Quantum Computing
QUBTNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $6.30 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $6.10–$6.57 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 7.4M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $5.39–$14.45 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own QUBT if QUBT is an option on turning early quantum/high-performance-computing technology into real customer deployments, with an unusually large cash runway but almost no current proof of commercial scale.
QUBT price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Customers facing harder compute workloads will move QUBT from evaluations to paid deployments if its quantum/high-performance-computing offering delivers practical performance or integration advantages over conventional cloud and GPU alternatives.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue rose to $682,000 in FY2025 from $373,000 in FY2024 and $358,000 in FY2023. If this holds, QUBT can graduate from R&D-stage optionality to a real operating company; if it fails, revenue remains too small to justify the spending base.
Watch: NVIDIA GPU-based systems and conventional cloud high-performance computing meet target workloads at lower cost or with easier integration.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue rose to $682,000 in FY2025 from $373,000 in FY2024 and $358,000 in FY2023.
Open source ↗If QUBT has differentiated, repeatable product value rather than mainly one-off services or custom projects, incremental deployments should carry improving unit economics instead of being consumed by hardware, integration, and support costs.WeakeningMateriality: High
GAAP annual gross profit was positive in each reported year from FY2022 through FY2025. Revenue growth only creates owner value if it scales with gross profit; otherwise commercialization may require subsidizing customers.
Watch: Customer wins are dominated by low-margin custom integration rather than repeatable product sales.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual gross profit was positive in each reported year from FY2022 through FY2025.
Open source ↗QUBT’s large cash balance gives it time and negotiating flexibility to fund commercialization without immediate financing pressure, provided management does not turn the balance sheet into an undisciplined fixed-cost buildout.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Cash was $737.88 million at December 31, 2025, up from $78.945 million at December 31, 2024. Runway is the main asset protecting shareholders while product-market fit is unproven; poor capital allocation would convert that advantage into burn.
Watch: Management commits to a large acquisition, manufacturing buildout, or infrastructure plan before customer demand is proven.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash was $737.88 million at December 31, 2025, up from $78.945 million at December 31, 2024.
Open source ↗R&D and selling capacity create value only if they produce a repeatable sales motion; at QUBT’s current scale, widening operating losses without visible customer wins would indicate spending is not compounding into an operating asset.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual revenue increased in FY2025, suggesting some customer conversion occurred, but from a very small base. This determines whether the company’s cash runway funds future value creation or simply extends the period of losses.
Watch: Key technical or commercial employees leave, weakening the company’s ability to turn R&D into customer deployments.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue increased in FY2025, suggesting some customer conversion occurred, but from a very small base.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Customers facing harder compute workloads will move QUBT from evaluations to paid deployments if its quantum/high-performance-computing offering delivers practical performance or integration advantages over conventional cloud and GPU alternatives. If this holds, QUBT can graduate from R&D-stage optionality to a real operating company; if it fails, revenue remains too small to justify the spending base.
If QUBT has differentiated, repeatable product value rather than mainly one-off services or custom projects, incremental deployments should carry improving unit economics instead of being consumed by hardware, integration, and support costs. Revenue growth only creates owner value if it scales with gross profit; otherwise commercialization may require subsidizing customers.
QUBT’s large cash balance gives it time and negotiating flexibility to fund commercialization without immediate financing pressure, provided management does not turn the balance sheet into an undisciplined fixed-cost buildout. Runway is the main asset protecting shareholders while product-market fit is unproven; poor capital allocation would convert that advantage into burn.
R&D and selling capacity create value only if they produce a repeatable sales motion; at QUBT’s current scale, widening operating losses without visible customer wins would indicate spending is not compounding into an operating asset. This determines whether the company’s cash runway funds future value creation or simply extends the period of losses.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
QUBT is an option on turning early quantum/high-performance-computing technology into real customer deployments, with an unusually large cash runway but almost no current proof of commercial scale.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Quantum Computing
Where the evidence on Quantum Computing disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 1 holding and 2 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Customers facing harder compute workloads will move QUBT from evaluations to paid deployments if its quantum/high-performance-computing offering delivers practical performance or integration advantages over conventional cloud and GPU alternatives.
QUBT’s large cash balance gives it time and negotiating flexibility to fund commercialization without immediate financing pressure, provided management does not turn the balance sheet into an undisciplined fixed-cost buildout.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
If QUBT has differentiated, repeatable product value rather than mainly one-off services or custom projects, incremental deployments should carry improving unit economics instead of being consumed by hardware, integration, and support costs.
R&D and selling capacity create value only if they produce a repeatable sales motion; at QUBT’s current scale, widening operating losses without visible customer wins would indicate spending is not compounding into an operating asset.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Quantum Computing
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedRegulation FD disclosure.
Quantum Computing filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-02: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Quantum Computing filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Quantum Computing filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-22: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- NVIDIA GPU-based systems and conventional cloud high-performance computing meet target workloads at lower cost or with easier integration.
- Customer wins are dominated by low-margin custom integration rather than repeatable product sales.
- Management commits to a large acquisition, manufacturing buildout, or infrastructure plan before customer demand is proven.
- Key technical or commercial employees leave, weakening the company’s ability to turn R&D into customer deployments.
QUBT news
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Financial statements
QUBT income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
QUBT: quick answers
- What is QUBT's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 69.1M QUBT shares were sold short, 30.4% of its shares outstanding, down 1.3% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 12 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. QUBT short interest history
