United States Antimony

UAMYNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the UAMY thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$3.12
−$0.09 (−2.80%)Today 1M −12.77%
After hours$3.16+1.18%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$3.21
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$3.12–$3.32
Regular-session low and high so far today.
4.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$2.53–$12.64
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own UAMY if critical-mineral demand becomes profitable, cash-generating throughput rather than a commodity-price spike funded by dilution.

UAMY price history

Latest price$3.12Today−$0.09 (-2.80%)
UAMY -9.96%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Buyers seeking secure antimony supply will continue routing demand to UAMY’s Montana/Mexico mining, procurement, and processing footprint rather than relying solely on offshore supply.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $8.7 million in FY2023 to $14.9 million in FY2024 and $39.3 million in FY2025. If this holds, UAMY has a demand pull that can support scale; if it breaks, the company is just a small commodity processor with little pricing protection.

    Watch: Chinese, Russian, or other low-cost antimony supply becomes readily available to U.S. customers again, reducing the need for UAMY as a secure alternative.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $8.7 million in FY2023 to $14.9 million in FY2024 and $39.3 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • UAMY’s procurement and processing economics will remain favorable enough that higher antimony throughput produces positive direct margins instead of merely passing through commodity costs.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit improved from a loss of $3.3 million in FY2023 to positive $3.5 million in FY2024 and $9.9 million in FY2025. Revenue growth only creates value if ore procurement, smelting/refining yields, and product pricing leave a durable spread for shareholders.

    Watch: Ore and concentrate suppliers capture the scarcity economics through higher feedstock prices.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit improved from a loss of $3.3 million in FY2023 to positive $3.5 million in FY2024 and.

    Open source ↗
  • Higher utilization must absorb plant, technical, and corporate costs; otherwise UAMY’s strategic-mineral growth will not translate into GAAP operating profitability.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income was positive in FY2022 at $0.3 million, showing the business has at least once covered operating costs at smaller scale. This is the bridge from a good industry narrative to an investable business: without operating leverage, higher sales can still destroy value.

    Watch: Expansion spending, public-company costs, or management overhead continue rising faster than plant throughput.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income was positive in FY2022 at $0.3 million, showing the business has at least once covered operating.

    Open source ↗
  • UAMY must convert strategic demand into collected cash, not inventory and receivables, for the antimony growth cycle to become self-funding.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive $2.2 million in FY2024, indicating the business can generate cash in some conditions. If operating cash flow stays negative, owners face financing risk even if reported demand and gross profit look strong.

    Watch: Customers demand longer payment terms or delay acceptance of processed antimony products.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive $2.2 million in FY2024, indicating the business can generate cash in some conditions.

    Open source ↗
  • The balance sheet gives UAMY time to scale its antimony and zeolite operations, but that runway only creates value if it is spent on productive capacity rather than recurring losses.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $30.7 million at FY2025 versus $18.3 million at FY2024 and $12.0 million at FY2023. Cash and low apparent leverage can protect the company during ramp-up, but a long loss cycle would still erode per-share value.

    Watch: Capital projects or acquisitions consume cash before facilities demonstrate sustainable throughput and margins.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $30.7 million at FY2025 versus $18.3 million at FY2024 and $12.0 million at FY2023.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Buyers seeking secure antimony supply will continue routing demand to UAMY’s Montana/Mexico mining, procurement, and processing footprint rather than relying solely on offshore supply. If this holds, UAMY has a demand pull that can support scale; if it breaks, the company is just a small commodity processor with little pricing protection.

UAMY’s procurement and processing economics will remain favorable enough that higher antimony throughput produces positive direct margins instead of merely passing through commodity costs. Revenue growth only creates value if ore procurement, smelting/refining yields, and product pricing leave a durable spread for shareholders.

Higher utilization must absorb plant, technical, and corporate costs; otherwise UAMY’s strategic-mineral growth will not translate into GAAP operating profitability. This is the bridge from a good industry narrative to an investable business: without operating leverage, higher sales can still destroy value.

UAMY must convert strategic demand into collected cash, not inventory and receivables, for the antimony growth cycle to become self-funding. If operating cash flow stays negative, owners face financing risk even if reported demand and gross profit look strong.

The balance sheet gives UAMY time to scale its antimony and zeolite operations, but that runway only creates value if it is spent on productive capacity rather than recurring losses. Cash and low apparent leverage can protect the company during ramp-up, but a long loss cycle would still erode per-share value.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

critical-mineral demand becomes profitable, cash-generating throughput rather than a commodity-price spike funded by dilution.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for United States Antimony

Where the evidence on United States Antimony disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 1 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Buyers seeking secure antimony supply will continue routing demand to UAMY’s Montana/Mexico mining, procurement, and processing footprint rather than relying solely on offshore supply.

    sec.gov ↗

  • UAMY’s procurement and processing economics will remain favorable enough that higher antimony throughput produces positive direct margins instead of merely passing through commodity costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The balance sheet gives UAMY time to scale its antimony and zeolite operations, but that runway only creates value if it is spent on productive capacity rather than recurring losses.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Higher utilization must absorb plant, technical, and corporate costs; otherwise UAMY’s strategic-mineral growth will not translate into GAAP operating profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

  • UAMY must convert strategic demand into collected cash, not inventory and receivables, for the antimony growth cycle to become self-funding.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · United States Antimony

Loading the break-condition record for United States Antimony.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    United States Antimony filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-26: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    United States Antimony filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-02: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    United States Antimony filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-25: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Chinese, Russian, or other low-cost antimony supply becomes readily available to U.S. customers again, reducing the need for UAMY as a secure alternative.
  • Ore and concentrate suppliers capture the scarcity economics through higher feedstock prices.
  • Expansion spending, public-company costs, or management overhead continue rising faster than plant throughput.
  • Customers demand longer payment terms or delay acceptance of processed antimony products.
  • Capital projects or acquisitions consume cash before facilities demonstrate sustainable throughput and margins.

UAMY news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

UAMY income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.