Patrick Industries

PATKNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$79.47
−$0.23 (−0.29%)Today 1M +25.59%
After hours$79.470.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$79.70
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$77.75–$79.49
Regular-session low and high so far today.
567.3K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 4 projected
Projected for 2027-02-04 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$63.00–$148.50
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own PATK if Patrick Industries leverages a dense nationwide manufacturing and distribution platform plus acquisitive expansion to be the trusted, fast supplier of interior and engineered components to RV, marine, powersports, manufactured-housing and industrial OEMs — converting.

PATK price history

Latest price$79.47Today−$0.23 (-0.29%)
PATK +23.92%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Patrick’s dense manufacturing + distribution network and broad product portfolio let it retain and win OEM business and convert unit shipments in its end markets into consistent revenue growth through proximity, speed and higher content-per-unit.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    revenue increased 6% to $3,950,773,000 in FY2025 (revenue). If true, Patrick can sustain above-market revenue growth and protect pricing/lead-times; if false, revenue will track end-market volumes tightly and share losses will expose margins.

    Watch: Major OEMs consolidate suppliers or in-source components (e.g., Thor/large OEM consolidation) reducing Patrick’s role before revenue falls.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    revenue increased 6% to $3,950,773,000 in FY2025 (revenue).

    Open source ↗
  • Patrick’s scale, vertical manufacturing and purchasing/sourcing give it the structural ability to sustain or expand gross margins and pass through commodity cost changes to customers, supporting operating-profitability.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    gross_profit rose to $912,860,000 in FY2025 from $835,890,000 in FY2024 (gross_profit). Margin stability drives operating_income and free cash that funds acquisitions/dividends; if margins compress, EPS and FCF fall even if revenue holds.

    Watch: Sustained commodity-cost spikes (polymers, plywood, metals) that cannot be passed through to OEMs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    gross_profit rose to $912,860,000 in FY2025 from $835,890,000 in FY2024 (gross_profit).

    Open source ↗
  • Patrick consistently converts sales into operating cash flow through working-capital management; that cash generation funds acquisitions, capex, dividends and opportunistic buybacks without routine equity dilution.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    operating_cash_flow was $329,414,000 in FY2025 (operating_cash_flow). Reliable OCF means internal funding for growth and shareholder returns; if cash conversion degrades, the company must slow M&A or take on costly financing, eroding returns.

    Watch: Significant inventory builds or receivable deterioration that materially convert OCF to negative territory.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow was $329,414,000 in FY2025 (operating_cash_flow).

    Open source ↗
  • Patrick’s above-market growth has been materially driven by acquisitions that expand product lines and geographic reach; sustaining outperformance requires continued accretive M&A and successful integration.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    assets increased from $2,562,448,000 (2023) to $3,076,174,000 (2025) consistent with acquisition activity (assets). If future acquisitions are accretive, Patrick can expand addressable content and diversify cyclicality; failed or expensive acquisitions dilute returns and leave higher goodwill/assets with poor ROIC.

    Watch: Poor integration leading to operational disruption, customer loss or goodwill impairment after acquisitions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets increased from $2,562,448,000 (2023) to $3,076,174,000 (2025) consistent with acquisition activity (assets).

    Open source ↗
  • Patrick’s EPS is highly cyclical and tightly correlated to OEM unit shipments (RV, marine, powersports); absent further diversification into higher-margin or recurring aftermarket content, eps_diluted will continue to swing with end-market volumes.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    eps_diluted fell from $8.99 in FY2022 to $3.90 in FY2025 (eps_diluted), demonstrating large swings tied to the 2022 peak. If EPS remains volatile, value will be more dependent on timing of cycles and management’s capital allocation; steady EPS growth is necessary for valuation multiple expansion.

    Watch: Successful diversification into industrial or aftermarket channels that are less cyclical and higher margin.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    eps_diluted fell from $8.99 in FY2022 to $3.90 in FY2025 (eps_diluted), demonstrating large swings tied to the 2022 peak.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Patrick’s dense manufacturing + distribution network and broad product portfolio let it retain and win OEM business and convert unit shipments in its end markets into consistent revenue growth through proximity, speed and higher content-per-unit. If true, Patrick can sustain above-market revenue growth and protect pricing/lead-times; if false, revenue will track end-market volumes tightly and share losses will expose margins.

