Pinnacle Financial Partners

PNFPNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$101.84
−$0.96 (−0.93%)Today 1M +9.37%
After hours$101.85+0.01%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$102.80
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$101.03–$102.81
Regular-session low and high so far today.
881.4K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$81.08–$110.33
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PNFP if Pinnacle creates durable value by converting a scaled regional branch footprint and an acquisitive growth model (now including Synovus) into predictable net interest income and fee revenue, while using disciplined credit and risk controls.

PNFP price history

Latest price$101.84Today−$0.96 (-0.93%)
PNFP +7.50%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • The Synovus merger will be accretive to shareholder value because scale will produce meaningful cost and revenue synergies that raise EPS above organic growth.HoldingMateriality: High

    eps_diluted rose from 7.14 (2023) to 8.07 (2025), showing historical earnings growth. If true, EPS growth and cash generation accelerate and the premium multiple is justified; if false, dilution, higher costs or lost customers will depress earnings and valuation.

    Watch: integration failures (culture/IT/operations) that force higher-than-expected integration costs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    eps_diluted rose from 7.14 (2023) to 8.07 (2025), showing historical earnings growth.

    Open source ↗
  • Sustained balance‑sheet and branch footprint growth will keep revenue growing by expanding net interest income and fee revenue as long as deposit funding remains stable.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    assets grew from 52,589,449,000 (12/31/2024) to 57,706,000,00 (12/31/2025). Revenue growth from a larger, low‑cost deposit base drives operating leverage and cash flow; if deposit costs spike or assets shrink, revenue and margins compress quickly.

    Watch: rapidly rising deposit betas / competitive deposit pricing that forces higher funding costs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets grew from 52,589,449,000 (12/31/2024) to 57,706,000,00 (12/31/2025).

    Open source ↗
  • A formal risk management framework and risk appetite statement will prevent large, unexpected credit losses and protect earnings and capital under stress.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    net_income increased from 562,152,000 (2023) to 641,865,000 (2025). If credit controls hold, earnings and capital remain stable and the franchise retains its premium; if controls fail, loan losses can quickly erode net income and require capital actions.

    Watch: a regional downturn (CRE or commercial) that triggers concentrated borrower defaults.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    net_income increased from 562,152,000 (2023) to 641,865,000 (2025).

    Open source ↗
  • Bank‑owned life insurance (BOLI) holdings represent a real liquidity and tax‑loss tail risk if Pinnacle must convert them to cash under stress.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    MD&A states $1.2 billion in BOLI contracts at December 31, 2025 and notes prior restructuring losses in Q4 2023. Forced BOLI liquidation would generate taxable income, penalties and possible realized losses that hit cash and earnings; that outcome would pressure capital and shareholder returns.

    Watch: an acute liquidity event or deposit run that forces BOLI sales with taxable gains/penalties.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A states $1.2 billion in BOLI contracts at December 31, 2025 and notes prior restructuring losses in Q4 2023.

    Open source ↗
  • Information‑technology or cybersecurity failures could cause material operational disruption and financial loss, visible early as increased operating costs or degraded cash generation.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    MD&A emphasizes dependence on IT/telecommunications and details cyber and operational risks. A large breach or protracted systems failure would harm revenue, raise remediation costs and damage reputation; absent such events, investments in systems support growth and efficiency.

    Watch: a major ransomware or vendor breach that interrupts customer access or forces remediation.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A emphasizes dependence on IT/telecommunications and details cyber and operational risks.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

The Synovus merger will be accretive to shareholder value because scale will produce meaningful cost and revenue synergies that raise EPS above organic growth. If true, EPS growth and cash generation accelerate and the premium multiple is justified; if false, dilution, higher costs or lost customers will depress earnings and valuation.

Sustained balance‑sheet and branch footprint growth will keep revenue growing by expanding net interest income and fee revenue as long as deposit funding remains stable. Revenue growth from a larger, low‑cost deposit base drives operating leverage and cash flow; if deposit costs spike or assets shrink, revenue and margins compress quickly.

A formal risk management framework and risk appetite statement will prevent large, unexpected credit losses and protect earnings and capital under stress. If credit controls hold, earnings and capital remain stable and the franchise retains its premium; if controls fail, loan losses can quickly erode net income and require capital actions.

Bank‑owned life insurance (BOLI) holdings represent a real liquidity and tax‑loss tail risk if Pinnacle must convert them to cash under stress. Forced BOLI liquidation would generate taxable income, penalties and possible realized losses that hit cash and earnings; that outcome would pressure capital and shareholder returns.

Information‑technology or cybersecurity failures could cause material operational disruption and financial loss, visible early as increased operating costs or degraded cash generation. A large breach or protracted systems failure would harm revenue, raise remediation costs and damage reputation; absent such events, investments in systems support growth and efficiency.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Pinnacle creates durable value by converting a scaled regional branch footprint and an acquisitive growth model (now including Synovus) into predictable net interest income and fee revenue, while using disciplined credit and risk controls.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Pinnacle Financial Partners

Where the evidence on Pinnacle Financial Partners stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • The Synovus merger will be accretive to shareholder value because scale will produce meaningful cost and revenue synergies that raise EPS above organic growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained balance‑sheet and branch footprint growth will keep revenue growing by expanding net interest income and fee revenue as long as deposit funding remains stable.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A formal risk management framework and risk appetite statement will prevent large, unexpected credit losses and protect earnings and capital under stress.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Bank‑owned life insurance (BOLI) holdings represent a real liquidity and tax‑loss tail risk if Pinnacle must convert them to cash under stress.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Information‑technology or cybersecurity failures could cause material operational disruption and financial loss, visible early as increased operating costs or degraded cash generation.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • integration failures (culture/IT/operations) that force higher-than-expected integration costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • rapidly rising deposit betas / competitive deposit pricing that forces higher funding costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • a regional downturn (CRE or commercial) that triggers concentrated borrower defaults.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Pinnacle Financial Partners

Loading the break-condition record for Pinnacle Financial Partners.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Pinnacle Financial Partners filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Pinnacle Financial Partners filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-21: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Pinnacle Financial Partners filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-10: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • integration failures (culture/IT/operations) that force higher-than-expected integration costs.
  • rapidly rising deposit betas / competitive deposit pricing that forces higher funding costs.
  • a regional downturn (CRE or commercial) that triggers concentrated borrower defaults.
  • an acute liquidity event or deposit run that forces BOLI sales with taxable gains/penalties.
  • a major ransomware or vendor breach that interrupts customer access or forces remediation.

PNFP news

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Financial statements

PNFP income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PNFP: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded PNFP?
3 trades in PNFP have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed PNFP trade
Which well-known investors own PNFP?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PNFP shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

PNFP in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PNFP shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
George SorosSoros Fund Management0.06%$5.0MNewQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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