StoneCo
STNENASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $7.67 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $7.79–$8.06 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 5.1M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $7.06–$18.19 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own STNE if StoneCo is a bet that its Brazilian merchant ecosystem can turn payments relationships into durable, risk-adjusted financial-services profits rather than another commoditized acquiring business.
STNE price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
StoneCo’s local service-led merchant platform must remain differentiated enough for Brazilian SMBs to keep choosing it over bank acquirers, PagSeguro/PagBank, Mercado Pago, Nubank and pure Pix acceptance; otherwise payment economics commoditize before scale can matter.HoldingMateriality: High
FY2023 IFRS annual net_income was BRL 1.600 billion, showing the model can produce accounting profit after prior losses. If merchant differentiation holds, StoneCo can monetize the relationship beyond basic acquiring; if it breaks, the business becomes a lower-margin processor with limited pricing power.
Watch: PagSeguro/PagBank or Mercado Pago matching StoneCo’s service proposition while pricing acquiring and banking more aggressively for SMBs.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
FY2023 IFRS annual net_income was BRL 1.600 billion, showing the model can produce accounting profit after prior losses.
Open source ↗Merchant credit, prepayment and other financial-services products should deepen StoneCo’s relationship only if underwriting and funding discipline keep working capital from becoming a cash drain; a renewed credit-cycle mistake would break the ecosystem economics.WeakeningMateriality: High
IFRS annual operating_cash_flow was positive in FY2021 at BRL 3.607 billion, FY2022 at BRL 1.684 billion and FY2023 at BRL 1.648 billion. This determines whether financial services are a profit pool attached to payments or a recurring source of losses and liquidity pressure.
Watch: Brazilian SMB credit losses rising faster than pricing or collateral coverage in StoneCo’s merchant credit and prepayment products.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
IFRS annual operating_cash_flow was positive in FY2021 at BRL 3.607 billion, FY2022 at BRL 1.684 billion and FY2023 at BRL.
Open source ↗StoneCo’s ability to fund settlement, receivables prepayment, merchant banking balances and credit through volatile Brazilian cycles is a prerequisite to competing; if funding becomes confidence-sensitive or structurally more expensive, rivals with larger deposit bases can erode its offer.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Cash was BRL 5.228 billion at FY2024 year-end, up from BRL 2.176 billion at FY2023 year-end. Liquidity strength lets StoneCo stay in the market when merchants need financing; liquidity stress would force retreat or margin-sacrificing funding.
Watch: A Brazilian funding shock that raises StoneCo’s cost of capital relative to bank-owned acquirers and deposit-rich fintechs.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash was BRL 5.228 billion at FY2024 year-end, up from BRL 2.176 billion at FY2023 year-end.
Open source ↗The payments base must support higher-value software, banking and financial-services cross-sell without proportional servicing, technology and risk costs; if cross-sell adds complexity rather than wallet share, per-share earnings will remain volatile.HoldingMateriality: Medium
FY2023 IFRS annual eps_diluted was BRL 4.74, recovering from a FY2022 loss of BRL 1.67 per diluted share. This is the route from a merchant relationship to shareholder compounding; without operating leverage, growth may not create per-share value.
Watch: Vertical software providers or embedded-payment platforms capturing merchant workflow before StoneCo can attach its own software and banking products.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
FY2023 IFRS annual eps_diluted was BRL 4.74, recovering from a FY2022 loss of BRL 1.67 per diluted share.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
StoneCo’s local service-led merchant platform must remain differentiated enough for Brazilian SMBs to keep choosing it over bank acquirers, PagSeguro/PagBank, Mercado Pago, Nubank and pure Pix acceptance; otherwise payment economics commoditize before scale can matter. If merchant differentiation holds, StoneCo can monetize the relationship beyond basic acquiring; if it breaks, the business becomes a lower-margin processor with limited pricing power.
Merchant credit, prepayment and other financial-services products should deepen StoneCo’s relationship only if underwriting and funding discipline keep working capital from becoming a cash drain; a renewed credit-cycle mistake would break the ecosystem economics. This determines whether financial services are a profit pool attached to payments or a recurring source of losses and liquidity pressure.
StoneCo’s ability to fund settlement, receivables prepayment, merchant banking balances and credit through volatile Brazilian cycles is a prerequisite to competing; if funding becomes confidence-sensitive or structurally more expensive, rivals with larger deposit bases can erode its offer. Liquidity strength lets StoneCo stay in the market when merchants need financing; liquidity stress would force retreat or margin-sacrificing funding.
The payments base must support higher-value software, banking and financial-services cross-sell without proportional servicing, technology and risk costs; if cross-sell adds complexity rather than wallet share, per-share earnings will remain volatile. This is the route from a merchant relationship to shareholder compounding; without operating leverage, growth may not create per-share value.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
StoneCo is a bet that its Brazilian merchant ecosystem can turn payments relationships into durable, risk-adjusted financial-services profits rather than another commoditized acquiring business.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for StoneCo
Where the evidence on StoneCo disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 holding and 1 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
StoneCo’s local service-led merchant platform must remain differentiated enough for Brazilian SMBs to keep choosing it over bank acquirers, PagSeguro/PagBank, Mercado Pago, Nubank and pure Pix acceptance; otherwise payment economics commoditize before scale can matter.
StoneCo’s ability to fund settlement, receivables prepayment, merchant banking balances and credit through volatile Brazilian cycles is a prerequisite to competing; if funding becomes confidence-sensitive or structurally more expensive, rivals with larger deposit bases can erode its offer.
The payments base must support higher-value software, banking and financial-services cross-sell without proportional servicing, technology and risk costs; if cross-sell adds complexity rather than wallet share, per-share earnings will remain volatile.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
Merchant credit, prepayment and other financial-services products should deepen StoneCo’s relationship only if underwriting and funding discipline keep working capital from becoming a cash drain; a renewed credit-cycle mistake would break the ecosystem economics.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · StoneCo
No break has crossed StoneCo’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
StoneCo filed an SEC report on 2026-08-13: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
StoneCo filed an SEC report on 2026-05-14: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
StoneCo filed an SEC report on 2026-04-23: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- PagSeguro/PagBank or Mercado Pago matching StoneCo’s service proposition while pricing acquiring and banking more aggressively for SMBs.
- Brazilian SMB credit losses rising faster than pricing or collateral coverage in StoneCo’s merchant credit and prepayment products.
- A Brazilian funding shock that raises StoneCo’s cost of capital relative to bank-owned acquirers and deposit-rich fintechs.
- Vertical software providers or embedded-payment platforms capturing merchant workflow before StoneCo can attach its own software and banking products.
STNE news
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Financial statements
STNE income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
STNE: quick answers
- What is STNE's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 15.2M STNE shares were sold short, up 66.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.9 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. STNE short interest history
- Which well-known investors own STNE?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported STNE shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios
STNE in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported STNE shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.00% | $214K | New | Q2 2026 |
