Teladoc Health

TDOCNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$8.94
$0.00 (0.00%)Today 1M +54.94%
After hours$8.81−1.46%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$8.94
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$8.83–$9.13
Regular-session low and high so far today.
3.5M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 24 projected
Projected for 2027-02-24 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$4.40–$9.89
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TDOC if it avoids payor-driven commoditization and large client losses.

TDOC price history

Latest price$8.94Today+$0.00 (+0.00%)
TDOC +55.21%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • An access-fee–heavy contract model (PMPM/PEPM) plus a very large member base gives Teladoc predictable, monetizable revenue that supports cross-sell and long-term revenue growth.HoldingMateriality: High

    Business disclosure: 83% of consolidated revenue derived from access fees (Item 1 Business). If true, revenue predictability enables targeted investments to raise ARPM and margins; if false, the business is exposed to payor price pressure and volatile visit-based revenue.

    Watch: Large payors or employers build or buy in-house virtual-care offerings and shift clients to lower-cost/visit-fee models (e.g., Optum/major payors replicating access).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Business disclosure: 83% of consolidated revenue derived from access fees (Item 1 Business).

    Open source ↗
  • Teladoc has begun to convert scale into materially smaller operating losses via cost reductions and integration synergies; continued execution will push operating income toward breakeven.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Operating income improved materially from -1,020,886,000 (2024) to -262,955,000 (2025) (operating_income fields). Sustained improvement in operating_income would validate the path to GAAP profitability and justify multiple expansion; reversal would keep the stock at a low valuation.

    Watch: New or renewed investments in growth, product or marketing that materially increase SG&A and erase the recent improvement.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating income improved materially from -1,020,886,000 (2024) to -262,955,000 (2025) (operating_income fields).

    Open source ↗
  • Teladoc reliably generates positive operating cash flow even while GAAP losses persist, which provides runway for reinvestment and reduces the necessity for near-term equity raises.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow has been positive and stable: 294,357,000 (2025), 293,680,000 (2024), 350,021,000 (2023) (operating_cash_flow fields). Positive operating_cash_flow lets the company invest in product and sales to lift utilization without immediate dilution; if cash generation reverses, financing/dilution risk rises sharply.

    Watch: Loss of a large client or sudden drop in utilization that reduces collections and pushes OCF negative.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow has been positive and stable: 294,357,000 (2025), 293,680,000 (2024), 350,021,000 (2023) (operating_cash_flow fields).

    Open source ↗
  • Teladoc’s liquidity (cash on hand) provides a meaningful but shrinking runway: cash supports operations today but must be preserved or augmented if profitability stalls.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents decreased from 1,298,327,000 (2024) to 781,084,000 (2025) (cash fields). Adequate cash limits the need for dilutive financings; declining cash amid no margin improvement forces trade-offs (cutbacks, asset sales, or raises).

    Watch: Large, near-term M&A deals, restructuring costs or unexpected settlements that consume cash.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents decreased from 1,298,327,000 (2024) to 781,084,000 (2025) (cash fields).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

An access-fee–heavy contract model (PMPM/PEPM) plus a very large member base gives Teladoc predictable, monetizable revenue that supports cross-sell and long-term revenue growth. If true, revenue predictability enables targeted investments to raise ARPM and margins; if false, the business is exposed to payor price pressure and volatile visit-based revenue.

Teladoc has begun to convert scale into materially smaller operating losses via cost reductions and integration synergies; continued execution will push operating income toward breakeven. Sustained improvement in operating_income would validate the path to GAAP profitability and justify multiple expansion; reversal would keep the stock at a low valuation.

Teladoc reliably generates positive operating cash flow even while GAAP losses persist, which provides runway for reinvestment and reduces the necessity for near-term equity raises. Positive operating_cash_flow lets the company invest in product and sales to lift utilization without immediate dilution; if cash generation reverses, financing/dilution risk rises sharply.

Teladoc’s liquidity (cash on hand) provides a meaningful but shrinking runway: cash supports operations today but must be preserved or augmented if profitability stalls. Adequate cash limits the need for dilutive financings; declining cash amid no margin improvement forces trade-offs (cutbacks, asset sales, or raises).

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

it avoids payor-driven commoditization and large client losses.

Evidence assessed Nov 8, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Teladoc Health

Where the evidence on Teladoc Health stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 8, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • An access-fee–heavy contract model (PMPM/PEPM) plus a very large member base gives Teladoc predictable, monetizable revenue that supports cross-sell and long-term revenue growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Teladoc has begun to convert scale into materially smaller operating losses via cost reductions and integration synergies; continued execution will push operating income toward breakeven.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Teladoc reliably generates positive operating cash flow even while GAAP losses persist, which provides runway for reinvestment and reduces the necessity for near-term equity raises.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Teladoc’s liquidity (cash on hand) provides a meaningful but shrinking runway: cash supports operations today but must be preserved or augmented if profitability stalls.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large payors or employers build or buy in-house virtual-care offerings and shift clients to lower-cost/visit-fee models (e.g., Optum/major payors replicating access).

    sec.gov ↗

  • New or renewed investments in growth, product or marketing that materially increase SG&A and erase the recent improvement.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Loss of a large client or sudden drop in utilization that reduces collections and pushes OCF negative.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Teladoc Health’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Teladoc Health, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Teladoc Health.

peers+15%-20%-2%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -2% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+15% to -20%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Teladoc Health filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Teladoc Health filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-25: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Teladoc Health filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-31: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large payors or employers build or buy in-house virtual-care offerings and shift clients to lower-cost/visit-fee models (e.g., Optum/major payors replicating access).
  • New or renewed investments in growth, product or marketing that materially increase SG&A and erase the recent improvement.
  • Loss of a large client or sudden drop in utilization that reduces collections and pushes OCF negative.
  • Large, near-term M&A deals, restructuring costs or unexpected settlements that consume cash.

TDOC news

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Financial statements

TDOC income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

TDOC: quick answers

When does Teladoc Health (TDOC) report earnings next?
Teladoc Health's next results are projected for February 24, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 28, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is TDOC's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 32.2M TDOC shares were sold short, 17.7% of its shares outstanding, up 0.4% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. TDOC short interest history
Have members of Congress traded TDOC?
29 trades in TDOC have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed TDOC trade
Which well-known investors own TDOC?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TDOC shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

TDOC in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported TDOC shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$100K+0.4%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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