PriceSmart

PSMTNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$166.50
−$0.21 (−0.13%)Today 1M −1.28%
After hours$166.500.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$166.71
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$164.06–$167.28
Regular-session low and high so far today.
123.6K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$114.43–$199.84
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PSMT if PriceSmart is a durable but thin-margin warehouse-club compounder whose value depends on preserving its member-value proposition in smaller international markets while converting steady sales growth into cash without overbuilding.

PSMT price history

Latest price$166.50Today−$0.21 (-0.13%)
PSMT -2.26%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • PriceSmart’s warehouse-club value proposition keeps converting household and small-business demand into repeat shopping because customers perceive enough savings and assortment differentiation to justify the club model.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Annual GAAP revenue increased to $5.270 billion in FY2025 from $4.914 billion in FY2024 and $4.412 billion in FY2023. If the value gap holds, revenue can keep compounding; if it narrows, the model loses the repeat traffic that supports scale economics.

    Watch: Walmart-style mass merchants, Costco-style clubs, or strong local discounters match PriceSmart’s bulk pricing and imported assortment without requiring customers to pay for a club relationship.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP revenue increased to $5.270 billion in FY2025 from $4.914 billion in FY2024 and $4.412 billion in FY2023.

    Open source ↗
  • PriceSmart’s sourcing, merchandising, and pricing discipline preserve enough merchandise spread to fund low prices without structurally sacrificing gross margin.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Estimated annual GAAP gross profit increased to $914.4 million in FY2025 from $846.9 million in FY2024 and $759.3 million in FY2023. Stable gross margin is what lets the company grow without buying sales through permanent price cuts.

    Watch: Global freight, tariffs, food inflation, or supplier cost pressure outpace PriceSmart’s ability to pass costs through while maintaining its low-price promise.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Estimated annual GAAP gross profit increased to $914.4 million in FY2025 from $846.9 million in FY2024 and $759.3 million in.

    Open source ↗
  • The club model can translate sales growth into operating profit if fixed costs, labor, logistics, and new-club spending remain disciplined relative to member demand.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating income rose to $232.5 million in FY2025 from $220.9 million in FY2024 and $184.5 million in FY2023. Owners need growth to come with operating leverage or at least margin stability; otherwise more clubs and sales add little incremental value.

    Watch: New clubs underperform because sites are too small, trade areas are saturated, or local demand is overestimated.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating income rose to $232.5 million in FY2025 from $220.9 million in FY2024 and $184.5 million in FY2023.

    Open source ↗
  • The warehouse-club operating model remains cash-generative if inventory turns and supplier terms continue to keep working capital from absorbing the accounting profits.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating cash flow was $261.3 million in FY2025, above FY2025 GAAP net income of $147.9 million. Cash conversion funds expansion and resilience; weak working capital would make the company more dependent on debt or lower-return capital allocation.

    Watch: Inventory builds because imported goods are delayed, misforecast, or mismatched to local demand.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating cash flow was $261.3 million in FY2025, above FY2025 GAAP net income of $147.9 million.

    Open source ↗
  • PriceSmart has enough balance-sheet flexibility to self-fund selective expansion and withstand market volatility, provided cash is not trapped or consumed by poorly returning growth.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $241.0 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $125.4 million at FY2024 year-end. A resilient balance sheet lets owners benefit from long-term unit growth without excessive financial risk.

    Watch: Expansion capital is committed to markets where club productivity does not justify the investment.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $241.0 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $125.4 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

PriceSmart’s warehouse-club value proposition keeps converting household and small-business demand into repeat shopping because customers perceive enough savings and assortment differentiation to justify the club model. If the value gap holds, revenue can keep compounding; if it narrows, the model loses the repeat traffic that supports scale economics.

PriceSmart’s sourcing, merchandising, and pricing discipline preserve enough merchandise spread to fund low prices without structurally sacrificing gross margin. Stable gross margin is what lets the company grow without buying sales through permanent price cuts.

The club model can translate sales growth into operating profit if fixed costs, labor, logistics, and new-club spending remain disciplined relative to member demand. Owners need growth to come with operating leverage or at least margin stability; otherwise more clubs and sales add little incremental value.

The warehouse-club operating model remains cash-generative if inventory turns and supplier terms continue to keep working capital from absorbing the accounting profits. Cash conversion funds expansion and resilience; weak working capital would make the company more dependent on debt or lower-return capital allocation.

PriceSmart has enough balance-sheet flexibility to self-fund selective expansion and withstand market volatility, provided cash is not trapped or consumed by poorly returning growth. A resilient balance sheet lets owners benefit from long-term unit growth without excessive financial risk.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

PriceSmart is a durable but thin-margin warehouse-club compounder whose value depends on preserving its member-value proposition in smaller international markets while converting steady sales growth into cash without overbuilding.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Pricesmart

Where the evidence on Pricesmart stands: Strengthening on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 5 strengthening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • PriceSmart’s warehouse-club value proposition keeps converting household and small-business demand into repeat shopping because customers perceive enough savings and assortment differentiation to justify the club model.

    sec.gov ↗

  • PriceSmart’s sourcing, merchandising, and pricing discipline preserve enough merchandise spread to fund low prices without structurally sacrificing gross margin.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The club model can translate sales growth into operating profit if fixed costs, labor, logistics, and new-club spending remain disciplined relative to member demand.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The warehouse-club operating model remains cash-generative if inventory turns and supplier terms continue to keep working capital from absorbing the accounting profits.

    sec.gov ↗

  • PriceSmart has enough balance-sheet flexibility to self-fund selective expansion and withstand market volatility, provided cash is not trapped or consumed by poorly returning growth.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Walmart-style mass merchants, Costco-style clubs, or strong local discounters match PriceSmart’s bulk pricing and imported assortment without requiring customers to pay for a club relationship.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Global freight, tariffs, food inflation, or supplier cost pressure outpace PriceSmart’s ability to pass costs through while maintaining its low-price promise.

    sec.gov ↗

  • New clubs underperform because sites are too small, trade areas are saturated, or local demand is overestimated.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Pricesmart

Loading the break-condition record for Pricesmart.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Pricesmart filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-26: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Pricesmart filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-08: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Walmart-style mass merchants, Costco-style clubs, or strong local discounters match PriceSmart’s bulk pricing and imported assortment without requiring customers to pay for a club relationship.
  • Global freight, tariffs, food inflation, or supplier cost pressure outpace PriceSmart’s ability to pass costs through while maintaining its low-price promise.
  • New clubs underperform because sites are too small, trade areas are saturated, or local demand is overestimated.
  • Inventory builds because imported goods are delayed, misforecast, or mismatched to local demand.
  • Expansion capital is committed to markets where club productivity does not justify the investment.

PSMT news

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Financial statements

PSMT income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PSMT: quick answers

Which well-known investors own PSMT?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PSMT shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

PSMT in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PSMT shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$636K+68.9%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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