Ryman Hospitality Properties

RHPNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$138.91
+$0.38 (+0.27%)Today 1M +15.17%
After hours$138.910.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$138.53
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$137.74–$139.28
Regular-session low and high so far today.
354.6K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$89.60–$139.28
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own RHP if Ryman creates durable value by owning and operating oversized, group-focused convention hotels (Gaylord + JW Marriott) in gateway markets managed by Marriott, supplemented by growing entertainment IP (Opry Entertainment Group) that diversifies revenue and.

RHP price history

Latest price$138.91Today+$0.38 (+0.27%)
RHP +13.21%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Ryman’s scale in oversized, meetings-focused properties plus Marriott management provides durable pricing power for group and convention business, letting the Hospitality segment convert bookings into stable cash flow.HoldingMateriality: High

    operating_cash_flow increased from $419,931,000 (2022) to $590,629,000 (2025), showing growing cash conversion. If true, Hospitality will produce predictable operating cash flow to fund REIT distributions and investment without heavy equity issuance; if false, margins and cash flows will fall and the dividend or valuation will be at risk.

    Watch: A sustained shift of associations/corporate events to virtual/hybrid formats that meaningfully reduces large-group bookings.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow increased from $419,931,000 (2022) to $590,629,000 (2025), showing growing cash conversion.

    Open source ↗
  • Growth and operational control of Opry Entertainment Group (≈70% stake) will meaningfully diversify revenue and raise overall EBITDA margin volatility-adjusted returns by adding higher-margin entertainment/IP and venue management revenue.HoldingMateriality: High

    Entertainment represented 17% of total revenues in 2025 (MD&A segment disclosure). If OEG scales profitably, RHP’s revenue mix shifts away from pure hotel cyclicality and supports a premium multiple; if OEG underperforms, it increases earnings volatility and capital intensity, making the REIT less reliable.

    Watch: Live-entertainment competition from large promoters (Live Nation, AEG) that capture touring and festival economics.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Entertainment represented 17% of total revenues in 2025 (MD&A segment disclosure).

    Open source ↗
  • Ryman can sustain its REIT distributions because operating cash flow has historically covered declared distributions and maintenance/growth capex, limiting the need for routine equity issuance.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    operating_cash_flow was $590,629,000 in 2025 while declared cash distributions were approximately $291.3 million in 2025 (MD&A Liquidity and Capital Resources). Sustained OCF coverage preserves per-share value and supports the premium multiple; if coverage weakens, management will need to cut distributions or issue equity, diluting returns.

    Watch: Large, recurring growth capex needs (2025 capex $358.2M) that materially reduce free cash available for distributions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow was $590,629,000 in 2025 while declared cash distributions were approximately $291.3 million in 2025 (MD&A Liquidity and Capital Resources).

    Open source ↗
  • Ryman’s growth and acquisition strategy depends on continued access to low-cost capital; a significant tightening in credit markets or higher interest rates will raise financing costs, compress returns, and could force equity issuance or cutbacks.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    liabilities increased from $3,632,865,000 (2022) to $4,969,407,000 (2025) consistent with debt-funded expansion and note issuances. If capital access tightens, RHP’s ability to buy/expand assets or refinance debt cheaply is impaired, directly hurting ROI and dividend capacity.

    Watch: A credit market shock or ratings downgrade that materially increases spreads on RHP paper.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    liabilities increased from $3,632,865,000 (2022) to $4,969,407,000 (2025) consistent with debt-funded expansion and note issuances.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Ryman’s scale in oversized, meetings-focused properties plus Marriott management provides durable pricing power for group and convention business, letting the Hospitality segment convert bookings into stable cash flow. If true, Hospitality will produce predictable operating cash flow to fund REIT distributions and investment without heavy equity issuance; if false, margins and cash flows will fall and the dividend or valuation will be at risk.

Growth and operational control of Opry Entertainment Group (≈70% stake) will meaningfully diversify revenue and raise overall EBITDA margin volatility-adjusted returns by adding higher-margin entertainment/IP and venue management revenue. If OEG scales profitably, RHP’s revenue mix shifts away from pure hotel cyclicality and supports a premium multiple; if OEG underperforms, it increases earnings volatility and capital intensity, making the REIT less reliable.

Ryman can sustain its REIT distributions because operating cash flow has historically covered declared distributions and maintenance/growth capex, limiting the need for routine equity issuance. Sustained OCF coverage preserves per-share value and supports the premium multiple; if coverage weakens, management will need to cut distributions or issue equity, diluting returns.

Ryman’s growth and acquisition strategy depends on continued access to low-cost capital; a significant tightening in credit markets or higher interest rates will raise financing costs, compress returns, and could force equity issuance or cutbacks. If capital access tightens, RHP’s ability to buy/expand assets or refinance debt cheaply is impaired, directly hurting ROI and dividend capacity.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Ryman creates durable value by owning and operating oversized, group-focused convention hotels (Gaylord + JW Marriott) in gateway markets managed by Marriott, supplemented by growing entertainment IP (Opry Entertainment Group) that diversifies revenue and.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Ryman Hospitality Properties

Where the evidence on Ryman Hospitality Properties stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Ryman’s scale in oversized, meetings-focused properties plus Marriott management provides durable pricing power for group and convention business, letting the Hospitality segment convert bookings into stable cash flow.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Growth and operational control of Opry Entertainment Group (≈70% stake) will meaningfully diversify revenue and raise overall EBITDA margin volatility-adjusted returns by adding higher-margin entertainment/IP and venue management revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Ryman can sustain its REIT distributions because operating cash flow has historically covered declared distributions and maintenance/growth capex, limiting the need for routine equity issuance.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Ryman’s growth and acquisition strategy depends on continued access to low-cost capital; a significant tightening in credit markets or higher interest rates will raise financing costs, compress returns, and could force equity issuance or cutbacks.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A sustained shift of associations/corporate events to virtual/hybrid formats that meaningfully reduces large-group bookings.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Live-entertainment competition from large promoters (Live Nation, AEG) that capture touring and festival economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Large, recurring growth capex needs (2025 capex $358.2M) that materially reduce free cash available for distributions.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Ryman Hospitality Properties

Loading the break-condition record for Ryman Hospitality Properties.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Ryman Hospitality Properties filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Ryman Hospitality Properties filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-15: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Completed an acquisition or disposition of assets.

    Ryman Hospitality Properties filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-01: Completed an acquisition or disposition of assets. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A sustained shift of associations/corporate events to virtual/hybrid formats that meaningfully reduces large-group bookings.
  • Live-entertainment competition from large promoters (Live Nation, AEG) that capture touring and festival economics.
  • Large, recurring growth capex needs (2025 capex $358.2M) that materially reduce free cash available for distributions.
  • A credit market shock or ratings downgrade that materially increases spreads on RHP paper.

RHP news

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Financial statements

RHP income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

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