Taboola.com

TBLANASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$2.05
+$0.03 (+1.49%)Today 1M −41.45%
After hours$2.04−0.31%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$2.02
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$2.00–$2.07
Regular-session low and high so far today.
2.6M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$1.92–$5.71
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TBLA if sustained—convert steady revenue growth into improving margins and cash flow.

TBLA price history

Latest price$2.05Today+$0.03 (+1.49%)
TBLA -39.79%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Taboola’s scale in publisher inventory and recommendation algorithms preserve advertiser ROI and publisher monetization, which keeps demand and revenue growing.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Revenue rose year‑over‑year from $1,439,685,000 (2023) to $1,766,220,000 (2024) to $1,912,040,000 (2025), showing sustained top‑line expansion. If true, revenue growth continues and supports margin expansion; if false, revenue will stall as advertisers reallocate spend to platforms with better ROI.

    Watch: Large advertisers shift budgets back to Meta/Google or toward connected TV, reducing demand for open‑web recommendation inventory.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue rose year‑over‑year from $1,439,685,000 (2023) to $1,766,220,000 (2024) to $1,912,040,000 (2025), showing sustained top‑line expansion.

    Open source ↗
  • Technology-driven matching and scale let Taboola sustain positive gross margins (publishers receive a share but Taboola retains a spread), so rising ad spend translates into gross profit growth rather than only higher payouts.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Gross profit increased from $425,558,000 (2023) to $534,218,000 (2024) to $569,510,000 (2025), indicating monetization scale improved absolute profit. If gross margin resilience holds, revenue growth converts to operating profit; if payouts or traffic acquisition costs rise, gross profit will compress and operating leverage evaporates.

    Watch: Publishers demand higher revenue share or negotiated raises in payout rates, compressing Taboola’s take.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Gross profit increased from $425,558,000 (2023) to $534,218,000 (2024) to $569,510,000 (2025), indicating monetization scale improved absolute profit.

    Open source ↗
  • Taboola can convert revenue and gross‑profit growth into recurring operating profits because operating expense growth is controllable and benefits from scale.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Operating income improved from a loss of $63,737,000 (2023) to positive $25,917,000 (2024) and $44,057,000 (2025), showing operating leverage emerging. Operating leverage turning positive is what makes earnings and FCF scale with revenue; if operating costs must rise to defend share, margins will stall and returns fall.

    Watch: Management increases S&M or R&D spending materially to defend or grow share (outpacing revenue), eliminating operating leverage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating income improved from a loss of $63,737,000 (2023) to positive $25,917,000 (2024) and $44,057,000 (2025), showing operating leverage emerging.

    Open source ↗
  • Taboola’s business converts accounting profits into operating cash flow at scale, providing funding optionality for buybacks, debt paydown or product investment.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow rose from $84,373,000 (2023) to $184,331,000 (2024) to $208,364,000 (2025), indicating improving cash conversion. Strong cash conversion lowers financing risk and supports shareholder returns; if cash conversion weakens, reported profits may be less valuable.

    Watch: Receivables or working capital build increase, reversing cash conversion.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow rose from $84,373,000 (2023) to $184,331,000 (2024) to $208,364,000 (2025), indicating improving cash conversion.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Taboola’s scale in publisher inventory and recommendation algorithms preserve advertiser ROI and publisher monetization, which keeps demand and revenue growing. If true, revenue growth continues and supports margin expansion; if false, revenue will stall as advertisers reallocate spend to platforms with better ROI.

Technology-driven matching and scale let Taboola sustain positive gross margins (publishers receive a share but Taboola retains a spread), so rising ad spend translates into gross profit growth rather than only higher payouts. If gross margin resilience holds, revenue growth converts to operating profit; if payouts or traffic acquisition costs rise, gross profit will compress and operating leverage evaporates.

Taboola can convert revenue and gross‑profit growth into recurring operating profits because operating expense growth is controllable and benefits from scale. Operating leverage turning positive is what makes earnings and FCF scale with revenue; if operating costs must rise to defend share, margins will stall and returns fall.

Taboola’s business converts accounting profits into operating cash flow at scale, providing funding optionality for buybacks, debt paydown or product investment. Strong cash conversion lowers financing risk and supports shareholder returns; if cash conversion weakens, reported profits may be less valuable.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

sustained—convert steady revenue growth into improving margins and cash flow.

Evidence assessed Nov 9, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Taboola.com

Where the evidence on Taboola.com stands: Strengthening on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 4 strengthening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Taboola’s scale in publisher inventory and recommendation algorithms preserve advertiser ROI and publisher monetization, which keeps demand and revenue growing.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Technology-driven matching and scale let Taboola sustain positive gross margins (publishers receive a share but Taboola retains a spread), so rising ad spend translates into gross profit growth rather than only higher payouts.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Taboola can convert revenue and gross‑profit growth into recurring operating profits because operating expense growth is controllable and benefits from scale.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Taboola’s business converts accounting profits into operating cash flow at scale, providing funding optionality for buybacks, debt paydown or product investment.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large advertisers shift budgets back to Meta/Google or toward connected TV, reducing demand for open‑web recommendation inventory.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Publishers demand higher revenue share or negotiated raises in payout rates, compressing Taboola’s take.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management increases S&M or R&D spending materially to defend or grow share (outpacing revenue), eliminating operating leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Taboola.com

Loading the break-condition record for Taboola.com.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Taboola.com filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Taboola.com filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Taboola.com filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large advertisers shift budgets back to Meta/Google or toward connected TV, reducing demand for open‑web recommendation inventory.
  • Publishers demand higher revenue share or negotiated raises in payout rates, compressing Taboola’s take.
  • Management increases S&M or R&D spending materially to defend or grow share (outpacing revenue), eliminating operating leverage.
  • Receivables or working capital build increase, reversing cash conversion.

TBLA news

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Financial statements

TBLA income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

TBLA: quick answers

Which well-known investors own TBLA?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported TBLA shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: ARK Investment Management (Cathie Wood), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

TBLA in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported TBLA shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Cathie WoodARK Investment Management0.02%$3.0M+14.9%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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