Oddity Tech

ODDNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$19.90
+$0.39 (+2.03%)Today 1M −5.73%
After hours$19.900.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$19.51
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$19.15–$21.90
Regular-session low and high so far today.
2.2M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$9.25–$46.45
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own ODD if ODD is a profitable, digital-first beauty platform whose stock depends on whether its data-led customer acquisition and product development remain a repeatable engine rather than a one-brand DTC cosmetics cycle.

ODD price history

Latest price$19.90Today+$0.39 (+2.03%)
ODD -5.75%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • ODD’s digital personalization and brand-building engine keeps converting online beauty demand into owned-brand sales without needing the economics of traditional wholesale retail.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $324.5 million in FY2022 to $508.7 million in FY2023, $647.0 million in FY2024, and $809.8 million in FY2025. If this holds, ODD can keep compounding from a relatively small base; if it breaks, revenue growth becomes a paid-marketing treadmill.

    Watch: Meta, Google, TikTok, or other digital ad platforms materially raise effective customer acquisition costs for beauty advertisers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $324.5 million in FY2022 to $508.7 million in FY2023, $647.0 million in FY2024, and $809.8.

    Open source ↗
  • ODD’s product, pricing, and direct customer relationship continue to protect premium gross economics rather than forcing the company into discount-led beauty competition.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $218.1 million in FY2022 to $588.7 million in FY2025. Gross-margin durability determines whether growth creates real value or is bought with promotions and fulfillment costs.

    Watch: Beauty competitors copy successful formulas, shades, or claims and force ODD to discount to maintain conversion.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $218.1 million in FY2022 to $588.7 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • ODD’s platform investments in marketing, technology, product development, and brand launches generate operating leverage over time rather than permanently absorbing incremental gross profit.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income rose from $27.7 million in FY2022 to $118.8 million in FY2025. The owner needs evidence that the company can scale profitably, not merely reinvest every gross-margin dollar to chase growth.

    Watch: Paid social and influencer markets become structurally more expensive, preventing marketing leverage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income rose from $27.7 million in FY2022 to $118.8 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • ODD’s profitable DTC model must convert accounting earnings into operating cash flow; otherwise growth is being financed by working capital, inventory, or collection timing rather than true cash economics.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in every supplied year from FY2022 through FY2025. Cash conversion separates a scalable consumer platform from a business that must keep funding inventory and growth externally.

    Watch: Inventory builds, slower sell-through, or higher returns consume cash before margins fully show the damage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in every supplied year from FY2022 through FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • ODD’s enlarged cash position gives management flexibility to fund product science, technology, brand launches, or acquisitions, but that only creates per-share value if liabilities and deployment discipline do not dilute the core high-margin model.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents rose from $50.3 million at FY2024 year-end to $402.2 million at FY2025 year-end. A strong balance sheet can extend the growth runway, while poor capital allocation can turn a profitable brand engine into a lower-return roll-up.

    Watch: Management uses the cash balance for acquisitions outside ODD’s proven digital beauty operating model.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents rose from $50.3 million at FY2024 year-end to $402.2 million at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

ODD’s digital personalization and brand-building engine keeps converting online beauty demand into owned-brand sales without needing the economics of traditional wholesale retail. If this holds, ODD can keep compounding from a relatively small base; if it breaks, revenue growth becomes a paid-marketing treadmill.

ODD’s product, pricing, and direct customer relationship continue to protect premium gross economics rather than forcing the company into discount-led beauty competition. Gross-margin durability determines whether growth creates real value or is bought with promotions and fulfillment costs.

ODD’s platform investments in marketing, technology, product development, and brand launches generate operating leverage over time rather than permanently absorbing incremental gross profit. The owner needs evidence that the company can scale profitably, not merely reinvest every gross-margin dollar to chase growth.

ODD’s profitable DTC model must convert accounting earnings into operating cash flow; otherwise growth is being financed by working capital, inventory, or collection timing rather than true cash economics. Cash conversion separates a scalable consumer platform from a business that must keep funding inventory and growth externally.

ODD’s enlarged cash position gives management flexibility to fund product science, technology, brand launches, or acquisitions, but that only creates per-share value if liabilities and deployment discipline do not dilute the core high-margin model. A strong balance sheet can extend the growth runway, while poor capital allocation can turn a profitable brand engine into a lower-return roll-up.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

ODD is a profitable, digital-first beauty platform whose stock depends on whether its data-led customer acquisition and product development remain a repeatable engine rather than a one-brand DTC cosmetics cycle.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Oddity Tech

Where the evidence on Oddity Tech stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • ODD’s digital personalization and brand-building engine keeps converting online beauty demand into owned-brand sales without needing the economics of traditional wholesale retail.

    sec.gov ↗

  • ODD’s product, pricing, and direct customer relationship continue to protect premium gross economics rather than forcing the company into discount-led beauty competition.

    sec.gov ↗

  • ODD’s platform investments in marketing, technology, product development, and brand launches generate operating leverage over time rather than permanently absorbing incremental gross profit.

    sec.gov ↗

  • ODD’s profitable DTC model must convert accounting earnings into operating cash flow; otherwise growth is being financed by working capital, inventory, or collection timing rather than true cash economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • ODD’s enlarged cash position gives management flexibility to fund product science, technology, brand launches, or acquisitions, but that only creates per-share value if liabilities and deployment discipline do not dilute the core high-margin model.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Meta, Google, TikTok, or other digital ad platforms materially raise effective customer acquisition costs for beauty advertisers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Beauty competitors copy successful formulas, shades, or claims and force ODD to discount to maintain conversion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Paid social and influencer markets become structurally more expensive, preventing marketing leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Oddity Tech

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Oddity Tech’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Oddity Tech filed an SEC report on 2026-09-09: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Oddity Tech filed an SEC report on 2026-08-21: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Oddity Tech filed an SEC report on 2026-07-30: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Meta, Google, TikTok, or other digital ad platforms materially raise effective customer acquisition costs for beauty advertisers.
  • Beauty competitors copy successful formulas, shades, or claims and force ODD to discount to maintain conversion.
  • Paid social and influencer markets become structurally more expensive, preventing marketing leverage.
  • Inventory builds, slower sell-through, or higher returns consume cash before margins fully show the damage.
  • Management uses the cash balance for acquisitions outside ODD’s proven digital beauty operating model.

ODD news

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Financial statements

ODD income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

ODD: quick answers

What is ODD's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 3.6M ODD shares were sold short, down 10.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.4 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. ODD short interest history
Which well-known investors own ODD?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported ODD shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: ARK Investment Management (Cathie Wood), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

ODD in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported ODD shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Cathie WoodARK Investment Management0.01%$2.2M+124.0%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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