National Health Investors
NHINYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $66.02 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $64.52–$66.45 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 347.3K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 12, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 25 projected Projected for 2027-02-25 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $63.51–$91.38 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own NHI if its healthcare real estate remains essential enough to keep tenant rent coverage healthy while management redeploys capital at spreads above its cost of debt and equity.
NHI price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Need-based demand for healthcare and senior-care facilities continues to give NHI investable opportunities that convert into contractual rental and financing income rather than idle asset growth.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue rose from $278.2 million in FY2022 to $375.6 million in FY2025. If this holds, NHI can keep expanding the income base; if it breaks, the company becomes a low-growth REIT dependent on legacy leases.
Watch: Senior housing or skilled-nursing operators shift away from lease financing toward owning facilities or using cheaper private credit.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue rose from $278.2 million in FY2022 to $375.6 million in FY2025.
Open source ↗NHI’s tenant and borrower base remains healthy enough that reported lease and financing income turns into operating cash rather than receivables, deferrals, or restructurings.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual operating cash flow increased from $184.5 million in FY2023 to $236.6 million in FY2025. For a REIT owner, cash rent quality is what funds dividends, debt service, and reinvestment; weak tenant coverage can make GAAP revenue misleading.
Watch: Operator labor inflation, agency staffing costs, or insurance costs reaccelerate and pressure facility-level rent coverage.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating cash flow increased from $184.5 million in FY2023 to $236.6 million in FY2025.
Open source ↗NHI’s self-managed structure and small employee base allow incremental property income to scale without a proportionate increase in corporate overhead.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
The company profile describes NHI as a self-managed REIT. If operating leverage holds, more rent can become owner earnings; if overhead or external complexity rises, growth is diluted before reaching shareholders.
Watch: Portfolio complexity forces NHI to add significant internal staffing, asset-management costs, or third-party advisory costs.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
The company profile describes NHI as a self-managed REIT.
Open source ↗NHI maintains enough balance-sheet capacity to finance healthcare real estate investments without being forced into unattractive debt or equity issuance.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP liabilities were $1.257 billion at FY2025 against GAAP assets of $2.797 billion, indicating liabilities remain well below total assets on the supplied balance sheet. A REIT’s growth is only valuable when capital is available at a cost below investment yields; a constrained balance sheet turns opportunities into dilution or stagnation.
Watch: Interest rates or credit spreads stay high enough that acquisition yields no longer exceed NHI’s marginal cost of capital.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP liabilities were $1.257 billion at FY2025 against GAAP assets of $2.797 billion, indicating liabilities remain well below total assets.
Open source ↗Management’s reinvestment and capital allocation must produce per-share accretion, not just a larger property and revenue base.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP diluted EPS recovered from $1.48 in FY2022 to $3.02 in FY2025. Shareholders own per-share cash flows; if acquisitions, financing costs, or dilution absorb the benefit of growth, the stock can underperform despite higher revenue.
Watch: New investments are funded with equity issued below intrinsic value or below NAV, diluting existing owners.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP diluted EPS recovered from $1.48 in FY2022 to $3.02 in FY2025.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Need-based demand for healthcare and senior-care facilities continues to give NHI investable opportunities that convert into contractual rental and financing income rather than idle asset growth. If this holds, NHI can keep expanding the income base; if it breaks, the company becomes a low-growth REIT dependent on legacy leases.
NHI’s tenant and borrower base remains healthy enough that reported lease and financing income turns into operating cash rather than receivables, deferrals, or restructurings. For a REIT owner, cash rent quality is what funds dividends, debt service, and reinvestment; weak tenant coverage can make GAAP revenue misleading.
NHI’s self-managed structure and small employee base allow incremental property income to scale without a proportionate increase in corporate overhead. If operating leverage holds, more rent can become owner earnings; if overhead or external complexity rises, growth is diluted before reaching shareholders.
NHI maintains enough balance-sheet capacity to finance healthcare real estate investments without being forced into unattractive debt or equity issuance. A REIT’s growth is only valuable when capital is available at a cost below investment yields; a constrained balance sheet turns opportunities into dilution or stagnation.
Management’s reinvestment and capital allocation must produce per-share accretion, not just a larger property and revenue base. Shareholders own per-share cash flows; if acquisitions, financing costs, or dilution absorb the benefit of growth, the stock can underperform despite higher revenue.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its healthcare real estate remains essential enough to keep tenant rent coverage healthy while management redeploys capital at spreads above its cost of debt and equity.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for National Health Investors
Where the evidence on National Health Investors stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 4 strengthening and 1 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Need-based demand for healthcare and senior-care facilities continues to give NHI investable opportunities that convert into contractual rental and financing income rather than idle asset growth.
NHI’s tenant and borrower base remains healthy enough that reported lease and financing income turns into operating cash rather than receivables, deferrals, or restructurings.
NHI’s self-managed structure and small employee base allow incremental property income to scale without a proportionate increase in corporate overhead.
NHI maintains enough balance-sheet capacity to finance healthcare real estate investments without being forced into unattractive debt or equity issuance.
Management’s reinvestment and capital allocation must produce per-share accretion, not just a larger property and revenue base.
Bear case: what would count against it
Senior housing or skilled-nursing operators shift away from lease financing toward owning facilities or using cheaper private credit.
Operator labor inflation, agency staffing costs, or insurance costs reaccelerate and pressure facility-level rent coverage.
Portfolio complexity forces NHI to add significant internal staffing, asset-management costs, or third-party advisory costs.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · National Health Investors
No break has crossed National Health Investors’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
National Health Investors filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-27: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedRegulation FD disclosure.
National Health Investors filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
National Health Investors filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Senior housing or skilled-nursing operators shift away from lease financing toward owning facilities or using cheaper private credit.
- Operator labor inflation, agency staffing costs, or insurance costs reaccelerate and pressure facility-level rent coverage.
- Portfolio complexity forces NHI to add significant internal staffing, asset-management costs, or third-party advisory costs.
- Interest rates or credit spreads stay high enough that acquisition yields no longer exceed NHI’s marginal cost of capital.
- New investments are funded with equity issued below intrinsic value or below NAV, diluting existing owners.
NHI news
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Financial statements
NHI income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
NHI: quick answers
- When does National Health Investors (NHI) report earnings next?
- National Health Investors's next results are projected for February 25, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 9, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is NHI's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 2.2M NHI shares were sold short, 4.53% of its shares outstanding, down 0.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 9.1 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. NHI short interest history
