Textron

TXTNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$85.94
−$0.88 (−1.01%)Today 1M +17.07%
After hours$85.940.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$86.82
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$85.32–$87.15
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.6M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 27 projected
Projected for 2027-01-27 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$71.87–$101.57
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TXT if Textron is a manufacturing-heavy aerospace & industrial conglomerate that generates steadily growing revenue and reliable cash from aircraft/parts and manufacturing programs; its value comes from stable program receipts, predictable aftermarket/service demand and disciplined cash.

TXT price history

Latest price$85.94Today−$0.88 (-1.01%)
TXT +13.45%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Textron’s aircraft/manufacturing programs and aftermarket demand provide enough backlog and recurring revenue to sustain positive top-line growth and keep revenue from collapsing in normal cycles.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Revenue increased from $12.869B (FY 2022) to $14.799B (FY 2025), showing multi-year growth rather than a single-year spike. If true, investors get steady growth and lower cyclicality; if false, revenue volatility will depress margins and cash, harming EPS and returns.

    Watch: A large customer (commercial airline or DoD prime) defers or cancels a material portion of deliveries/orders, creating visible backlog reductions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue increased from $12.869B (FY 2022) to $14.799B (FY 2025), showing multi-year growth rather than a single-year spike.

    Open source ↗
  • Textron reliably converts sales into operating cash flow, enabling internal funding of programs and shareholder returns without heavy new leverage.HoldingMateriality: High

    Operating cash flow has stayed in a roughly $1.0–1.6B range from FY 2022 through FY 2025 (1.498B in 2022. Sustained positive operating cash flow funds capex, working capital, dividends and buybacks; if conversion breaks, the company must cut returns or take on costly debt, harming per-share value.

    Watch: Major program cost overruns or supplier disruptions that increase working capital and push operating cash flow negative.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow has stayed in a roughly $1.0–1.6B range from FY 2022 through FY 2025 (1.498B in 2022.

    Open source ↗
  • Textron’s cash on hand and moderate liabilities give it flexibility to fund program development, opportunistic M&A, and shareholder returns without materially increasing financial risk.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash balances reported around $2.18B (2023), $1.441B (2024), and $2.025B (2025), indicating liquidity available for near-term needs. If balance-sheet flexibility holds, management can invest in product development and return cash without jeopardizing ratings; if broken, interest costs or forced deleveraging will compress margins and returns.

    Watch: A large, debt-financed acquisition or a major contract loss that forces substantial share issuance or borrowing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash balances reported around $2.18B (2023), $1.441B (2024), and $2.025B (2025), indicating liquidity available for near-term needs.

    Open source ↗
  • EPS growth will continue to outpace revenue growth because steady operations plus share count management and margin discipline will lift per-share earnings.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Diluted EPS rose from $3.30 (FY 2021) to $5.11 (FY 2025), showing sustained per-share improvement over multiple years. If true, shareholders benefit via rising EPS at a moderate valuation multiple; if false, EPS stagnates and the stock rerates lower.

    Watch: Share-count-increasing transactions (large equity raises) or prolonged margin compression from commodity/supply costs that remove operating leverage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Diluted EPS rose from $3.30 (FY 2021) to $5.11 (FY 2025), showing sustained per-share improvement over multiple years.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Textron’s aircraft/manufacturing programs and aftermarket demand provide enough backlog and recurring revenue to sustain positive top-line growth and keep revenue from collapsing in normal cycles. If true, investors get steady growth and lower cyclicality; if false, revenue volatility will depress margins and cash, harming EPS and returns.

Textron reliably converts sales into operating cash flow, enabling internal funding of programs and shareholder returns without heavy new leverage. Sustained positive operating cash flow funds capex, working capital, dividends and buybacks; if conversion breaks, the company must cut returns or take on costly debt, harming per-share value.

Textron’s cash on hand and moderate liabilities give it flexibility to fund program development, opportunistic M&A, and shareholder returns without materially increasing financial risk. If balance-sheet flexibility holds, management can invest in product development and return cash without jeopardizing ratings; if broken, interest costs or forced deleveraging will compress margins and returns.

EPS growth will continue to outpace revenue growth because steady operations plus share count management and margin discipline will lift per-share earnings. If true, shareholders benefit via rising EPS at a moderate valuation multiple; if false, EPS stagnates and the stock rerates lower.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Textron is a manufacturing-heavy aerospace & industrial conglomerate that generates steadily growing revenue and reliable cash from aircraft/parts and manufacturing programs; its value comes from stable program receipts, predictable aftermarket/service demand and disciplined cash.

Evidence assessed Nov 6, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Textron

Where the evidence on Textron stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 6, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Textron’s aircraft/manufacturing programs and aftermarket demand provide enough backlog and recurring revenue to sustain positive top-line growth and keep revenue from collapsing in normal cycles.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Textron reliably converts sales into operating cash flow, enabling internal funding of programs and shareholder returns without heavy new leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Textron’s cash on hand and moderate liabilities give it flexibility to fund program development, opportunistic M&A, and shareholder returns without materially increasing financial risk.

    sec.gov ↗

  • EPS growth will continue to outpace revenue growth because steady operations plus share count management and margin discipline will lift per-share earnings.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A large customer (commercial airline or DoD prime) defers or cancels a material portion of deliveries/orders, creating visible backlog reductions.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Major program cost overruns or supplier disruptions that increase working capital and push operating cash flow negative.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A large, debt-financed acquisition or a major contract loss that forces substantial share issuance or borrowing.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Textron

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Textron’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Textron filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Textron filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Textron filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A large customer (commercial airline or DoD prime) defers or cancels a material portion of deliveries/orders, creating visible backlog reductions.
  • Major program cost overruns or supplier disruptions that increase working capital and push operating cash flow negative.
  • A large, debt-financed acquisition or a major contract loss that forces substantial share issuance or borrowing.
  • Share-count-increasing transactions (large equity raises) or prolonged margin compression from commodity/supply costs that remove operating leverage.

TXT news

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Financial statements

TXT income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

TXT: quick answers

When does Textron (TXT) report earnings next?
Textron's next results are projected for January 27, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 29, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is TXT's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 7.3M TXT shares were sold short, 4.32% of its shares outstanding, down 2.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 4.2 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. TXT short interest history
Have members of Congress traded TXT?
13 trades in TXT have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed TXT trade
Which well-known investors own TXT?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TXT shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

TXT in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported TXT shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.02%$4.6M+1,130%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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