Telephone and Data Systems
TDSNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $32.77 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $31.47–$32.75 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 1.3M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 19 projected Projected for 2027-02-19 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $30.71–$49.12 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own TDS if subscribers/ARPU and OCF hold, the company can fund dividends and modest growth, but the story is fragile to broadband share loss from cable/5G competitors.
TDS price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
TDS's subscription business (broadband/video/voice/wireless) will keep overall revenue roughly stable, because recurring connections and local incumbency limit churn and preserve ARPU in core markets.HoldingMateriality: High
Revenue has moderated but not collapsed: $1.355B (2023) -> $1.296B (2024) -> $1.228B (2025). If true, revenue stability protects cash flow and funds dividends/capex; if false, revenue declines will force deeper cuts, asset sales or impairments.
Watch: Sustained, multi-market broadband share gains by major cable operators (Charter/Comcast) or aggressive fixed-wireless rollout by Verizon/AT&T that materially increases churn or forces price cuts in TDS markets.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Revenue has moderated but not collapsed: $1.355B (2023) -> $1.296B (2024) -> $1.228B (2025).
Open source ↗TDS's operating cash flow is the business engine that will fund capex, dividends and balance‑sheet flexibility even as GAAP profits lag; maintaining OCF prevents forced asset sales.StrengtheningMateriality: High
Operating cash flow historically large: $1.141B (2023) and $1.145B (2024), and positive at $589.889M (2025) despite lower revenue. Strong OCF preserves strategic optionality and supports shareholder returns; sustained OCF erosion would force hard choices (debt, sell assets, cut dividends).
Watch: Structural subscriber losses or ARPU compression that materially reduce cash collection or increase working capital needs.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating cash flow historically large: $1.141B (2023) and $1.145B (2024), and positive at $589.889M (2025) despite lower revenue.
Open source ↗The trend of narrowing operating losses reflects the resolution of prior one-time charges and cost actions, so operating income will continue toward sustainable break-even/positive as those non-recurring items wind down.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Operating income improved materially: -$682.566M (2023) -> -$191.259M (2024) -> -$97.385M (2025). If operating_loss improvement is structural, GAAP profitability will follow and justify a higher valuation; if improvement is temporary, earnings will re-worsen when charges recur.
Watch: Recurrent impairment charges, regulatory penalties, or additional restructuring/transaction costs materializing in future periods.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating income improved materially: -$682.566M (2023) -> -$191.259M (2024) -> -$97.385M (2025).
Open source ↗TDS's cash and equity base provide balance-sheet optionality to invest in network, withstand competition pressure, and avoid distressed asset sales in the near term.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Cash rose to $765.952M at 12/31/2025 from $363.612M at 12/31/2024. If liquidity holds, management can prioritize strategic capex and dividends; if liquidity tightens, the company may be forced to cut returns or sell assets at poor prices.
Watch: Immediate large cash outflows from debt maturities or covenant breaches not covered by current liquidity, or material contingent liabilities disclosed.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash rose to $765.952M at 12/31/2025 from $363.612M at 12/31/2024.
Open source ↗The sharp revenue and asset swings since 2022 are primarily from portfolio and balance-sheet transactions (disposals/spin-offs) rather than pure operating collapse, so the post‑change business is smaller but more focused.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Assets fell from $14.55B (12/31/2022) to $8.135B (12/31/2023) and then show other large movements to $13.682B (12/31/2024) and $8.3983B (12/31/2025), paired with revenue falling from $5.413B (2022) to ~$1.23B (2025). If the declines stem from disposals, the remaining business can be judged on its own cash flow; if they reflect operating attrition, the core franchise is weaker than it appears.
Watch: Public disclosure that revenue declines were primarily due to sustained subscriber losses rather than divestitures.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Assets fell from $14.55B (12/31/2022) to $8.135B (12/31/2023) and then show other large movements to $13.682B (12/31/2024) and $8.3983B (12/31/2025).
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
TDS's subscription business (broadband/video/voice/wireless) will keep overall revenue roughly stable, because recurring connections and local incumbency limit churn and preserve ARPU in core markets. If true, revenue stability protects cash flow and funds dividends/capex; if false, revenue declines will force deeper cuts, asset sales or impairments.
