Teradata

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THESIS ALERT

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$33.28
+$0.50 (+1.53%)Today 1M +7.16%
After hours$33.20−0.24%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$32.78
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$32.67–$33.55
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.3M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 9 projected
Projected for 2027-02-09 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$23.86–$41.78
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TDC if Teradata is a self-funded turnaround on whether its entrenched enterprise analytics customers migrate to Teradata’s cloud platform instead of defecting to Snowflake, Databricks, or hyperscaler-native data warehouses.

TDC price history

Latest price$33.28Today+$0.50 (+1.53%)
TDC +9.01%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Mission-critical enterprise analytics workloads and switching costs keep enough customers renewing or migrating within Teradata rather than using modernization projects to replatform elsewhere.WeakeningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue remained substantial at $1.663 billion in FY2025, showing Teradata still has a meaningful enterprise customer base. If this holds, Teradata can stabilize the revenue base and the equity can be valued as a durable cash-generative software business; if it fails, the business becomes a melting legacy vendor.

    Watch: Large enterprises standardize new analytics workloads on Snowflake instead of Teradata.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue remained substantial at $1.663 billion in FY2025, showing Teradata still has a meaningful enterprise customer base.

    Open source ↗
  • Teradata’s data-management software remains differentiated enough that cloud migration does not force a structurally lower gross-margin model.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit was $987 million in FY2025 on $1.663 billion of revenue, implying an approximately 59% gross margin. Durable gross margins allow even modest revenue stabilization to produce attractive earnings and cash flow; margin erosion would mean cloud growth is being bought at poor economics.

    Watch: Cloud infrastructure costs rise faster than Teradata can price its offerings.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit was $987 million in FY2025 on $1.663 billion of revenue, implying an approximately 59% gross margin.

    Open source ↗
  • Management can keep resizing the legacy cost base while funding cloud product investment, so the transition converts into operating income rather than simply protecting revenue at any cost.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income was $205 million in FY2025, nearly flat with $209 million in FY2024 despite lower revenue. This determines whether Teradata is a profitable transition story or a revenue-defense story that consumes shareholder value.

    Watch: Teradata must materially increase sales incentives, customer-success spending, or cloud R&D to defend against Snowflake and Databricks.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income was $205 million in FY2025, nearly flat with $209 million in FY2024 despite lower revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • Recurring renewals and enterprise collections keep Teradata cash-generative enough to fund the cloud transition without relying on external capital.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $305 million in FY2025, well above GAAP net income of $130 million. If cash generation holds, shareholders get time for the transition to work; if it breaks, strategic flexibility and valuation support deteriorate quickly.

    Watch: Customers shorten contract duration or move to consumption models that reduce upfront billings.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $305 million in FY2025, well above GAAP net income of $130 million.

    Open source ↗
  • Teradata’s cash balance gives management a runway to complete the cloud transition, but the liability-heavy balance sheet leaves limited room for a prolonged competitive stumble.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $493 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $420 million at FY2024 year-end. Liquidity supports patience and potential capital returns; a balance-sheet squeeze would turn an operating turnaround into a financial-risk story.

    Watch: A major restructuring, acquisition, or accelerated cloud infrastructure commitment consumes cash before revenue stabilizes.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $493 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $420 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Mission-critical enterprise analytics workloads and switching costs keep enough customers renewing or migrating within Teradata rather than using modernization projects to replatform elsewhere. If this holds, Teradata can stabilize the revenue base and the equity can be valued as a durable cash-generative software business; if it fails, the business becomes a melting legacy vendor.

Teradata’s data-management software remains differentiated enough that cloud migration does not force a structurally lower gross-margin model. Durable gross margins allow even modest revenue stabilization to produce attractive earnings and cash flow; margin erosion would mean cloud growth is being bought at poor economics.

Management can keep resizing the legacy cost base while funding cloud product investment, so the transition converts into operating income rather than simply protecting revenue at any cost. This determines whether Teradata is a profitable transition story or a revenue-defense story that consumes shareholder value.

Recurring renewals and enterprise collections keep Teradata cash-generative enough to fund the cloud transition without relying on external capital. If cash generation holds, shareholders get time for the transition to work; if it breaks, strategic flexibility and valuation support deteriorate quickly.

Teradata’s cash balance gives management a runway to complete the cloud transition, but the liability-heavy balance sheet leaves limited room for a prolonged competitive stumble. Liquidity supports patience and potential capital returns; a balance-sheet squeeze would turn an operating turnaround into a financial-risk story.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Teradata is a self-funded turnaround on whether its entrenched enterprise analytics customers migrate to Teradata’s cloud platform instead of defecting to Snowflake, Databricks, or hyperscaler-native data warehouses.

Evidence assessed Nov 6, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Teradata

Where the evidence on Teradata disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 6, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 3 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Teradata’s data-management software remains differentiated enough that cloud migration does not force a structurally lower gross-margin model.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management can keep resizing the legacy cost base while funding cloud product investment, so the transition converts into operating income rather than simply protecting revenue at any cost.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Recurring renewals and enterprise collections keep Teradata cash-generative enough to fund the cloud transition without relying on external capital.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Teradata’s cash balance gives management a runway to complete the cloud transition, but the liability-heavy balance sheet leaves limited room for a prolonged competitive stumble.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Mission-critical enterprise analytics workloads and switching costs keep enough customers renewing or migrating within Teradata rather than using modernization projects to replatform elsewhere.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Teradata

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Teradata’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Teradata filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Teradata filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-17: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Teradata filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large enterprises standardize new analytics workloads on Snowflake instead of Teradata.
  • Cloud infrastructure costs rise faster than Teradata can price its offerings.
  • Teradata must materially increase sales incentives, customer-success spending, or cloud R&D to defend against Snowflake and Databricks.
  • Customers shorten contract duration or move to consumption models that reduce upfront billings.
  • A major restructuring, acquisition, or accelerated cloud infrastructure commitment consumes cash before revenue stabilizes.

TDC news

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Financial statements

TDC income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

TDC: quick answers

When does Teradata (TDC) report earnings next?
Teradata's next results are projected for February 9, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is TDC's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 13.6M TDC shares were sold short, 14.9% of its shares outstanding, down 9.5% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 8.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. TDC short interest history
Have members of Congress traded TDC?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in TDC by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed TDC trade
Which well-known investors own TDC?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TDC shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

TDC in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported TDC shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.01%$1.8M−68.1%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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