Protagonist Therapeutics

PTGXNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$134.86
−$1.40 (−1.03%)Today 1M −5.20%
After hours$134.97+0.08%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$136.26
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$132.03–$136.98
Regular-session low and high so far today.
332.6K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 24 projected
Projected for 2027-02-24 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$77.00–$160.81
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PTGX if its validated discovery platform and key partnered/proprietary programs keep converting clinical progress into non-dilutive collaboration cash, royalties, and eventually durable product economics.

PTGX price history

Latest price$134.86Today−$1.40 (-1.03%)
PTGX -6.96%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Partner-funded development must remain a repeatable funding engine, because PTGX’s current economics depend on collaborators continuing to advance platform-originated programs rather than on recurring product sales.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY 2024 GAAP annual revenue was $434.4 million, demonstrating that collaboration or milestone economics can materially change the company’s financial profile. If collaboration economics repeat, PTGX can fund R&D with less dilution; if partners pause or return programs, shareholders own a cash-burning pipeline with fewer external validations.

    Watch: A major collaborator deprioritizes, delays, or returns rights to a PTGX-originated program after seeing weaker efficacy, safety, or market-access prospects.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY 2024 GAAP annual revenue was $434.4 million, demonstrating that collaboration or milestone economics can materially change the company’s financial.

    Open source ↗
  • The platform only creates durable value if it keeps producing drug candidates with enough clinical differentiation to justify advancement against entrenched biologics, small molecules, and disease-specific standards of care.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY 2025 GAAP operating income was a loss of $158.1 million, indicating the company is still investing heavily ahead of durable commercial cash flows. If differentiation holds, PTGX can earn milestones, royalties, or product economics; if not, the platform becomes a costly discovery capability without pricing power.

    Watch: Late-stage clinical data show PTGX-originated programs lack efficacy, safety, dosing convenience, or durability versus approved biologics or oral competitors.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY 2025 GAAP operating income was a loss of $158.1 million, indicating the company is still investing heavily ahead of.

    Open source ↗
  • A strong balance sheet must preserve PTGX’s ability to fund trials and negotiate partnerships from strength rather than issuing distressed equity after clinical or milestone delays.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $128.4 million at December 31, 2025, up from $97.2 million at December 31, 2024. Adequate runway lets shareholders keep more upside from successful programs; a funding squeeze transfers value to new investors or partners.

    Watch: Clinical programs expand in size, duration, or manufacturing complexity faster than milestone receipts arrive.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $128.4 million at December 31, 2025, up from $97.2 million at December 31, 2024.

    Open source ↗
  • PTGX can show attractive operating leverage only if milestone, royalty, or future product economics scale faster than the fixed R&D organization; otherwise revenue growth can still destroy per-share value.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    FY 2024 GAAP operating income was $252.8 million on $434.4 million of GAAP revenue, showing high flow-through when collaboration revenue is large. This determines whether clinical success becomes shareholder compounding or merely funds another cycle of losses and dilution.

    Watch: Management builds expensive commercial or manufacturing infrastructure before product approval without offsetting partner funding.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY 2024 GAAP operating income was $252.8 million on $434.4 million of GAAP revenue, showing high flow-through when collaboration revenue.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Partner-funded development must remain a repeatable funding engine, because PTGX’s current economics depend on collaborators continuing to advance platform-originated programs rather than on recurring product sales. If collaboration economics repeat, PTGX can fund R&D with less dilution; if partners pause or return programs, shareholders own a cash-burning pipeline with fewer external validations.

The platform only creates durable value if it keeps producing drug candidates with enough clinical differentiation to justify advancement against entrenched biologics, small molecules, and disease-specific standards of care. If differentiation holds, PTGX can earn milestones, royalties, or product economics; if not, the platform becomes a costly discovery capability without pricing power.

A strong balance sheet must preserve PTGX’s ability to fund trials and negotiate partnerships from strength rather than issuing distressed equity after clinical or milestone delays. Adequate runway lets shareholders keep more upside from successful programs; a funding squeeze transfers value to new investors or partners.

PTGX can show attractive operating leverage only if milestone, royalty, or future product economics scale faster than the fixed R&D organization; otherwise revenue growth can still destroy per-share value. This determines whether clinical success becomes shareholder compounding or merely funds another cycle of losses and dilution.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its validated discovery platform and key partnered/proprietary programs keep converting clinical progress into non-dilutive collaboration cash, royalties, and eventually durable product economics.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Protagonist Therapeutics

Where the evidence on Protagonist Therapeutics stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Partner-funded development must remain a repeatable funding engine, because PTGX’s current economics depend on collaborators continuing to advance platform-originated programs rather than on recurring product sales.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The platform only creates durable value if it keeps producing drug candidates with enough clinical differentiation to justify advancement against entrenched biologics, small molecules, and disease-specific standards of care.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A strong balance sheet must preserve PTGX’s ability to fund trials and negotiate partnerships from strength rather than issuing distressed equity after clinical or milestone delays.

    sec.gov ↗

  • PTGX can show attractive operating leverage only if milestone, royalty, or future product economics scale faster than the fixed R&D organization; otherwise revenue growth can still destroy per-share value.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A major collaborator deprioritizes, delays, or returns rights to a PTGX-originated program after seeing weaker efficacy, safety, or market-access prospects.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Late-stage clinical data show PTGX-originated programs lack efficacy, safety, dosing convenience, or durability versus approved biologics or oral competitors.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Clinical programs expand in size, duration, or manufacturing complexity faster than milestone receipts arrive.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Protagonist Therapeutics

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Protagonist Therapeutics’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Protagonist Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Protagonist Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Protagonist Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-18: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A major collaborator deprioritizes, delays, or returns rights to a PTGX-originated program after seeing weaker efficacy, safety, or market-access prospects.
  • Late-stage clinical data show PTGX-originated programs lack efficacy, safety, dosing convenience, or durability versus approved biologics or oral competitors.
  • Clinical programs expand in size, duration, or manufacturing complexity faster than milestone receipts arrive.
  • Management builds expensive commercial or manufacturing infrastructure before product approval without offsetting partner funding.

PTGX news

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Financial statements

PTGX income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PTGX: quick answers

When does Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) report earnings next?
Protagonist Therapeutics's next results are projected for February 24, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is PTGX's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 10.2M PTGX shares were sold short, 15.7% of its shares outstanding, down 0.5% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 17 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. PTGX short interest history
Have members of Congress traded PTGX?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in PTGX by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed PTGX trade
Which well-known investors own PTGX?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PTGX shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller), 0.5%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

PTGX in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported PTGX shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Stanley DruckenmillerDuquesne Family Office0.49%$25.6M+30.8%Q2 2026
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$1.1M+75.7%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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