Picard Medical

PMINYSE AmericanUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$8.04
−$0.01 (−0.12%)Today 1M −15.19%
After hours$7.54−6.22%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$8.05
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$7.80–$8.26
Regular-session low and high so far today.
16.5K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$2.65–$208.00
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PMI if adoption grows while unit economics and liquidity improve quickly.

PMI price history

Latest price$8.04Today−$0.01 (-0.12%)
PMI -19.60%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • SynCardia’s lifesaving niche can keep converting transplant-center need into sales only if total artificial heart therapy remains a necessary option for patients not well served by LVADs, BiVADs, ECMO, or emerging artificial-heart competitors.HoldingMateriality: High

    FY2025 annual GAAP revenue was $4.94 million, up from $4.391 million in FY2024, indicating continuing commercial demand despite the company’s small scale. If this holds, Picard has a real demand base to scale from; if it breaks, revenue growth will stall before the company can fix margins.

    Watch: Major transplant centers begin shifting bridge-to-transplant use away from SynCardia toward CARMAT, BiVACOR, durable BiVAD configurations, or prolonged ECMO because outcomes, ease of use, or availability are superior.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP revenue was $4.94 million, up from $4.391 million in FY2024, indicating continuing commercial demand despite the company’s.

    Open source ↗
  • Manufacturing reliability, supplier economics, pricing, and reimbursement must improve enough that additional implants create positive gross profit rather than consuming cash.WeakeningMateriality: High

    FY2025 annual GAAP gross profit was negative $204,000 on $4.94 million of revenue. Revenue growth is not valuable if each sale remains loss-making; gross-margin repair is the bridge from medical relevance to a viable business.

    Watch: Supplier constraints, low manufacturing yields, warranty burden, or quality remediation costs keep cost of goods above achievable selling prices.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP gross profit was negative $204,000 on $4.94 million of revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • Balance-sheet runway is a gating capability because hospitals, suppliers, regulators, and clinical staff must trust that Picard can support an implanted life-sustaining device over time.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash increased to $7.451 million at FY2025 year-end from $96,000 at FY2024 year-end. Adequate funding can preserve adoption and manufacturing support; a perceived funding gap can become a commercial problem before the cash account reaches zero.

    Watch: Capital markets close to small, loss-making medtech issuers before Picard can raise enough funding to support commercialization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash increased to $7.451 million at FY2025 year-end from $96,000 at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
  • Growth depends on expanding highly specialized clinical, regulatory, manufacturing, and field-support capability around transplant centers, not on a broad commodity-device sales channel.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    The company had 75 employees as of December 31, 2025, indicating a small organization supporting a complex medical-device platform. If Picard can scale the support model, each new trained center can expand the revenue base; if not, adoption remains capped by operational bandwidth.

    Watch: Picard cannot recruit or retain experienced field clinical specialists, manufacturing-quality personnel, or regulatory talent needed to support life-sustaining implants.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    The company had 75 employees as of December 31, 2025, indicating a small organization supporting a complex medical-device platform.

    Open source ↗
  • Per-share value depends on funding commercialization without handing too much of the upside to future capital providers through deeply dilutive equity, warrants, or expensive debt.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 annual GAAP diluted EPS was negative $0.75. Even if the device succeeds clinically, common shareholders can lose if the commercialization runway is financed on punitive terms.

    Watch: Picard issues common stock or warrants at distressed prices to fund operating cash burn.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 annual GAAP diluted EPS was negative $0.75.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

SynCardia’s lifesaving niche can keep converting transplant-center need into sales only if total artificial heart therapy remains a necessary option for patients not well served by LVADs, BiVADs, ECMO, or emerging artificial-heart competitors. If this holds, Picard has a real demand base to scale from; if it breaks, revenue growth will stall before the company can fix margins.

Manufacturing reliability, supplier economics, pricing, and reimbursement must improve enough that additional implants create positive gross profit rather than consuming cash. Revenue growth is not valuable if each sale remains loss-making; gross-margin repair is the bridge from medical relevance to a viable business.

Balance-sheet runway is a gating capability because hospitals, suppliers, regulators, and clinical staff must trust that Picard can support an implanted life-sustaining device over time. Adequate funding can preserve adoption and manufacturing support; a perceived funding gap can become a commercial problem before the cash account reaches zero.

Growth depends on expanding highly specialized clinical, regulatory, manufacturing, and field-support capability around transplant centers, not on a broad commodity-device sales channel. If Picard can scale the support model, each new trained center can expand the revenue base; if not, adoption remains capped by operational bandwidth.

Per-share value depends on funding commercialization without handing too much of the upside to future capital providers through deeply dilutive equity, warrants, or expensive debt. Even if the device succeeds clinically, common shareholders can lose if the commercialization runway is financed on punitive terms.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

adoption grows while unit economics and liquidity improve quickly.

Evidence assessed Nov 11, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Picard Medical

Where the evidence on Picard Medical disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 11, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • SynCardia’s lifesaving niche can keep converting transplant-center need into sales only if total artificial heart therapy remains a necessary option for patients not well served by LVADs, BiVADs, ECMO, or emerging artificial-heart competitors.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Balance-sheet runway is a gating capability because hospitals, suppliers, regulators, and clinical staff must trust that Picard can support an implanted life-sustaining device over time.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Growth depends on expanding highly specialized clinical, regulatory, manufacturing, and field-support capability around transplant centers, not on a broad commodity-device sales channel.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Manufacturing reliability, supplier economics, pricing, and reimbursement must improve enough that additional implants create positive gross profit rather than consuming cash.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Per-share value depends on funding commercialization without handing too much of the upside to future capital providers through deeply dilutive equity, warrants, or expensive debt.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Picard Medical

Loading the break-condition record for Picard Medical.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Picard Medical filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Picard Medical filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-23: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Created a direct financial obligation.

    Picard Medical filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-06: Created a direct financial obligation. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major transplant centers begin shifting bridge-to-transplant use away from SynCardia toward CARMAT, BiVACOR, durable BiVAD configurations, or prolonged ECMO because outcomes, ease of use, or availability are superior.
  • Supplier constraints, low manufacturing yields, warranty burden, or quality remediation costs keep cost of goods above achievable selling prices.
  • Capital markets close to small, loss-making medtech issuers before Picard can raise enough funding to support commercialization.
  • Picard cannot recruit or retain experienced field clinical specialists, manufacturing-quality personnel, or regulatory talent needed to support life-sustaining implants.
  • Picard issues common stock or warrants at distressed prices to fund operating cash burn.

PMI news

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Financial statements

PMI income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

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