Patrick’s scale, vertical manufacturing and purchasing/sourcing give it the structural ability to sustain or expand gross margins and pass through commodity cost changes to customers, supporting operating-profitability. Margin stability drives operating_income and free cash that funds acquisitions/dividends; if margins compress, EPS and FCF fall even if revenue holds.

Patrick consistently converts sales into operating cash flow through working-capital management; that cash generation funds acquisitions, capex, dividends and opportunistic buybacks without routine equity dilution. Reliable OCF means internal funding for growth and shareholder returns; if cash conversion degrades, the company must slow M&A or take on costly financing, eroding returns.

Patrick’s above-market growth has been materially driven by acquisitions that expand product lines and geographic reach; sustaining outperformance requires continued accretive M&A and successful integration. If future acquisitions are accretive, Patrick can expand addressable content and diversify cyclicality; failed or expensive acquisitions dilute returns and leave higher goodwill/assets with poor ROIC.

Patrick’s EPS is highly cyclical and tightly correlated to OEM unit shipments (RV, marine, powersports); absent further diversification into higher-margin or recurring aftermarket content, eps_diluted will continue to swing with end-market volumes. If EPS remains volatile, value will be more dependent on timing of cycles and management’s capital allocation; steady EPS growth is necessary for valuation multiple expansion.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Patrick Industries leverages a dense nationwide manufacturing and distribution platform plus acquisitive expansion to be the trusted, fast supplier of interior and engineered components to RV, marine, powersports, manufactured-housing and industrial OEMs — converting.

Evidence assessed Nov 3, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Patrick Industries

Where the evidence on Patrick Industries stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 3, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Patrick’s dense manufacturing + distribution network and broad product portfolio let it retain and win OEM business and convert unit shipments in its end markets into consistent revenue growth through proximity, speed and higher content-per-unit.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Patrick’s scale, vertical manufacturing and purchasing/sourcing give it the structural ability to sustain or expand gross margins and pass through commodity cost changes to customers, supporting operating-profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Patrick consistently converts sales into operating cash flow through working-capital management; that cash generation funds acquisitions, capex, dividends and opportunistic buybacks without routine equity dilution.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Patrick’s above-market growth has been materially driven by acquisitions that expand product lines and geographic reach; sustaining outperformance requires continued accretive M&A and successful integration.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Patrick’s EPS is highly cyclical and tightly correlated to OEM unit shipments (RV, marine, powersports); absent further diversification into higher-margin or recurring aftermarket content, eps_diluted will continue to swing with end-market volumes.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Major OEMs consolidate suppliers or in-source components (e.g., Thor/large OEM consolidation) reducing Patrick’s role before revenue falls.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained commodity-cost spikes (polymers, plywood, metals) that cannot be passed through to OEMs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Significant inventory builds or receivable deterioration that materially convert OCF to negative territory.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Patrick Industries

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Patrick Industries’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Patrick Industries filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Patrick Industries filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-13: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Patrick Industries filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-10: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major OEMs consolidate suppliers or in-source components (e.g., Thor/large OEM consolidation) reducing Patrick’s role before revenue falls.
  • Sustained commodity-cost spikes (polymers, plywood, metals) that cannot be passed through to OEMs.
  • Significant inventory builds or receivable deterioration that materially convert OCF to negative territory.
  • Poor integration leading to operational disruption, customer loss or goodwill impairment after acquisitions.
  • Successful diversification into industrial or aftermarket channels that are less cyclical and higher margin.

PATK news

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Financial statements

PATK income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

PATK: quick answers

When does Patrick Industries (PATK) report earnings next?
Patrick Industries's next results are projected for February 4, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 29, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is PATK's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 5.3M PATK shares were sold short, 16.4% of its shares outstanding, down 7.0% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. PATK short interest history
Have members of Congress traded PATK?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 2 trades in PATK by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 2 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed PATK trade
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