Soluna Holdings

SLNHNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$0.58
+$0.06 (+10.68%)Today 1M −42.22%
After hours$0.56−2.61%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$0.52
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$0.55–$0.60
Regular-session low and high so far today.
4.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$0.45–$2.49
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own SLNH if Soluna is an asset-led developer whose value will come from converting newly built computing/energy assets into sustained, positive gross margins and free cash flow; the stock is a bet that asset deployment and favorable.

SLNH price history

Latest price$0.58Today+$0.06 (+10.68%)
SLNH -30.97%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Once commissioned and supplied with low-cost power or contracted customers, the company’s operating assets can deliver positive gross margins that scale with utilization.HoldingMateriality: High

    gross_profit improved from -23,736,000 USD in FY2024 to 1,798,000 USD in FY2025 (annual). If true, revenue growth will flow to gross profit and eventually operating income and FCF; if false, the asset build is value-destructive and requires more capital.

    Watch: Loss of access to low-cost power or failure to sign long-term hosting/power contracts (would reduce utilization or raise energy input costs).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    gross_profit improved from -23,736,000 USD in FY2024 to 1,798,000 USD in FY2025 (annual).

    Open source ↗
  • Value creation depends on continued successful capital deployment: the company must fund and commission additional assets that expand revenue-bearing capacity without destroying returns.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Total assets rose from 88,040,000 USD at FY2024 to 187,944,000 USD at FY2025 (instant), indicating substantial capital deployment in 2025. If the asset builds are financed and commissioned efficiently, scale improves margins and spreads fixed costs; if financing dries up or assets are impaired, growth stalls and capital is wasted.

    Watch: Inability to raise additional financing on acceptable terms (would halt deployments).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total assets rose from 88,040,000 USD at FY2024 to 187,944,000 USD at FY2025 (instant), indicating substantial capital deployment in 2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Until assets deliver sustained revenues and margins, Soluna will continue to consume operating cash and require external financing; operating cash flow must improve to validate the business model.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow worsened from -5,069,000 USD in FY2024 to -9,149,000 USD in FY2025 (annual), showing increased cash burn as assets were added. Persistent negative operating cash flow forces dilutive financings or debt, compressing returns for equity holders; a move to positive operating cash flow would prove the conversion thesis.

    Watch: Failure to ramp utilization or secure favorable power contracts, keeping revenues and margins too low to cover operating costs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow worsened from -5,069,000 USD in FY2024 to -9,149,000 USD in FY2025 (annual), showing increased cash burn as.

    Open source ↗
  • Equity value depends on avoiding repeated dilutive financings; continued negative earnings and cash burn will likely force further dilution that can offset operational progress.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    EPS (diluted) improved from -14.94 USD (FY2024) to -2.38 USD (FY2025), reflecting large changes in capital structure or share counts and volatile per-share outcomes historically. If management repeatedly issues equity to fund operations, EPS and per-share value will be pressured even if asset-level economics improve.

    Watch: If operating cash flow does not materially improve, management will likely return to equity markets or convertible financings, diluting shareholders.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    EPS (diluted) improved from -14.94 USD (FY2024) to -2.38 USD (FY2025), reflecting large changes in capital structure or share counts.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Once commissioned and supplied with low-cost power or contracted customers, the company’s operating assets can deliver positive gross margins that scale with utilization. If true, revenue growth will flow to gross profit and eventually operating income and FCF; if false, the asset build is value-destructive and requires more capital.

Value creation depends on continued successful capital deployment: the company must fund and commission additional assets that expand revenue-bearing capacity without destroying returns. If the asset builds are financed and commissioned efficiently, scale improves margins and spreads fixed costs; if financing dries up or assets are impaired, growth stalls and capital is wasted.

Until assets deliver sustained revenues and margins, Soluna will continue to consume operating cash and require external financing; operating cash flow must improve to validate the business model. Persistent negative operating cash flow forces dilutive financings or debt, compressing returns for equity holders; a move to positive operating cash flow would prove the conversion thesis.

Equity value depends on avoiding repeated dilutive financings; continued negative earnings and cash burn will likely force further dilution that can offset operational progress. If management repeatedly issues equity to fund operations, EPS and per-share value will be pressured even if asset-level economics improve.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Soluna is an asset-led developer whose value will come from converting newly built computing/energy assets into sustained, positive gross margins and free cash flow; the stock is a bet that asset deployment and favorable.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Soluna Holdings

Where the evidence on Soluna Holdings disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Once commissioned and supplied with low-cost power or contracted customers, the company’s operating assets can deliver positive gross margins that scale with utilization.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Value creation depends on continued successful capital deployment: the company must fund and commission additional assets that expand revenue-bearing capacity without destroying returns.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Equity value depends on avoiding repeated dilutive financings; continued negative earnings and cash burn will likely force further dilution that can offset operational progress.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Until assets deliver sustained revenues and margins, Soluna will continue to consume operating cash and require external financing; operating cash flow must improve to validate the business model.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Soluna Holdings

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Soluna Holdings’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Soluna Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-21: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Soluna Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-21: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Soluna Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-20: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Loss of access to low-cost power or failure to sign long-term hosting/power contracts (would reduce utilization or raise energy input costs).
  • Inability to raise additional financing on acceptable terms (would halt deployments).
  • Failure to ramp utilization or secure favorable power contracts, keeping revenues and margins too low to cover operating costs.
  • If operating cash flow does not materially improve, management will likely return to equity markets or convertible financings, diluting shareholders.

SLNH news

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Financial statements

SLNH income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

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