erode cash and margins.

    Watch: A publicized, material ERP implementation failure or a cybersecurity/CUI control finding in a government audit that results in contract suspensions or remediation.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow fell from 254,237,000 (2024) to 181,992,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
  • A materially larger cash balance and positive equity provide capacity to fund working capital swings, invest in targeted acquisitions and absorb contract timing, supporting organic and inorganic growth without immediate equity dilution.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash increased from 72,651,000 (2023) to 268,321,000 (2024) to 368,994,000 (2025). If cash availability persists, management can invest to accelerate growth or shore up performance; if cash evaporates (from penalties, working capital, or acquisitions), the company may need dilutive funding or debt at worse terms.

    Watch: A large unexpected contract penalty, legal settlement, or a costly acquisition that consumes cash and increases leverage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash increased from 72,651,000 (2023) to 268,321,000 (2024) to 368,994,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

V2X’s global, full‑lifecycle footprint and mission‑specialized capabilities produce repeatable contract wins and renewals that sustain revenue growth and reduce revenue volatility versus a non‑specialized competitor. If true, revenue and backlog stay stable and the company retains pricing leverage; if false, revenue will be more contestable and growth will slow, pressuring the stock.

A shift in contract mix toward higher‑margin service lines and more favorable contract types (relative to cost‑plus work) will drive sustained increases in operating income and operating margins. If V2X can improve mix, operating leverage will lift profits and cash generation; if it cannot, margin gains will be transient and profits will be exposed to cost overruns.

Failures or material delays in ERP/IT integration or cybersecurity incidents will disrupt billing, collections and supply‑chain operations, causing operating cash‑flow volatility and margin pressure before GAAP profits necessarily show the full impact. If the ERP rollout and IT controls succeed, cash conversion stabilizes; if they fail or a cyber/CUI control issue occurs, the company faces billing delays, missed payments and contract remediation costs that erode cash and margins.

A materially larger cash balance and positive equity provide capacity to fund working capital swings, invest in targeted acquisitions and absorb contract timing, supporting organic and inorganic growth without immediate equity dilution. If cash availability persists, management can invest to accelerate growth or shore up performance; if cash evaporates (from penalties, working capital, or acquisitions), the company may need dilutive funding or debt at worse terms.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

V2X converts a globally distributed, full-life‑cycle national‑security services footprint into repeatable revenue and improving margins by executing complex, in‑theatre contracts that are hard for generalist contractors to replicate.

Evidence assessed Nov 9, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for V2X

Where the evidence on V2X stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • V2X’s global, full‑lifecycle footprint and mission‑specialized capabilities produce repeatable contract wins and renewals that sustain revenue growth and reduce revenue volatility versus a non‑specialized competitor.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A shift in contract mix toward higher‑margin service lines and more favorable contract types (relative to cost‑plus work) will drive sustained increases in operating income and operating margins.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Failures or material delays in ERP/IT integration or cybersecurity incidents will disrupt billing, collections and supply‑chain operations, causing operating cash‑flow volatility and margin pressure before GAAP profits necessarily show the full impact.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A materially larger cash balance and positive equity provide capacity to fund working capital swings, invest in targeted acquisitions and absorb contract timing, supporting organic and inorganic growth without immediate equity dilution.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large competitor consolidation or teaming wins that capture multi‑theatre contracts, or government policy favoring small‑business set‑asides, which would reduce V2X's win rate.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Widespread cost overruns or underestimating costs on firm‑fixed‑price projects (driver: estimating failure), which would reverse margin improvement.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A publicized, material ERP implementation failure or a cybersecurity/CUI control finding in a government audit that results in contract suspensions or remediation.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · V2X

No break has crossed V2X’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    V2X filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-02: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    V2X filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    V2X filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large competitor consolidation or teaming wins that capture multi‑theatre contracts, or government policy favoring small‑business set‑asides, which would reduce V2X's win rate.
  • Widespread cost overruns or underestimating costs on firm‑fixed‑price projects (driver: estimating failure), which would reverse margin improvement.
  • A publicized, material ERP implementation failure or a cybersecurity/CUI control finding in a government audit that results in contract suspensions or remediation.
  • A large unexpected contract penalty, legal settlement, or a costly acquisition that consumes cash and increases leverage.

VVX news

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Financial statements

VVX income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

VVX: quick answers

When does V2X (VVX) report earnings next?
V2X's next results are projected for February 22, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 2, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is VVX's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 2.1M VVX shares were sold short, 6.70% of its shares outstanding, down 13.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. VVX short interest history
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