Tantech Holdings

TANHNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$40.00
+$9.44 (+30.89%)Today 1M +135.16%
After hours$36.15−9.63%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$30.56
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$32.94–$43.72
Regular-session low and high so far today.
173.5K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$8.01–$60.00
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own TANH if Tantech is a speculative balance-sheet-backed turnaround whose value depends on proving its Zhejiang industrial-organic-chemical manufacturing niche can regain positive margins and cash generation before reported cash is consumed.

TANH price history

Latest price$40.00Today+$9.44 (+30.89%)
TANH +135.37%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Customer demand for Tantech’s industrial organic-chemical products must stop migrating to competitors or substitutes, because the manufacturing base cannot create value if volume keeps leaking.WeakeningMateriality: High

    FY2025 annual GAAP revenue was $38.4 million, showing the company still has a commercial revenue base. If demand stabilizes, the company has a base from which to rebuild utilization and margins; if it keeps eroding, the balance sheet becomes a shrinking cash cushion rather than an operating asset.

    Watch: PRC industrial-chemical buyers shift orders to lower-priced local manufacturers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP revenue was $38.4 million, showing the company still has a commercial revenue base.

    Open source ↗
  • The company must retain enough pricing and input-cost discipline for its products not to become commoditized manufacturing volume with little economic spread.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY2025 annual GAAP gross profit remained positive at $7.1 million. Positive gross economics are the first proof that demand is worth serving; if price competition or input costs compress gross profit, any revenue recovery could still destroy value.

    Watch: Chinese chemical or materials competitors force price cuts to defend volume.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP gross profit remained positive at $7.1 million.

    Open source ↗
  • Management must repair the fixed-cost and overhead structure so the manufacturing operation can return to positive operating profit rather than letting lower utilization turn gross profit into operating losses.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating_income was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024 at $5.9 million, $3.7 million, and $4.0 million, respectively. A gross-profit business is not investable if corporate costs, plant underutilization, impairments, or restructuring absorb all of the economics.

    Watch: Management keeps loss-making production lines open despite weaker demand.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating_income was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024 at $5.9 million, $3.7 million, and $4.0 million, respectively.

    Open source ↗
  • The company must restore working-capital discipline and real cash conversion, because accounting recovery without collections and inventory control will still consume the turnaround runway.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating_cash_flow was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024 at $8.3 million, $5.3 million, and $5.4 million, respectively. Operating cash flow determines whether the business funds itself or needs outside capital that could dilute owners.

    Watch: Receivables stretch as customers delay payment or distributors lose sell-through.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating_cash_flow was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024 at $8.3 million, $5.3 million, and $5.4 million, respectively.

    Open source ↗
  • The reported cash balance must remain accessible and be used to buy time for a disciplined turnaround, not consumed by operating losses, acquisitions, related-party uses, or emergency financings.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 year-end GAAP cash was $33.0 million. Cash is the main downside protection in the current evidence set; if it is not durable or accessible, the turnaround has little margin of safety.

    Watch: Cash is trapped in PRC subsidiaries or otherwise not practically available to public shareholders.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 year-end GAAP cash was $33.0 million.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Customer demand for Tantech’s industrial organic-chemical products must stop migrating to competitors or substitutes, because the manufacturing base cannot create value if volume keeps leaking. If demand stabilizes, the company has a base from which to rebuild utilization and margins; if it keeps eroding, the balance sheet becomes a shrinking cash cushion rather than an operating asset.

The company must retain enough pricing and input-cost discipline for its products not to become commoditized manufacturing volume with little economic spread. Positive gross economics are the first proof that demand is worth serving; if price competition or input costs compress gross profit, any revenue recovery could still destroy value.

Management must repair the fixed-cost and overhead structure so the manufacturing operation can return to positive operating profit rather than letting lower utilization turn gross profit into operating losses. A gross-profit business is not investable if corporate costs, plant underutilization, impairments, or restructuring absorb all of the economics.

The company must restore working-capital discipline and real cash conversion, because accounting recovery without collections and inventory control will still consume the turnaround runway. Operating cash flow determines whether the business funds itself or needs outside capital that could dilute owners.

The reported cash balance must remain accessible and be used to buy time for a disciplined turnaround, not consumed by operating losses, acquisitions, related-party uses, or emergency financings. Cash is the main downside protection in the current evidence set; if it is not durable or accessible, the turnaround has little margin of safety.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Tantech is a speculative balance-sheet-backed turnaround whose value depends on proving its Zhejiang industrial-organic-chemical manufacturing niche can regain positive margins and cash generation before reported cash is consumed.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Tantech Holdings

Where the evidence on Tantech Holdings disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 holding and 3 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • The company must retain enough pricing and input-cost discipline for its products not to become commoditized manufacturing volume with little economic spread.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The reported cash balance must remain accessible and be used to buy time for a disciplined turnaround, not consumed by operating losses, acquisitions, related-party uses, or emergency financings.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Customer demand for Tantech’s industrial organic-chemical products must stop migrating to competitors or substitutes, because the manufacturing base cannot create value if volume keeps leaking.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management must repair the fixed-cost and overhead structure so the manufacturing operation can return to positive operating profit rather than letting lower utilization turn gross profit into operating losses.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company must restore working-capital discipline and real cash conversion, because accounting recovery without collections and inventory control will still consume the turnaround runway.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Tantech Holdings

Loading the break-condition record for Tantech Holdings.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER.

    Tantech Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-10-02: REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Tantech Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-09-24: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Tantech Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-09-01: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • PRC industrial-chemical buyers shift orders to lower-priced local manufacturers.
  • Chinese chemical or materials competitors force price cuts to defend volume.
  • Management keeps loss-making production lines open despite weaker demand.
  • Receivables stretch as customers delay payment or distributors lose sell-through.
  • Cash is trapped in PRC subsidiaries or otherwise not practically available to public shareholders.

TANH news

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Financial statements

TANH income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

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