V.F.

VFCNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$20.64
−$0.10 (−0.48%)Today 1M +38.27%
After hours$20.50−0.68%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$20.74
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$20.32–$20.83
Regular-session low and high so far today.
5.1M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 27 projected
Projected for 2027-01-27 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$12.46–$22.27
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own VFC if V.F. Corp is a levered brand-turnaround whose upside depends on Vans, The North Face and Timberland regaining consumer pull while cost actions and cash generation repair margins and the balance sheet.

VFC price history

Latest price$20.64Today−$0.10 (-0.48%)
VFC +30.67%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • VF’s leading outdoor and active brands must regain enough consumer relevance that wholesale partners and consumers pull product through at normal rates, rather than revenue being propped up by discounts or one-off channel fill.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY2026 GAAP annual revenue was $9.605 billion, up slightly from FY2025 GAAP annual revenue of $9.505 billion after prior declines. If brand demand is real, margin and cash recovery can compound; if it is not, operating leverage will reverse as promotions and lost shelf space return.

    Watch: Vans fails to regain cultural relevance with sneaker, skate and lifestyle consumers while Nike, Adidas, Converse or emerging direct-to-consumer brands take attention.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2026 GAAP annual revenue was $9.605 billion, up slightly from FY2025 GAAP annual revenue of $9.505 billion after prior declines.

    Open source ↗
  • Brand desirability and cleaner inventory must let VF sell product with less promotional pressure, so pricing and mix rather than only cost cutting drive gross margin recovery.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    FY2026 GAAP-derived annual gross_profit was $5.262 billion, up from $5.084 billion in FY2025. Gross margin is the first test of whether the brands still command premium economics; if discounting returns, the turnaround cannot generate durable earnings power.

    Watch: Retailers demand higher markdown allowances because VF product is not clearing at full price.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2026 GAAP-derived annual gross_profit was $5.262 billion, up from $5.084 billion in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The turnaround must convert stable sales and gross-margin improvement into operating leverage through disciplined SG&A, supply-chain execution and portfolio focus, without cutting product innovation and marketing so deeply that the brands weaken.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    FY2026 GAAP annual operating_income was $576.6 million, up from $303.8 million in FY2025. Equity value depends on recovering earnings power; if operating improvement is only temporary expense cuts, the business will lack the reinvestment needed to sustain brand demand.

    Watch: Marketing, design or product-development cuts impair newness and brand heat at Vans, The North Face or Timberland.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2026 GAAP annual operating_income was $576.6 million, up from $303.8 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • VF must use renewed operating cash generation to reduce balance-sheet risk, because high liabilities make the equity sensitive to refinancing costs and any relapse in cash flow.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities fell from $9.955 billion at FY2024 year-end to $7.890 billion at FY2025 year-end and $7.440 billion at FY2026 year-end. If cash repairs the balance sheet, more enterprise value can accrue to shareholders; if liabilities stay elevated, lenders and interest expense absorb much of the turnaround benefit.

    Watch: Management prioritizes dividends, buybacks or acquisitions before debt reduction is clearly secured.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities fell from $9.955 billion at FY2024 year-end to $7.890 billion at FY2025 year-end and $7.440 billion at FY2026.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

VF’s leading outdoor and active brands must regain enough consumer relevance that wholesale partners and consumers pull product through at normal rates, rather than revenue being propped up by discounts or one-off channel fill. If brand demand is real, margin and cash recovery can compound; if it is not, operating leverage will reverse as promotions and lost shelf space return.

Brand desirability and cleaner inventory must let VF sell product with less promotional pressure, so pricing and mix rather than only cost cutting drive gross margin recovery. Gross margin is the first test of whether the brands still command premium economics; if discounting returns, the turnaround cannot generate durable earnings power.

The turnaround must convert stable sales and gross-margin improvement into operating leverage through disciplined SG&A, supply-chain execution and portfolio focus, without cutting product innovation and marketing so deeply that the brands weaken. Equity value depends on recovering earnings power; if operating improvement is only temporary expense cuts, the business will lack the reinvestment needed to sustain brand demand.

VF must use renewed operating cash generation to reduce balance-sheet risk, because high liabilities make the equity sensitive to refinancing costs and any relapse in cash flow. If cash repairs the balance sheet, more enterprise value can accrue to shareholders; if liabilities stay elevated, lenders and interest expense absorb much of the turnaround benefit.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

V.F. Corp is a levered brand-turnaround whose upside depends on Vans, The North Face and Timberland regaining consumer pull while cost actions and cash generation repair margins and the balance sheet.

Evidence assessed Oct 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for V F

Where the evidence on V F stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • VF’s leading outdoor and active brands must regain enough consumer relevance that wholesale partners and consumers pull product through at normal rates, rather than revenue being propped up by discounts or one-off channel fill.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Brand desirability and cleaner inventory must let VF sell product with less promotional pressure, so pricing and mix rather than only cost cutting drive gross margin recovery.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The turnaround must convert stable sales and gross-margin improvement into operating leverage through disciplined SG&A, supply-chain execution and portfolio focus, without cutting product innovation and marketing so deeply that the brands weaken.

    sec.gov ↗

  • VF must use renewed operating cash generation to reduce balance-sheet risk, because high liabilities make the equity sensitive to refinancing costs and any relapse in cash flow.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Vans fails to regain cultural relevance with sneaker, skate and lifestyle consumers while Nike, Adidas, Converse or emerging direct-to-consumer brands take attention.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Retailers demand higher markdown allowances because VF product is not clearing at full price.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Marketing, design or product-development cuts impair newness and brand heat at Vans, The North Face or Timberland.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in V F’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on V F, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for V F.

peers+14%-15%-1%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -1% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+14% to -15%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Analyst downgradecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 12,641 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    V F filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    V F filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-20: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Vans fails to regain cultural relevance with sneaker, skate and lifestyle consumers while Nike, Adidas, Converse or emerging direct-to-consumer brands take attention.
  • Retailers demand higher markdown allowances because VF product is not clearing at full price.
  • Marketing, design or product-development cuts impair newness and brand heat at Vans, The North Face or Timberland.
  • Management prioritizes dividends, buybacks or acquisitions before debt reduction is clearly secured.

VFC news

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Financial statements

VFC income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

VFC: quick answers

When does V F (VFC) report earnings next?
V F's next results are projected for January 27, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 28, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is VFC's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 34.5M VFC shares were sold short, 8.77% of its shares outstanding, down 6.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.4 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. VFC short interest history
Have members of Congress traded VFC?
85 trades in VFC have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed VFC trade
Which well-known investors own VFC?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported VFC shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

VFC in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported VFC shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$390K−53.0%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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