Regal Rexnord
RRXNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $179.96 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $181.09–$188.80 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 1.1M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 4 projected Projected for 2027-02-04 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $127.96–$247.80 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own RRX if operational improvements and pricing hold through industry cycles.
RRX price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Higher gross margins will persist because the company has shifted to a more profitable mix and improved cost structure rather than relying on one-off price spikes.HoldingMateriality: High
gross_profit increased to 2,217,800,000 USD in FY2025 (gross_profit) from 2,191,000,000 USD in FY2024 and 2,067,300,000 USD in FY2023. If true, sustained gross margins protect operating income and cashflow; if false, margin reversion will compress earnings and cash and make the premium valuation unjustified.
Watch: A structural decline in end-market OEM equipment demand (large OEM capex cuts) that forces price competition and mix shift to lower-margin product lines.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
gross_profit increased to 2,217,800,000 USD in FY2025 (gross_profit) from 2,191,000,000 USD in FY2024 and 2,067,300,000 USD in FY2023.
Open source ↗Operating cash flow improvement is structural—driven by better working-capital management and operations—so internal cash can fund capex, reduce leverage or support buybacks rather than external financing.StrengtheningMateriality: High
operating_cash_flow rose to 990,800,000 USD in FY2025 (operating_cash_flow) from 609,400,000 USD in FY2024 and 715,300,000 USD in FY2023. Sustained high operating cash flow reduces funding risk, shrinks net debt/EV and supports EPS growth; if it lapses, the company may need to cut buybacks or raise capital, hurting per-share returns.
Watch: A reversal in working-capital timing (e.g., inventory build or slower receivable collections) that consumes cash.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_cash_flow rose to 990,800,000 USD in FY2025 (operating_cash_flow) from 609,400,000 USD in FY2024 and 715,300,000 USD in FY2023.
Open source ↗Operating income (and therefore operating margin) will remain at or above the post-2023 recovery level because margin gains are driven by durable cost structure improvements and pricing rather than temporary factors.HoldingMateriality: Medium
operating_income recovered to 680,800,000 USD in FY2025 (operating_income) from 630,000,000 USD in FY2024 and a trough of 377,100,000 USD in FY2023. Operating margin durability determines sustainable net income and cash; a fall in margin would directly reduce EPS and free cash, undermining the premium multiple.
Watch: A broad industrial demand slowdown reducing volumes and forcing price concessions (macro-led OEM orders decline).
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_income recovered to 680,800,000 USD in FY2025 (operating_income) from 630,000,000 USD in FY2024 and a trough of 377,100,000 USD in.
Open source ↗The market’s premium multiple is justified only if EPS continues to grow via margin maintenance and cash conversion rather than one-time accounting gains.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
eps_diluted improved to 4.20 USD in FY2025 (eps_diluted) from 2.94 USD in FY2024 and -0.87 USD in FY2023. EPS trajectory is what the market prices; if EPS growth stalls, the multiple will compress and the stock can underperform even if revenues remain flat.
Watch: Significant share issuance or large non-operational charges that depress per-share earnings.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
eps_diluted improved to 4.20 USD in FY2025 (eps_diluted) from 2.94 USD in FY2024 and -0.87 USD in FY2023.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Higher gross margins will persist because the company has shifted to a more profitable mix and improved cost structure rather than relying on one-off price spikes. If true, sustained gross margins protect operating income and cashflow; if false, margin reversion will compress earnings and cash and make the premium valuation unjustified.
Operating cash flow improvement is structural—driven by better working-capital management and operations—so internal cash can fund capex, reduce leverage or support buybacks rather than external financing. Sustained high operating cash flow reduces funding risk, shrinks net debt/EV and supports EPS growth; if it lapses, the company may need to cut buybacks or raise capital, hurting per-share returns.
Operating income (and therefore operating margin) will remain at or above the post-2023 recovery level because margin gains are driven by durable cost structure improvements and pricing rather than temporary factors. Operating margin durability determines sustainable net income and cash; a fall in margin would directly reduce EPS and free cash, undermining the premium multiple.
The market’s premium multiple is justified only if EPS continues to grow via margin maintenance and cash conversion rather than one-time accounting gains. EPS trajectory is what the market prices; if EPS growth stalls, the multiple will compress and the stock can underperform even if revenues remain flat.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
operational improvements and pricing hold through industry cycles.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Regal Rexnord
Where the evidence on Regal Rexnord stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Higher gross margins will persist because the company has shifted to a more profitable mix and improved cost structure rather than relying on one-off price spikes.
Operating cash flow improvement is structural—driven by better working-capital management and operations—so internal cash can fund capex, reduce leverage or support buybacks rather than external financing.
Operating income (and therefore operating margin) will remain at or above the post-2023 recovery level because margin gains are driven by durable cost structure improvements and pricing rather than temporary factors.
The market’s premium multiple is justified only if EPS continues to grow via margin maintenance and cash conversion rather than one-time accounting gains.
Bear case: what would count against it
A structural decline in end-market OEM equipment demand (large OEM capex cuts) that forces price competition and mix shift to lower-margin product lines.
A reversal in working-capital timing (e.g., inventory build or slower receivable collections) that consumes cash.
A broad industrial demand slowdown reducing volumes and forcing price concessions (macro-led OEM orders decline).
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Regal Rexnord
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Regal Rexnord filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Regal Rexnord filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Regal Rexnord filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-01: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- A structural decline in end-market OEM equipment demand (large OEM capex cuts) that forces price competition and mix shift to lower-margin product lines.
- A reversal in working-capital timing (e.g., inventory build or slower receivable collections) that consumes cash.
- A broad industrial demand slowdown reducing volumes and forcing price concessions (macro-led OEM orders decline).
- Significant share issuance or large non-operational charges that depress per-share earnings.
RRX news
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Financial statements
RRX income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
RRX: quick answers
- When does Regal Rexnord (RRX) report earnings next?
- Regal Rexnord's next results are projected for February 4, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 3, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is RRX's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 2.5M RRX shares were sold short, 3.74% of its shares outstanding, down 12.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. RRX short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded RRX?
- 6 trades in RRX have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed RRX trade
- Which well-known investors own RRX?
- 2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported RRX shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Viking Global Investors (Andreas Halvorsen), 1.4%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios
RRX in well-known investors’ portfolios
2 of 37 funds reported RRX shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas HalvorsenViking Global Investors | 1.4% | $501M | −33.1% | Q2 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.11% | $27.8M | +3,101% | Q2 2026 |