Resources Connection

RGPNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$2.74
−$0.03 (−1.08%)Today 1M −2.12%
After hours$2.740.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$2.77
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$2.73–$2.83
Regular-session low and high so far today.
205.9K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 6 projected
Projected for 2027-01-06 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$2.33–$5.37
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own RGP if RGP is a balance-sheet-supported professional-services turnaround whose equity value depends on proving that its project-consulting model is cyclically depressed, not structurally impaired.

RGP price history

Latest price$2.74Today−$0.03 (-1.08%)
RGP -0.54%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Clients will keep using RGP for episodic change work if they need senior project talent without permanent hiring; this is the core demand driver that must re-accelerate.WeakeningMateriality: High

    RGP still generated $452.0 million of GAAP annual revenue in FY2026, showing the service retains a meaningful client base. If project demand revives, revenue can stabilize without a major change in the business model; if clients no longer value this delivery model, the revenue base keeps shrinking.

    Watch: Corporate clients continue delaying discretionary transformation, finance, technology, and compliance projects rather than restarting them.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    RGP still generated $452.0 million of GAAP annual revenue in FY2026, showing the service retains a meaningful client base.

    Open source ↗
  • RGP's access to specialized professional talent will preserve enough pricing power over consultant pay and subcontractor costs to keep gross margin from structurally eroding.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross margin was about 37.5% in FY2026, roughly flat with FY2025, despite lower revenue. The model only has value if revenue is not bought by cutting bill rates or overpaying scarce talent; gross margin is the first test of whether RGP has differentiated supply and pricing power.

    Watch: Clients re-bid projects aggressively and force lower bill rates as consulting capacity loosens.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross margin was about 37.5% in FY2026, roughly flat with FY2025, despite lower revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • Management must make the operating cost base flexible enough that a smaller revenue base can still produce GAAP operating profit; the turnaround fails if SG&A and restructuring costs remain sized for the old business.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating loss improved to $38.3 million in FY2026 from a $196.8 million loss in FY2025. Gross profit does not accrue to owners unless RGP can convert it into operating income; this determines whether the company is merely surviving or rebuilding earnings power.

    Watch: Management and administrative headcount remains too high relative to billable demand.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating loss improved to $38.3 million in FY2026 from a $196.8 million loss in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • RGP's balance sheet gives it time to repair demand and costs without being forced into distressed financing, provided cash does not get consumed by a prolonged downturn.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $82.4 million at FY2026 year-end. A turnaround with liquidity can preserve optionality for shareholders; a cash burn or forced capital raise would transfer value away from existing owners.

    Watch: Client collections weaken or payment terms stretch, turning operating cash flow negative before revenue recovers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $82.4 million at FY2026 year-end.

    Open source ↗
  • RGP's human-capital network must remain deep enough to staff client change projects quickly with credible experts; if talent leaves, the brand becomes ordinary staffing.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    RGP had 3,006 employees as of May 30, 2026, including 591 management and administrative employees. The service promise depends on matching specialized people to urgent client problems; loss of talent density would weaken both revenue recovery and gross margin.

    Watch: Senior consultants and client-facing leaders leave for larger consulting firms, staffing competitors, or independent work.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    RGP had 3,006 employees as of May 30, 2026, including 591 management and administrative employees.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Clients will keep using RGP for episodic change work if they need senior project talent without permanent hiring; this is the core demand driver that must re-accelerate. If project demand revives, revenue can stabilize without a major change in the business model; if clients no longer value this delivery model, the revenue base keeps shrinking.

RGP's access to specialized professional talent will preserve enough pricing power over consultant pay and subcontractor costs to keep gross margin from structurally eroding. The model only has value if revenue is not bought by cutting bill rates or overpaying scarce talent; gross margin is the first test of whether RGP has differentiated supply and pricing power.

Management must make the operating cost base flexible enough that a smaller revenue base can still produce GAAP operating profit; the turnaround fails if SG&A and restructuring costs remain sized for the old business. Gross profit does not accrue to owners unless RGP can convert it into operating income; this determines whether the company is merely surviving or rebuilding earnings power.

RGP's balance sheet gives it time to repair demand and costs without being forced into distressed financing, provided cash does not get consumed by a prolonged downturn. A turnaround with liquidity can preserve optionality for shareholders; a cash burn or forced capital raise would transfer value away from existing owners.

RGP's human-capital network must remain deep enough to staff client change projects quickly with credible experts; if talent leaves, the brand becomes ordinary staffing. The service promise depends on matching specialized people to urgent client problems; loss of talent density would weaken both revenue recovery and gross margin.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

RGP is a balance-sheet-supported professional-services turnaround whose equity value depends on proving that its project-consulting model is cyclically depressed, not structurally impaired.

Evidence assessed Oct 19, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Resources Connection

Where the evidence on Resources Connection disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 19, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • RGP's access to specialized professional talent will preserve enough pricing power over consultant pay and subcontractor costs to keep gross margin from structurally eroding.

    sec.gov ↗

  • RGP's balance sheet gives it time to repair demand and costs without being forced into distressed financing, provided cash does not get consumed by a prolonged downturn.

    sec.gov ↗

  • RGP's human-capital network must remain deep enough to staff client change projects quickly with credible experts; if talent leaves, the brand becomes ordinary staffing.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Clients will keep using RGP for episodic change work if they need senior project talent without permanent hiring; this is the core demand driver that must re-accelerate.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management must make the operating cost base flexible enough that a smaller revenue base can still produce GAAP operating profit; the turnaround fails if SG&A and restructuring costs remain sized for the old business.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Resources Connection’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Resources Connection, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Resources Connection.

peers+15%-20%-2%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -2% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+15% to -20%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

Early warning

The break condition read on the trailing twelve months through Resources Connection’s latest quarterly report, ahead of the annual figure it is written on.

  • Operating-margin compression, trailing 12 months

    Across all companies, this kind of early warning has happened 2,641 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 36% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

Several kinds of break have stacked on Resources Connection at once. A cluster is a stronger read than any one signal alone.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Resources Connection filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-07: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Resources Connection filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-21: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Resources Connection filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-03: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Corporate clients continue delaying discretionary transformation, finance, technology, and compliance projects rather than restarting them.
  • Clients re-bid projects aggressively and force lower bill rates as consulting capacity loosens.
  • Management and administrative headcount remains too high relative to billable demand.
  • Client collections weaken or payment terms stretch, turning operating cash flow negative before revenue recovers.
  • Senior consultants and client-facing leaders leave for larger consulting firms, staffing competitors, or independent work.

RGP news

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Financial statements

RGP income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

RGP: quick answers

When does Resources Connection (RGP) report earnings next?
Resources Connection's next results are projected for January 6, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 7, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is RGP's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 902,314 RGP shares were sold short, 2.60% of its shares outstanding, up 0.3% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. RGP short interest history
Have members of Congress traded RGP?
1 trade in RGP has been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed RGP trade
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