Twist Bioscience

TWSTNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$122.59
−$9.54 (−7.22%)Today 1M −17.31%
After hours$123.16+0.46%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$132.13
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$122.08–$151.50
Regular-session low and high so far today.
3.5M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Nov 13 projected
Projected for 2026-11-13 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$23.30–$219.71
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TWST if its silicon DNA synthesis factory turns biotech R&D outsourcing into high-margin growth before competitors commoditize the product or cash burn forces dilution.

TWST price history

Latest price$122.59Today−$9.54 (-7.22%)
TWST -18.18%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Pharma, biotech and synthetic-biology customers continue outsourcing complex DNA synthesis to Twist because a specialized high-throughput platform offers better speed, scale and make-or-buy economics than in-house synthesis or legacy providers.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue rose to $376.6 million in FY2025 from $313.0 million in FY2024, up about 20%. If outsourcing demand remains intact, revenue can keep compounding; if customers insource or switch, the utilization needed for margin expansion disappears.

    Watch: IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript matches Twist on turnaround time, sequence accuracy and price, causing customers to dual-source away from Twist.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue rose to $376.6 million in FY2025 from $313.0 million in FY2024, up about 20%.

    Open source ↗
  • Twist’s manufacturing learning curve and product mix continue to lower cost per delivered construct, so growth is not being bought through price cuts or inefficient production.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Estimated GAAP annual gross profit increased to $191.0 million in FY2025 from $133.3 million in FY2024, up about 43%, faster than revenue growth. This determines whether revenue growth creates economic value; without gross margin expansion, scale would not solve the profitability problem.

    Watch: IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript initiates a price war in synthetic genes, oligo pools or related NGS inputs that forces Twist to trade margin for volume.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Estimated GAAP annual gross profit increased to $191.0 million in FY2025 from $133.3 million in FY2024, up about 43%, faster.

    Open source ↗
  • The platform is moving past its heaviest investment phase, so incremental gross profit increasingly absorbs R&D and SG&A rather than requiring proportional increases in operating expense.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed to $136.3 million in FY2025 from $220.8 million in FY2024. Operating leverage is the bridge from an attractive technical platform to an investable business; if expenses scale with revenue, equity value remains dependent on external capital.

    Watch: Twist must add major manufacturing capacity, sales coverage or R&D programs before the existing platform reaches profitability.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed to $136.3 million in FY2025 from $220.8 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Narrowing burn and the remaining cash balance give Twist enough room to fund the profitability transition internally, limiting forced dilution or debt while the platform scales.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow improved to negative $47.6 million in FY2025 from negative $64.1 million in FY2024 and negative $142.5 million in FY2023. For shareholders, the same business progress is worth less if it requires repeated capital raises; cash burn determines whether operating gains accrue per share.

    Watch: Working-capital needs, inventory build or customer payment terms consume cash as revenue grows.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow improved to negative $47.6 million in FY2025 from negative $64.1 million in FY2024 and negative.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Pharma, biotech and synthetic-biology customers continue outsourcing complex DNA synthesis to Twist because a specialized high-throughput platform offers better speed, scale and make-or-buy economics than in-house synthesis or legacy providers. If outsourcing demand remains intact, revenue can keep compounding; if customers insource or switch, the utilization needed for margin expansion disappears.

Twist’s manufacturing learning curve and product mix continue to lower cost per delivered construct, so growth is not being bought through price cuts or inefficient production. This determines whether revenue growth creates economic value; without gross margin expansion, scale would not solve the profitability problem.

The platform is moving past its heaviest investment phase, so incremental gross profit increasingly absorbs R&D and SG&A rather than requiring proportional increases in operating expense. Operating leverage is the bridge from an attractive technical platform to an investable business; if expenses scale with revenue, equity value remains dependent on external capital.

Narrowing burn and the remaining cash balance give Twist enough room to fund the profitability transition internally, limiting forced dilution or debt while the platform scales. For shareholders, the same business progress is worth less if it requires repeated capital raises; cash burn determines whether operating gains accrue per share.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its silicon DNA synthesis factory turns biotech R&D outsourcing into high-margin growth before competitors commoditize the product or cash burn forces dilution.

Evidence assessed Oct 29, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Twist Bioscience

Where the evidence on Twist Bioscience stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 29, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Pharma, biotech and synthetic-biology customers continue outsourcing complex DNA synthesis to Twist because a specialized high-throughput platform offers better speed, scale and make-or-buy economics than in-house synthesis or legacy providers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Twist’s manufacturing learning curve and product mix continue to lower cost per delivered construct, so growth is not being bought through price cuts or inefficient production.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The platform is moving past its heaviest investment phase, so incremental gross profit increasingly absorbs R&D and SG&A rather than requiring proportional increases in operating expense.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Narrowing burn and the remaining cash balance give Twist enough room to fund the profitability transition internally, limiting forced dilution or debt while the platform scales.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript matches Twist on turnaround time, sequence accuracy and price, causing customers to dual-source away from Twist.

    sec.gov ↗

  • IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript initiates a price war in synthetic genes, oligo pools or related NGS inputs that forces Twist to trade margin for volume.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Twist must add major manufacturing capacity, sales coverage or R&D programs before the existing platform reaches profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Twist Bioscience’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Twist Bioscience, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Twist Bioscience.

peers+18%-17%+1%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical +1% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+18% to -17%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Sharp drawdowncondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 15,428 times before. Those stocks beat comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Twist Bioscience filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-19: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Twist Bioscience filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-19: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Twist Bioscience filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript matches Twist on turnaround time, sequence accuracy and price, causing customers to dual-source away from Twist.
  • IDT, Thermo Fisher or GenScript initiates a price war in synthetic genes, oligo pools or related NGS inputs that forces Twist to trade margin for volume.
  • Twist must add major manufacturing capacity, sales coverage or R&D programs before the existing platform reaches profitability.
  • Working-capital needs, inventory build or customer payment terms consume cash as revenue grows.

TWST news

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Financial statements

TWST income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

TWST: quick answers

When does Twist Bioscience (TWST) report earnings next?
Twist Bioscience's next results are projected for November 13, 2026, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on August 3, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is TWST's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 9.8M TWST shares were sold short, down 3.6% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 4.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. TWST short interest history
Have members of Congress traded TWST?
3 trades in TWST have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed TWST trade
Which well-known investors own TWST?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TWST shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: ARK Investment Management (Cathie Wood), 3.0%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

TWST in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported TWST shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Cathie WoodARK Investment Management3.0%$468M−28.3%Q2 2026
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.01%$1.9MNewQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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