Sensata Technologies Holding

STNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$40.31
−$0.04 (−0.10%)Today 1M −4.59%
After hours$40.310.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$40.35
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$40.09–$41.08
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$28.16–$53.89
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own ST if its engineered measurement-and-control products remain designed into cleaner, more efficient, electrified and connected customer platforms while management restores margins and repairs the balance sheet.

ST price history

Latest price$40.31Today−$0.04 (-0.10%)
ST -4.78%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Sensata’s engineered measurement-and-control products remain specified into customer platforms tied to safety, efficiency, electrification and connectivity, so current end-market weakness does not become permanent share loss.HoldingMateriality: High

    Item 1 Business description says Sensata is a global industrial technology company helping customers and partners safely deliver a cleaner, more efficient, electrified and connected world. If the spec-in position holds, revenue can stabilize and recover without buying growth through price concessions; if it breaks, the equity is a melting recovery story.

    Watch: Automotive or industrial customers redesign next-generation platforms around alternative sensor architectures that reduce Sensata content per platform.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 Business description says Sensata is a global industrial technology company helping customers and partners safely deliver a cleaner.

    Open source ↗
  • The safety and reliability role of Sensata’s measurement-and-control products preserves pricing power and mix enough to keep gross margin from structurally compressing despite lower volumes.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY2025 estimated annual gross profit was $1.0843 billion on FY2025 GAAP revenue of $3.7045 billion, an estimated gross margin of about 29.3%. Gross-margin durability is the proof that customers value Sensata’s engineering and reliability rather than treating its products as commodity components.

    Watch: Customers dual-source critical programs to lower-cost suppliers and use competitive bids to force price concessions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 estimated annual gross profit was $1.0843 billion on FY2025 GAAP revenue of $3.7045 billion, an estimated gross margin of.

    Open source ↗
  • Sensata can convert its gross profit base into materially better operating income through cost discipline, manufacturing efficiency and portfolio focus, rather than allowing fixed costs and execution issues to absorb the franchise economics.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 annual GAAP operating income improved to $237.5 million from $149.3 million in FY2024, even though FY2025 GAAP revenue declined. This determines whether revenue stabilization turns into equity value or merely supports a low-return, capital-intensive industrial supplier.

    Watch: Factory underutilization, tariff/input-cost pressure, warranty costs or program launch inefficiencies offset any revenue stabilization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP operating income improved to $237.5 million from $149.3 million in FY2024, even though FY2025 GAAP revenue declined.

    Open source ↗
  • Sensata’s installed customer relationships and working-capital discipline continue to produce operating cash flow even when GAAP earnings are depressed, giving management room to invest and reduce risk.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 annual GAAP operating cash flow was $621.5 million, up from $551.5 million in FY2024 and $456.7 million in FY2023. If cash conversion holds, shareholders can wait for the operating recovery; if cash weakens, the balance sheet and reinvestment needs become the story.

    Watch: Customers extend payment terms or reduce orders, causing receivables and inventory to consume cash before revenue fully reflects the downturn.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP operating cash flow was $621.5 million, up from $551.5 million in FY2024 and $456.7 million in FY2023.

    Open source ↗
  • Management keeps using the cash engine to lower financial risk rather than pursuing debt-funded growth, allowing more future operating recovery to accrue to common equity holders.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities declined from $5.6454 billion at FY2022 year-end to $3.9663 billion at FY2025 year-end. Deleveraging increases the equity’s claim on any recovery; renewed leverage or weak cash flow would cap upside and raise refinancing risk.

    Watch: Management pursues a material debt-funded acquisition before the core revenue and margin recovery is proven.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities declined from $5.6454 billion at FY2022 year-end to $3.9663 billion at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Sensata’s engineered measurement-and-control products remain specified into customer platforms tied to safety, efficiency, electrification and connectivity, so current end-market weakness does not become permanent share loss. If the spec-in position holds, revenue can stabilize and recover without buying growth through price concessions; if it breaks, the equity is a melting recovery story.

The safety and reliability role of Sensata’s measurement-and-control products preserves pricing power and mix enough to keep gross margin from structurally compressing despite lower volumes. Gross-margin durability is the proof that customers value Sensata’s engineering and reliability rather than treating its products as commodity components.

Sensata can convert its gross profit base into materially better operating income through cost discipline, manufacturing efficiency and portfolio focus, rather than allowing fixed costs and execution issues to absorb the franchise economics. This determines whether revenue stabilization turns into equity value or merely supports a low-return, capital-intensive industrial supplier.

Sensata’s installed customer relationships and working-capital discipline continue to produce operating cash flow even when GAAP earnings are depressed, giving management room to invest and reduce risk. If cash conversion holds, shareholders can wait for the operating recovery; if cash weakens, the balance sheet and reinvestment needs become the story.

Management keeps using the cash engine to lower financial risk rather than pursuing debt-funded growth, allowing more future operating recovery to accrue to common equity holders. Deleveraging increases the equity’s claim on any recovery; renewed leverage or weak cash flow would cap upside and raise refinancing risk.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its engineered measurement-and-control products remain designed into cleaner, more efficient, electrified and connected customer platforms while management restores margins and repairs the balance sheet.

Evidence assessed Oct 16, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Sensata Technologies Holding

Where the evidence on Sensata Technologies Holding stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 16, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Sensata’s engineered measurement-and-control products remain specified into customer platforms tied to safety, efficiency, electrification and connectivity, so current end-market weakness does not become permanent share loss.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The safety and reliability role of Sensata’s measurement-and-control products preserves pricing power and mix enough to keep gross margin from structurally compressing despite lower volumes.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sensata can convert its gross profit base into materially better operating income through cost discipline, manufacturing efficiency and portfolio focus, rather than allowing fixed costs and execution issues to absorb the franchise economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sensata’s installed customer relationships and working-capital discipline continue to produce operating cash flow even when GAAP earnings are depressed, giving management room to invest and reduce risk.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management keeps using the cash engine to lower financial risk rather than pursuing debt-funded growth, allowing more future operating recovery to accrue to common equity holders.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Automotive or industrial customers redesign next-generation platforms around alternative sensor architectures that reduce Sensata content per platform.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Customers dual-source critical programs to lower-cost suppliers and use competitive bids to force price concessions.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Factory underutilization, tariff/input-cost pressure, warranty costs or program launch inefficiencies offset any revenue stabilization.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Sensata Technologies Holding

Loading the break-condition record for Sensata Technologies Holding.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Sensata Technologies Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Sensata Technologies Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-01: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Sensata Technologies Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-15: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Automotive or industrial customers redesign next-generation platforms around alternative sensor architectures that reduce Sensata content per platform.
  • Customers dual-source critical programs to lower-cost suppliers and use competitive bids to force price concessions.
  • Factory underutilization, tariff/input-cost pressure, warranty costs or program launch inefficiencies offset any revenue stabilization.
  • Customers extend payment terms or reduce orders, causing receivables and inventory to consume cash before revenue fully reflects the downturn.
  • Management pursues a material debt-funded acquisition before the core revenue and margin recovery is proven.

ST news

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Financial statements

ST income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

ST: quick answers

Which well-known investors own ST?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported ST shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

ST in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported ST shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.04%$9.9M+18.3%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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