Southside Bancshares

SBSINYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$34.94
−$0.15 (−0.43%)Today 1M +16.19%
After hours$34.940.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$35.09
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$34.62–$35.34
Regular-session low and high so far today.
146.8K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$28.04–$36.35
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own SBSI if Southside Bancshares is a Texas-focused community bank whose stock story depends on preserving its low-cost deposit franchise and net interest margin while deploying growing assets profitably so that stable earnings generate cash to support.

SBSI price history

Latest price$34.94Today−$0.15 (-0.43%)
SBSI +14.86%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • The bank's ability to preserve net interest margin via a stable core deposit base and lending spreads is the primary driver of net income; if the deposit franchise weakens and funding costs rise faster than asset yields, net_income will decline.HoldingMateriality: High

    assets increased from 7,558,636,000 (instant 2022-12-31) to 8,514,590,000 (instant 2025-12-31) while net_income declined from 105,020,000 (2022) to 69,220,000 (2025), showing asset growth without earnings recovery. Net interest margin is the engine of bank earnings; if it holds, earnings recover as assets grow; if it breaks, asset growth will not translate to higher profits.

    Watch: a sustained loss of core deposits to fintechs or larger banks leading to higher deposit betas and forced repricing of funding.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets increased from 7,558,636,000 (instant 2022-12-31) to 8,514,590,000 (instant 2025-12-31) while net_income declined from 105,020,000 (2022) to 69,220,000 (2025), showing.

    Open source ↗
  • Sustained positive operating cash flow underpins the company's ability to fund dividends, buybacks or opportunistic M&A without diluting shareholders; if operating_cash_flow turns negative or collapses, management's ability to return capital will be constrained.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Net cash provided by operating activities was positive each year (226,517,000 in 2022. Operating cash funds payouts and supports per-share value; reliable cash generation distinguishes banks that can maintain modest premiums to book.

    Watch: a material rise in loan charge-offs or a large one-time provision that converts operating cash to uses (credit shock).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Net cash provided by operating activities was positive each year (226,517,000 in 2022.

    Open source ↗
  • Asset growth (lending and securities) only increases revenue and EPS if deployed at yields that exceed funding costs; so assets growth without yield advantage will dilute EPS performance.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    assets rose from 7,558,636,000 (2022) to 8,517, NNN,? (instant 2025-12-31) — recorded as 8,514,590,000 — while revenue fell to 237,040,000 in 2025. The bank has grown assets to ~$8.5B, but past asset growth did not lift earnings—meaning yield/funding dynamics matter more than size for per-share value.

    Watch: widespread compression in loan yields caused by competitive bidding among regional banks or national lenders.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets rose from 7,558,636,000 (2022) to 8,517, NNN,? (instant 2025-12-31) — recorded as 8,514,590,000 — while revenue fell to 237,040,000.

    Open source ↗
  • The company's equity and cash balances provide a capital and liquidity buffer that lets it absorb cyclical shocks and pursue modest growth or M&A without immediate capital raises.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    stockholders' equity grew from 745,997,000 (2022) to 847,615,000 (2025). A strong capital/liquidity position reduces the risk of forced capital raises or dividend cuts in a downturn, preserving per-share value.

    Watch: a large, concentrated borrower default that forces big provisions and erodes regulatory capital.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    stockholders' equity grew from 745,997,000 (2022) to 847,615,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

The bank's ability to preserve net interest margin via a stable core deposit base and lending spreads is the primary driver of net income; if the deposit franchise weakens and funding costs rise faster than asset yields, net_income will decline. Net interest margin is the engine of bank earnings; if it holds, earnings recover as assets grow; if it breaks, asset growth will not translate to higher profits.

Sustained positive operating cash flow underpins the company's ability to fund dividends, buybacks or opportunistic M&A without diluting shareholders; if operating_cash_flow turns negative or collapses, management's ability to return capital will be constrained. Operating cash funds payouts and supports per-share value; reliable cash generation distinguishes banks that can maintain modest premiums to book.

Asset growth (lending and securities) only increases revenue and EPS if deployed at yields that exceed funding costs; so assets growth without yield advantage will dilute EPS performance. The bank has grown assets to ~$8.5B, but past asset growth did not lift earnings—meaning yield/funding dynamics matter more than size for per-share value.

The company's equity and cash balances provide a capital and liquidity buffer that lets it absorb cyclical shocks and pursue modest growth or M&A without immediate capital raises. A strong capital/liquidity position reduces the risk of forced capital raises or dividend cuts in a downturn, preserving per-share value.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Southside Bancshares is a Texas-focused community bank whose stock story depends on preserving its low-cost deposit franchise and net interest margin while deploying growing assets profitably so that stable earnings generate cash to support.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Southside Bancshares

Where the evidence on Southside Bancshares stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • The bank's ability to preserve net interest margin via a stable core deposit base and lending spreads is the primary driver of net income; if the deposit franchise weakens and funding costs rise faster than asset yields, net_income will decline.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained positive operating cash flow underpins the company's ability to fund dividends, buybacks or opportunistic M&A without diluting shareholders; if operating_cash_flow turns negative or collapses, management's ability to return capital will be constrained.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Asset growth (lending and securities) only increases revenue and EPS if deployed at yields that exceed funding costs; so assets growth without yield advantage will dilute EPS performance.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company's equity and cash balances provide a capital and liquidity buffer that lets it absorb cyclical shocks and pursue modest growth or M&A without immediate capital raises.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • a sustained loss of core deposits to fintechs or larger banks leading to higher deposit betas and forced repricing of funding.

    sec.gov ↗

  • a material rise in loan charge-offs or a large one-time provision that converts operating cash to uses (credit shock).

    sec.gov ↗

  • widespread compression in loan yields caused by competitive bidding among regional banks or national lenders.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Southside Bancshares

Loading the break-condition record for Southside Bancshares.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Southside Bancshares filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Southside Bancshares filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-24: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Southside Bancshares filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-04-30: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • a sustained loss of core deposits to fintechs or larger banks leading to higher deposit betas and forced repricing of funding.
  • a material rise in loan charge-offs or a large one-time provision that converts operating cash to uses (credit shock).
  • widespread compression in loan yields caused by competitive bidding among regional banks or national lenders.
  • a large, concentrated borrower default that forces big provisions and erodes regulatory capital.

SBSI news

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Financial statements

SBSI income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

SBSI: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded SBSI?
4 trades in SBSI have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed SBSI trade
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