Sabre
SABRNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $1.77 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $1.74–$1.93 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 17.3M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 17 projected Projected for 2027-02-17 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $0.81–$2.50 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own SABR if its travel distribution and airline/hospitality software franchises remain essential enough to defend gross profit while fixed-platform operating leverage and debt reduction accrue to shareholders.
SABR price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Sabre’s travel marketplace remains relevant enough to keep airline, hotel, and agency transaction flows on its platform despite direct-connect and NDC alternatives.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue increased from $1.689 billion in FY2021 to $2.771 billion in FY2025, showing that travel transaction activity returned to the platform after the pandemic disruption. If the marketplace remains essential, Sabre can stabilize the revenue base needed for operating leverage; if workflows bypass it, the turnaround loses its volume foundation.
Watch: Major airlines make premium or corporate fares available primarily through direct channels or NDC connections on economics that bypass or materially reduce Sabre’s role.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue increased from $1.689 billion in FY2021 to $2.771 billion in FY2025, showing that travel transaction activity returned.
Open source ↗Sabre’s two-sided travel distribution and workflow network has enough bargaining power to defend its gross profit pool against supplier fee pressure and agency incentive demands.HoldingMateriality: High
Estimated GAAP annual gross profit was $1.564 billion in FY2025, still close to FY2023’s $1.566 billion despite a changing travel-distribution environment. Durable gross profit is the economic moat test; if take rates or incentives deteriorate, revenue can hold while shareholder economics worsen.
Watch: Airlines successfully force lower booking fees, impose GDS surcharges, or steer high-value traffic away from Sabre without losing agency reach.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Estimated GAAP annual gross profit was $1.564 billion in FY2025, still close to FY2023’s $1.566 billion despite a changing travel-distribution.
Open source ↗Sabre’s technology-platform cost base can translate stable travel volumes into expanding GAAP operating income rather than requiring proportional reinvestment.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating income improved from a $665 million loss in FY2021 to $295 million of income in FY2025. This is the main path from a slow-growth revenue base to equity value creation; if costs scale with revenue, the turnaround has much less upside.
Watch: Required cloud migration, cybersecurity, AI, or NDC product investment rises faster than transaction volume and absorbs the gross profit pool.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating income improved from a $665 million loss in FY2021 to $295 million of income in FY2025.
Open source ↗The balance sheet must stop absorbing the business recovery; sustained cash generation and refinancing access need to reduce liabilities without forcing dilution or asset sales.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Total liabilities declined from $6.240 billion at FY2024 year-end to $5.539 billion at FY2025 year-end. Because Sabre has negative equity and large liabilities, operating improvement only benefits common shareholders if creditors do not capture most of the upside.
Watch: A refinancing window closes or interest costs rise enough that Sabre must issue equity, sell assets, or accept restrictive creditor terms.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Total liabilities declined from $6.240 billion at FY2024 year-end to $5.539 billion at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗Sabre’s FY2025 profit inflection must reflect recurring operating economics rather than one-time non-operating gains for per-share value to compound.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP diluted EPS improved to $1.34 in FY2025 from a loss of $0.73 in FY2024 and a loss of $1.56 in FY2023. If earnings are repeatable, the stock can be valued on earnings power; if they are one-off, the headline EPS overstates the turnaround.
Watch: Future filings show FY2025 net income was dominated by debt exchanges, tax valuation allowance releases, or other non-recurring items rather than recurring travel-technology profit.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP diluted EPS improved to $1.34 in FY2025 from a loss of $0.73 in FY2024 and a loss of $1.56.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Sabre’s travel marketplace remains relevant enough to keep airline, hotel, and agency transaction flows on its platform despite direct-connect and NDC alternatives. If the marketplace remains essential, Sabre can stabilize the revenue base needed for operating leverage; if workflows bypass it, the turnaround loses its volume foundation.
Sabre’s two-sided travel distribution and workflow network has enough bargaining power to defend its gross profit pool against supplier fee pressure and agency incentive demands. Durable gross profit is the economic moat test; if take rates or incentives deteriorate, revenue can hold while shareholder economics worsen.
Sabre’s technology-platform cost base can translate stable travel volumes into expanding GAAP operating income rather than requiring proportional reinvestment. This is the main path from a slow-growth revenue base to equity value creation; if costs scale with revenue, the turnaround has much less upside.
The balance sheet must stop absorbing the business recovery; sustained cash generation and refinancing access need to reduce liabilities without forcing dilution or asset sales. Because Sabre has negative equity and large liabilities, operating improvement only benefits common shareholders if creditors do not capture most of the upside.
Sabre’s FY2025 profit inflection must reflect recurring operating economics rather than one-time non-operating gains for per-share value to compound. If earnings are repeatable, the stock can be valued on earnings power; if they are one-off, the headline EPS overstates the turnaround.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its travel distribution and airline/hospitality software franchises remain essential enough to defend gross profit while fixed-platform operating leverage and debt reduction accrue to shareholders.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Sabre
Where the evidence on Sabre stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 4 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Sabre’s travel marketplace remains relevant enough to keep airline, hotel, and agency transaction flows on its platform despite direct-connect and NDC alternatives.
Sabre’s two-sided travel distribution and workflow network has enough bargaining power to defend its gross profit pool against supplier fee pressure and agency incentive demands.
Sabre’s technology-platform cost base can translate stable travel volumes into expanding GAAP operating income rather than requiring proportional reinvestment.
The balance sheet must stop absorbing the business recovery; sustained cash generation and refinancing access need to reduce liabilities without forcing dilution or asset sales.
Sabre’s FY2025 profit inflection must reflect recurring operating economics rather than one-time non-operating gains for per-share value to compound.
Bear case: what would count against it
Major airlines make premium or corporate fares available primarily through direct channels or NDC connections on economics that bypass or materially reduce Sabre’s role.
Airlines successfully force lower booking fees, impose GDS surcharges, or steer high-value traffic away from Sabre without losing agency reach.
Required cloud migration, cybersecurity, AI, or NDC product investment rises faster than transaction volume and absorbs the gross profit pool.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Sabre
No break has crossed Sabre’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Sabre filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedTerminated a material definitive agreement.
Sabre filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-14: Terminated a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Sabre filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-28: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Major airlines make premium or corporate fares available primarily through direct channels or NDC connections on economics that bypass or materially reduce Sabre’s role.
- Airlines successfully force lower booking fees, impose GDS surcharges, or steer high-value traffic away from Sabre without losing agency reach.
- Required cloud migration, cybersecurity, AI, or NDC product investment rises faster than transaction volume and absorbs the gross profit pool.
- A refinancing window closes or interest costs rise enough that Sabre must issue equity, sell assets, or accept restrictive creditor terms.
- Future filings show FY2025 net income was dominated by debt exchanges, tax valuation allowance releases, or other non-recurring items rather than recurring travel-technology profit.
SABR news
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Financial statements
SABR income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
SABR: quick answers
- When does Sabre (SABR) report earnings next?
- Sabre's next results are projected for February 17, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is SABR's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 26.6M SABR shares were sold short, 6.60% of its shares outstanding, up 3.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. SABR short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded SABR?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in SABR by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed SABR trade
- Which well-known investors own SABR?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported SABR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Fundsmith (Terry Smith), 0.1%. Fund portfolios
SABR in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported SABR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry SmithFundsmith | 0.14% | $18.8M | No change | Q2 2026 |
