Surf Air Mobility
SRFMNYSEUSD
- — Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- — Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- — Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $0.74 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $0.73–$0.76 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 684.2K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 12:50 PM ET.
- Feb 4 projected Projected for 2027-02-04 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $0.46–$3.50 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own SRFM if a real operating platform can be recapitalized and converted from cash burn into sustainable route economics.
SRFM price history
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INVESTMENT THESIS
What must happen next
Small-market and regional travelers will keep choosing Surf Air Mobility’s regional flying platform because it offers access or convenience that scheduled major-airline networks, charter brokers, and ground travel do not adequately provide.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue was $106.557 million in FY2025, showing Surf Air Mobility is not merely a concept-stage aviation company. If customer demand is real and repeatable, the company has a revenue base to optimize; if it is not, cost cutting only shrinks an uneconomic airline.
Watch: Major regional airlines or local air carriers win back core routes by matching convenience or frequency.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue was $106.557 million in FY2025, showing Surf Air Mobility is not merely a concept-stage aviation company.
Open source ↗Management can simplify and rightsize the labor-, maintenance-, fuel-, insurance-, and overhead-heavy airline cost structure enough that scale becomes operating leverage rather than larger losses.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual operating loss improved from -$196.767 million in FY2023 to -$76.874 million in FY2025. This is the bridge from a revenue-generating platform to a value-creating business; if costs remain structurally tied to revenue, growth can destroy value.
Watch: Pilot, mechanic, fuel, insurance, or maintenance inflation offsets route-level revenue gains.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating loss improved from -$196.767 million in FY2023 to -$76.874 million in FY2025.
Open source ↗The company’s cash losses are temporary transformation, integration, and platform-building costs rather than evidence of permanently negative route economics.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
If operating cash burn does not narrow for business-model reasons, Surf Air will remain dependent on outside capital regardless of revenue scale. If operating cash burn does not narrow for business-model reasons, Surf Air will remain dependent on outside capital regardless of revenue scale.
Watch: Core routes continue to require subsidies, discounting, or uneconomic aircraft utilization to maintain passenger demand.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
The company’s cash losses are temporary transformation, integration, and platform-building costs rather than evidence of permanently negative route economics.
Open source ↗Access to external capital remains a necessary operating capability, and Surf Air must finance the regional-air-mobility transition without emergency terms that impair operations or common-shareholder economics.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
Cash was $12.672 million at FY2025 year-end, compared with $0.006 million at FY2022 year-end, indicating the company has accessed some liquidity since its earlier stage. Even if the operating idea is sound, insufficient liquidity can force route cuts, distressed financing, or dilution before the model has time to prove itself.
Watch: Equity or convertible financing is only available at deeply dilutive terms.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash was $12.672 million at FY2025 year-end, compared with $0.006 million at FY2022 year-end, indicating the company has accessed some.
Open source ↗Balance-sheet repair must leave enough economics with existing common shareholders; otherwise any improvement in the enterprise accrues mainly to creditors, lessors, or new money.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
Stockholders’ equity improved from -$119.997 million at FY2024 year-end to -$54.857 million at FY2025 year-end. This separates a potentially viable operating turnaround from an investable common-stock outcome.
Watch: A distressed exchange, restructuring, or preferred/convertible financing transfers most upside to creditors or new investors.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Stockholders’ equity improved from -$119.997 million at FY2024 year-end to -$54.857 million at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Small-market and regional travelers will keep choosing Surf Air Mobility’s regional flying platform because it offers access or convenience that scheduled major-airline networks, charter brokers, and ground travel do not adequately provide. If customer demand is real and repeatable, the company has a revenue base to optimize; if it is not, cost cutting only shrinks an uneconomic airline.
Management can simplify and rightsize the labor-, maintenance-, fuel-, insurance-, and overhead-heavy airline cost structure enough that scale becomes operating leverage rather than larger losses. This is the bridge from a revenue-generating platform to a value-creating business; if costs remain structurally tied to revenue, growth can destroy value.
The company’s cash losses are temporary transformation, integration, and platform-building costs rather than evidence of permanently negative route economics. If operating cash burn does not narrow for business-model reasons, Surf Air will remain dependent on outside capital regardless of revenue scale.
Access to external capital remains a necessary operating capability, and Surf Air must finance the regional-air-mobility transition without emergency terms that impair operations or common-shareholder economics. Even if the operating idea is sound, insufficient liquidity can force route cuts, distressed financing, or dilution before the model has time to prove itself.
Balance-sheet repair must leave enough economics with existing common shareholders; otherwise any improvement in the enterprise accrues mainly to creditors, lessors, or new money. This separates a potentially viable operating turnaround from an investable common-stock outcome.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
a real operating platform can be recapitalized and converted from cash burn into sustainable route economics.
BULL CASE / BEAR CASE
Bull case and bear case for Surf Air Mobility
Where the evidence on Surf Air Mobility disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 holding and 3 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Small-market and regional travelers will keep choosing Surf Air Mobility’s regional flying platform because it offers access or convenience that scheduled major-airline networks, charter brokers, and ground travel do not adequately provide.
Management can simplify and rightsize the labor-, maintenance-, fuel-, insurance-, and overhead-heavy airline cost structure enough that scale becomes operating leverage rather than larger losses.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
The company’s cash losses are temporary transformation, integration, and platform-building costs rather than evidence of permanently negative route economics.
Access to external capital remains a necessary operating capability, and Surf Air must finance the regional-air-mobility transition without emergency terms that impair operations or common-shareholder economics.
Balance-sheet repair must leave enough economics with existing common shareholders; otherwise any improvement in the enterprise accrues mainly to creditors, lessors, or new money.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Surf Air Mobility
No break has crossed Surf Air Mobility’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MIXEDOther material event.
Surf Air Mobility filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-30: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MIXEDDirector or principal officer change.
Surf Air Mobility filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-28: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MIXEDEntered a material definitive agreement.
Surf Air Mobility filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-11: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
RISKS / FALSIFIERS
What could break the thesis
- Major regional airlines or local air carriers win back core routes by matching convenience or frequency.
- Pilot, mechanic, fuel, insurance, or maintenance inflation offsets route-level revenue gains.
- Core routes continue to require subsidies, discounting, or uneconomic aircraft utilization to maintain passenger demand.
- Equity or convertible financing is only available at deeply dilutive terms.
- A distressed exchange, restructuring, or preferred/convertible financing transfers most upside to creditors or new investors.
SRFM news
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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
SRFM income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
SRFM: quick answers
- When does Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) report earnings next?
- Surf Air Mobility's next results are projected for February 4, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is SRFM's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 12.4M SRFM shares were sold short, 9.17% of its shares outstanding, down 18.0% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 7.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. SRFM short interest history
