Permian Resources

PRNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$22.32
+$0.60 (+2.76%)Today 1M −5.69%
After hours$22.00−1.43%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$21.72
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$21.84–$22.37
Regular-session low and high so far today.
8.5M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 24 projected
Projected for 2027-02-24 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$13.18–$26.07
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PR if Permian Resources converts Permian Basin scale and low-cost upstream operations into large, repeatable operating cash flow that funds growth, debt reduction and shareholder returns, provided oil prices and takeaway capacity remain supportive.

PR price history

Latest price$22.32Today+$0.60 (+2.76%)
PR -4.72%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Permian's low-cost Permian Basin operations will keep operating margins resilient through commodity cycles, preserving operating income even when revenue fluctuates.HoldingMateriality: High

    OperatingIncomeLoss rose from $370.6M (2021) to $1.0075B (2022) and $1.0965B (2023), peaked at $1.7445B (2024) and remained $1.4627B in 2025 — showing scale and margin improvement over time even as revenue changed. If margins hold, the company converts commodity dollars into durable operating income and cash; if margins compress (not just revenues), cash available for investment/returns falls quickly.

    Watch: A sustained fall in WTI/NGL realizations materially below break-even for Permian shale producers (a broad commodity shock).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    OperatingIncomeLoss rose from $370.6M (2021) to $1.0075B (2022) and $1.0965B (2023), peaked at $1.7445B (2024) and remained $1.4627B in 2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The business will continue to generate sizeable operating cash flow from existing production, allowing debt reduction and shareholder returns so long as production economics remain intact.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities grew from $1.3717B (2022) to $2.2135B (2023) to $3.4119B (2024) and $3.6075B (2025), demonstrating step‑up in cash generation. High and stable operating cash flow is the lever that funds buybacks, debt paydown, or reinvestment without dilutive financing; a collapse in cash flow removes all strategic optionality.

    Watch: Management shifts to an aggressive, debt-funded acquisitive growth strategy or materially increases per-period capex, draining free cash flow.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities grew from $1.3717B (2022) to $2.2135B (2023) to $3.4119B (2024) and $3.6075B (2025), demonstrating step‑up in cash generation.

    Open source ↗
  • Absent a meaningful increase in capital spending or acquisitions, revenue growth is likely to track commodity prices and incremental production, not repeat the multi‑year organic expansion seen 2021–2024.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Revenue expanded from $1.03B (2021) to $2.13B (2022) to $3.12B (2023) to $5.00B (2024) but then showed only a small increase to $5.065B (2025), indicating growth has slowed absent large new initiatives. If management prefers capital discipline over growth, investors should expect cash return rather than high revenue growth; if management pursues aggressive growth capex or M&A, revenue can rise but may compress cash returns and margins.

    Watch: A major, debt-funded acreage acquisition or large drilling program that meaningfully increases production volumes.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue expanded from $1.03B (2021) to $2.13B (2022) to $3.12B (2023) to $5.00B (2024) but then showed only a small.

    Open source ↗
  • Rising equity and asset base gives Permian balance-sheet headroom to fund opportunistic M&A or weather cycles, preserving optionality without much leverage increase.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    StockholdersEquity grew from $2.9357B (2022) to $6.3361B (2023) to $9.1385B (2024) and $10.2783B (2025), indicating expanding book capital. A stronger equity base reduces refinancing and covenant risk and lets management use cash flow strategically; if equity falls, financial flexibility is impaired.

    Watch: A large, debt-financed acquisition that materially increases Liabilities and reduces equity through goodwill/impairments.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    StockholdersEquity grew from $2.9357B (2022) to $6.3361B (2023) to $9.1385B (2024) and $10.2783B (2025), indicating expanding book capital.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Permian's low-cost Permian Basin operations will keep operating margins resilient through commodity cycles, preserving operating income even when revenue fluctuates. If margins hold, the company converts commodity dollars into durable operating income and cash; if margins compress (not just revenues), cash available for investment/returns falls quickly.

The business will continue to generate sizeable operating cash flow from existing production, allowing debt reduction and shareholder returns so long as production economics remain intact. High and stable operating cash flow is the lever that funds buybacks, debt paydown, or reinvestment without dilutive financing; a collapse in cash flow removes all strategic optionality.

Absent a meaningful increase in capital spending or acquisitions, revenue growth is likely to track commodity prices and incremental production, not repeat the multi‑year organic expansion seen 2021–2024. If management prefers capital discipline over growth, investors should expect cash return rather than high revenue growth; if management pursues aggressive growth capex or M&A, revenue can rise but may compress cash returns and margins.

Rising equity and asset base gives Permian balance-sheet headroom to fund opportunistic M&A or weather cycles, preserving optionality without much leverage increase. A stronger equity base reduces refinancing and covenant risk and lets management use cash flow strategically; if equity falls, financial flexibility is impaired.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Permian Resources converts Permian Basin scale and low-cost upstream operations into large, repeatable operating cash flow that funds growth, debt reduction and shareholder returns, provided oil prices and takeaway capacity remain supportive.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Permian Resources

Where the evidence on Permian Resources stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Permian's low-cost Permian Basin operations will keep operating margins resilient through commodity cycles, preserving operating income even when revenue fluctuates.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The business will continue to generate sizeable operating cash flow from existing production, allowing debt reduction and shareholder returns so long as production economics remain intact.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Absent a meaningful increase in capital spending or acquisitions, revenue growth is likely to track commodity prices and incremental production, not repeat the multi‑year organic expansion seen 2021–2024.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rising equity and asset base gives Permian balance-sheet headroom to fund opportunistic M&A or weather cycles, preserving optionality without much leverage increase.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A sustained fall in WTI/NGL realizations materially below break-even for Permian shale producers (a broad commodity shock).

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management shifts to an aggressive, debt-funded acquisitive growth strategy or materially increases per-period capex, draining free cash flow.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A major, debt-funded acreage acquisition or large drilling program that meaningfully increases production volumes.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Permian Resources

Loading the break-condition record for Permian Resources.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Permian Resources filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Permian Resources filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Permian Resources filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-19: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A sustained fall in WTI/NGL realizations materially below break-even for Permian shale producers (a broad commodity shock).
  • Management shifts to an aggressive, debt-funded acquisitive growth strategy or materially increases per-period capex, draining free cash flow.
  • A major, debt-funded acreage acquisition or large drilling program that meaningfully increases production volumes.
  • A large, debt-financed acquisition that materially increases Liabilities and reduces equity through goodwill/impairments.

PR news

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Financial statements

PR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PR: quick answers

When does Permian Resources (PR) report earnings next?
Permian Resources's next results are projected for February 24, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 4, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is PR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 29.7M PR shares were sold short, 3.54% of its shares outstanding, down 2.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. PR short interest history
Have members of Congress traded PR?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in PR by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed PR trade
Which well-known investors own PR?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

PR in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.11%$27.9MNewQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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