Perdoceo Education

PRDONASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$28.96
+$0.09 (+0.31%)Today 1M −14.36%
After hours$28.960.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$28.87
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$28.80–$29.48
Regular-session low and high so far today.
556.0K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$26.24–$38.50
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PRDO if its accredited, flexible-delivery education model keeps attracting adult learners at disciplined acquisition costs while regulatory eligibility remains intact.

PRDO price history

Latest price$28.96Today+$0.09 (+0.31%)
PRDO -14.37%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Perdoceo’s fully online, campus-based, and hybrid delivery model continues to solve a flexibility problem for adult postsecondary students, so qualified demand keeps converting into enrollment and tuition revenue.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased to $846.1 million in FY2025 from $681.3 million in FY2024. If the flexibility advantage holds, revenue can grow without a new campus-heavy capital cycle; if students migrate to cheaper or stronger alternatives, the growth engine fades.

    Watch: Large nonprofit online programs and public universities win the same adult learners with lower prices or stronger brand credentials.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased to $846.1 million in FY2025 from $681.3 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Accreditation and education-regulatory eligibility remain the gating moat: if Perdoceo keeps compliant access to student funding and authorizations, the business can keep monetizing demand.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue of $846.1 million in FY2025 indicates the company was still able to enroll students and recognize tuition revenue at scale. Regulatory standing is a prerequisite to the model; a loss of eligibility can impair revenue before normal competitive dynamics matter.

    Watch: U.S. Department of Education action restricts Title IV participation, imposes heightened cash monitoring, or tightens rules affecting for-profit schools.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue of $846.1 million in FY2025 indicates the company was still able to enroll students and recognize tuition.

    Open source ↗
  • The model’s value depends on enrollment growth being absorbed by a scalable operating platform rather than purchased with structurally higher marketing, instruction, or support costs.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income rose to $196.0 million in FY2025 from $174.3 million in FY2024. Growth only creates owner value if it converts into operating profit; if acquisition or service costs rise faster than tuition revenue, the 2025 revenue step-up is lower quality.

    Watch: Digital advertising costs for adult learners rise sharply as nonprofit universities and online competitors bid for the same inquiries.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income rose to $196.0 million in FY2025 from $174.3 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Perdoceo’s tuition and operating model continues to convert accounting earnings into cash, giving management flexibility to reinvest, withstand regulatory friction, or return capital.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $225.2 million in FY2025 versus GAAP net income of $159.9 million. Strong cash conversion makes the earnings more valuable and reduces dependence on external financing; weak conversion would suggest earnings quality or working-capital pressure is deteriorating.

    Watch: Student funding delays, higher refunds, or return-to-Title-IV obligations create working-capital outflows before revenue rolls over.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $225.2 million in FY2025 versus GAAP net income of $159.9 million.

    Open source ↗
  • A conservative balance sheet gives Perdoceo room to navigate regulatory, enrollment, and investment cycles without turning operating problems into financing problems.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities were $275.3 million at FY2025 against total assets of $1.2477 billion. Financial resilience matters because for-profit education can face abrupt rule changes or investigations; a weak balance sheet would make those shocks more damaging to equity holders.

    Watch: A large acquisition, settlement, or remediation program materially increases leverage or contingent liabilities.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities were $275.3 million at FY2025 against total assets of $1.2477 billion.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Perdoceo’s fully online, campus-based, and hybrid delivery model continues to solve a flexibility problem for adult postsecondary students, so qualified demand keeps converting into enrollment and tuition revenue. If the flexibility advantage holds, revenue can grow without a new campus-heavy capital cycle; if students migrate to cheaper or stronger alternatives, the growth engine fades.

Accreditation and education-regulatory eligibility remain the gating moat: if Perdoceo keeps compliant access to student funding and authorizations, the business can keep monetizing demand. Regulatory standing is a prerequisite to the model; a loss of eligibility can impair revenue before normal competitive dynamics matter.

The model’s value depends on enrollment growth being absorbed by a scalable operating platform rather than purchased with structurally higher marketing, instruction, or support costs. Growth only creates owner value if it converts into operating profit; if acquisition or service costs rise faster than tuition revenue, the 2025 revenue step-up is lower quality.

Perdoceo’s tuition and operating model continues to convert accounting earnings into cash, giving management flexibility to reinvest, withstand regulatory friction, or return capital. Strong cash conversion makes the earnings more valuable and reduces dependence on external financing; weak conversion would suggest earnings quality or working-capital pressure is deteriorating.

A conservative balance sheet gives Perdoceo room to navigate regulatory, enrollment, and investment cycles without turning operating problems into financing problems. Financial resilience matters because for-profit education can face abrupt rule changes or investigations; a weak balance sheet would make those shocks more damaging to equity holders.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its accredited, flexible-delivery education model keeps attracting adult learners at disciplined acquisition costs while regulatory eligibility remains intact.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for PERDOCEO EDUCATION

Where the evidence on PERDOCEO EDUCATION stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 4 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Perdoceo’s fully online, campus-based, and hybrid delivery model continues to solve a flexibility problem for adult postsecondary students, so qualified demand keeps converting into enrollment and tuition revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Accreditation and education-regulatory eligibility remain the gating moat: if Perdoceo keeps compliant access to student funding and authorizations, the business can keep monetizing demand.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The model’s value depends on enrollment growth being absorbed by a scalable operating platform rather than purchased with structurally higher marketing, instruction, or support costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Perdoceo’s tuition and operating model continues to convert accounting earnings into cash, giving management flexibility to reinvest, withstand regulatory friction, or return capital.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A conservative balance sheet gives Perdoceo room to navigate regulatory, enrollment, and investment cycles without turning operating problems into financing problems.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large nonprofit online programs and public universities win the same adult learners with lower prices or stronger brand credentials.

    sec.gov ↗

  • U.S. Department of Education action restricts Title IV participation, imposes heightened cash monitoring, or tightens rules affecting for-profit schools.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Digital advertising costs for adult learners rise sharply as nonprofit universities and online competitors bid for the same inquiries.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in PERDOCEO EDUCATION’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on PERDOCEO EDUCATION, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for PERDOCEO EDUCATION.

  • Sharp drawdowncondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 15,428 times before. Those stocks beat comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    PERDOCEO EDUCATION filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    PERDOCEO EDUCATION filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-14: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    PERDOCEO EDUCATION filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large nonprofit online programs and public universities win the same adult learners with lower prices or stronger brand credentials.
  • U.S. Department of Education action restricts Title IV participation, imposes heightened cash monitoring, or tightens rules affecting for-profit schools.
  • Digital advertising costs for adult learners rise sharply as nonprofit universities and online competitors bid for the same inquiries.
  • Student funding delays, higher refunds, or return-to-Title-IV obligations create working-capital outflows before revenue rolls over.
  • A large acquisition, settlement, or remediation program materially increases leverage or contingent liabilities.

PRDO news

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Financial statements

PRDO income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PRDO: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded PRDO?
3 trades in PRDO have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed PRDO trade
Which well-known investors own PRDO?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PRDO shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Miller Value Partners (Bill Miller), 0.3%. Fund portfolios

PRDO in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PRDO shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Bill MillerMiller Value Partners0.30%$1.3M−0.3%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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