Progyny

PGNYNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$36.50
+$0.07 (+0.19%)Today 1M +30.43%
After hours$36.500.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$36.43
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$35.93–$36.52
Regular-session low and high so far today.
892.2K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$16.10–$36.52
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PGNY if large employers keep valuing its specialist fertility and women’s-health benefit platform enough to choose it over cheaper bundled alternatives.

PGNY price history

Latest price$36.50Today+$0.07 (+0.19%)
PGNY +30.87%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Large employers continue to view fertility and family-building benefits as a differentiated workforce benefit that warrants a specialist Progyny carve-out rather than a generic carrier bundle.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $786.9 million in FY2022 to $1.289 billion in FY2025. If this holds, Progyny can keep adding and expanding employer relationships; if it breaks, growth becomes a replacement-cycle fight against cheaper bundled alternatives.

    Watch: Large employers shift fertility coverage into bundled offerings from UnitedHealthcare/Optum, CVS/Aetna, Cigna/Evernorth, or similar carrier platforms.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $786.9 million in FY2022 to $1.289 billion in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Progyny’s specialist network, care navigation, and benefit design remain valuable enough that the company avoids being priced like a commodity claims administrator.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $167.3 million in FY2022 to $304.5 million in FY2025. Durable gross economics are the bridge between employer adoption and shareholder value; if pricing is commoditized, revenue can grow while profit quality deteriorates.

    Watch: Fertility clinics and pharmacy partners demand higher reimbursement, absorbing Progyny’s take-rate.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $167.3 million in FY2022 to $304.5 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The platform can support more employer lives and broader women’s-health services without administrative costs rising in lockstep with revenue.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income increased from $23.3 million in FY2022 to $85.3 million in FY2025. Operating leverage determines whether Progyny is merely a growing benefits vendor or a compounding earnings business.

    Watch: Progyny must add care advocates, clinical operations staff, or technology support faster than revenue to maintain service quality.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income increased from $23.3 million in FY2022 to $85.3 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Progyny’s model remains working-capital favorable enough to self-fund client implementations, network payments, and product expansion without relying on heavy leverage.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each year from FY2022 through FY2025. Strong cash conversion gives owners downside protection and strategic flexibility; weak conversion would make growth more fragile and lower-quality.

    Watch: Claims-payment timing shifts against Progyny, requiring larger cash outlays before employer collections.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each year from FY2022 through FY2025.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Large employers continue to view fertility and family-building benefits as a differentiated workforce benefit that warrants a specialist Progyny carve-out rather than a generic carrier bundle. If this holds, Progyny can keep adding and expanding employer relationships; if it breaks, growth becomes a replacement-cycle fight against cheaper bundled alternatives.

Progyny’s specialist network, care navigation, and benefit design remain valuable enough that the company avoids being priced like a commodity claims administrator. Durable gross economics are the bridge between employer adoption and shareholder value; if pricing is commoditized, revenue can grow while profit quality deteriorates.

The platform can support more employer lives and broader women’s-health services without administrative costs rising in lockstep with revenue. Operating leverage determines whether Progyny is merely a growing benefits vendor or a compounding earnings business.

Progyny’s model remains working-capital favorable enough to self-fund client implementations, network payments, and product expansion without relying on heavy leverage. Strong cash conversion gives owners downside protection and strategic flexibility; weak conversion would make growth more fragile and lower-quality.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

large employers keep valuing its specialist fertility and women’s-health benefit platform enough to choose it over cheaper bundled alternatives.

Evidence assessed Oct 19, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Progyny

Where the evidence on Progyny stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 19, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Large employers continue to view fertility and family-building benefits as a differentiated workforce benefit that warrants a specialist Progyny carve-out rather than a generic carrier bundle.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Progyny’s specialist network, care navigation, and benefit design remain valuable enough that the company avoids being priced like a commodity claims administrator.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The platform can support more employer lives and broader women’s-health services without administrative costs rising in lockstep with revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Progyny’s model remains working-capital favorable enough to self-fund client implementations, network payments, and product expansion without relying on heavy leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large employers shift fertility coverage into bundled offerings from UnitedHealthcare/Optum, CVS/Aetna, Cigna/Evernorth, or similar carrier platforms.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Fertility clinics and pharmacy partners demand higher reimbursement, absorbing Progyny’s take-rate.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Progyny must add care advocates, clinical operations staff, or technology support faster than revenue to maintain service quality.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Progyny’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Progyny, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Progyny.

  • Price target fell below the stockcondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 1,809 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Progyny filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Progyny filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-26: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Progyny filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-07: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large employers shift fertility coverage into bundled offerings from UnitedHealthcare/Optum, CVS/Aetna, Cigna/Evernorth, or similar carrier platforms.
  • Fertility clinics and pharmacy partners demand higher reimbursement, absorbing Progyny’s take-rate.
  • Progyny must add care advocates, clinical operations staff, or technology support faster than revenue to maintain service quality.
  • Claims-payment timing shifts against Progyny, requiring larger cash outlays before employer collections.

PGNY news

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Financial statements

PGNY income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PGNY: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded PGNY?
8 trades in PGNY have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed PGNY trade
Which well-known investors own PGNY?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported PGNY shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

PGNY in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported PGNY shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.01%$1.5MNewQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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