TDS's operating cash flow is the business engine that will fund capex, dividends and balance‑sheet flexibility even as GAAP profits lag; maintaining OCF prevents forced asset sales. Strong OCF preserves strategic optionality and supports shareholder returns; sustained OCF erosion would force hard choices (debt, sell assets, cut dividends).
The trend of narrowing operating losses reflects the resolution of prior one-time charges and cost actions, so operating income will continue toward sustainable break-even/positive as those non-recurring items wind down. If operating_loss improvement is structural, GAAP profitability will follow and justify a higher valuation; if improvement is temporary, earnings will re-worsen when charges recur.
TDS's cash and equity base provide balance-sheet optionality to invest in network, withstand competition pressure, and avoid distressed asset sales in the near term. If liquidity holds, management can prioritize strategic capex and dividends; if liquidity tightens, the company may be forced to cut returns or sell assets at poor prices.
The sharp revenue and asset swings since 2022 are primarily from portfolio and balance-sheet transactions (disposals/spin-offs) rather than pure operating collapse, so the post‑change business is smaller but more focused. If the declines stem from disposals, the remaining business can be judged on its own cash flow; if they reflect operating attrition, the core franchise is weaker than it appears.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
subscribers/ARPU and OCF hold, the company can fund dividends and modest growth, but the story is fragile to broadband share loss from cable/5G competitors.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Telephone & Data Systems
Where the evidence on Telephone & Data Systems stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 25, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
TDS's subscription business (broadband/video/voice/wireless) will keep overall revenue roughly stable, because recurring connections and local incumbency limit churn and preserve ARPU in core markets.
TDS's operating cash flow is the business engine that will fund capex, dividends and balance‑sheet flexibility even as GAAP profits lag; maintaining OCF prevents forced asset sales.
The trend of narrowing operating losses reflects the resolution of prior one-time charges and cost actions, so operating income will continue toward sustainable break-even/positive as those non-recurring items wind down.
TDS's cash and equity base provide balance-sheet optionality to invest in network, withstand competition pressure, and avoid distressed asset sales in the near term.
The sharp revenue and asset swings since 2022 are primarily from portfolio and balance-sheet transactions (disposals/spin-offs) rather than pure operating collapse, so the post‑change business is smaller but more focused.
Bear case: what would count against it
Sustained, multi-market broadband share gains by major cable operators (Charter/Comcast) or aggressive fixed-wireless rollout by Verizon/AT&T that materially increases churn or forces price cuts in TDS markets.
Structural subscriber losses or ARPU compression that materially reduce cash collection or increase working capital needs.
Recurrent impairment charges, regulatory penalties, or additional restructuring/transaction costs materializing in future periods.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Telephone & Data Systems
No break has crossed Telephone & Data Systems’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedOther material event.
Telephone & Data Systems filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-02: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Telephone & Data Systems filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-07: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedCompleted an acquisition or disposition of assets.
Telephone & Data Systems filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-01: Completed an acquisition or disposition of assets. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Sustained, multi-market broadband share gains by major cable operators (Charter/Comcast) or aggressive fixed-wireless rollout by Verizon/AT&T that materially increases churn or forces price cuts in TDS markets.
- Structural subscriber losses or ARPU compression that materially reduce cash collection or increase working capital needs.
- Recurrent impairment charges, regulatory penalties, or additional restructuring/transaction costs materializing in future periods.
- Immediate large cash outflows from debt maturities or covenant breaches not covered by current liquidity, or material contingent liabilities disclosed.
- Public disclosure that revenue declines were primarily due to sustained subscriber losses rather than divestitures.
TDS news
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Financial statements
TDS income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
TDS: quick answers
- When does Telephone & Data Systems (TDS) report earnings next?
- Telephone & Data Systems's next results are projected for February 19, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 6, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is TDS's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 6.9M TDS shares were sold short, 6.77% of its shares outstanding, up 8.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. TDS short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded TDS?
- 2 trades in TDS have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed TDS trade
- Which well-known investors own TDS?
- 2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TDS shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Third Point (Dan Loeb), 5.0%; Oaktree Capital Management (Howard Marks), 2.7%. Fund portfolios
TDS in well-known investors’ portfolios
2 of 37 funds reported TDS shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan LoebThird Point | 5.0% | $232M | −4.9% | Q2 2026 |
| Howard MarksOaktree Capital Management | 2.7% | $196M | +23.1% | Q2 2026 |
