National Energy Services Reunited

NESRNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$21.98
+$1.60 (+7.85%)Today 1M −10.54%
After hours$21.980.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$20.38
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$20.33–$22.24
Regular-session low and high so far today.
2.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 8 projected
Projected for 2027-02-08 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$12.77–$36.94
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own NESR if national-oil-company work stays local and pricing recovers, but FY2025 margin erosion makes the moat unproven.

NESR price history

Latest price$21.98Today+$1.60 (+7.85%)
NESR +1.13%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • NESR’s MENA focus and regional scale keep it relevant to customer drilling, completion, and production programs, so activity in its core region continues to convert into awarded work rather than bypassing the company.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $909.5 million in FY2022 to $1.324 billion in FY2025. If the driver holds, NESR has a demand base to leverage; if it breaks, revenue becomes vulnerable even if regional oilfield activity remains healthy.

    Watch: Saudi Aramco, ADNOC, Kuwait Oil Company, or other large regional customers reduce upstream service budgets or defer drilling and workover programs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $909.5 million in FY2022 to $1.324 billion in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • NESR must have enough pricing power and service mix discipline to pass through labor, equipment, and mobilization costs; otherwise growth is bought at deteriorating economics.WeakeningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit improved from $65.5 million in FY2022 to $208.7 million in FY2024. This determines whether revenue growth creates owner value or merely expands a low-return contractor base.

    Watch: Large MENA customers shift tenders toward lowest-price bidding or demand contract repricing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit improved from $65.5 million in FY2022 to $208.7 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • NESR’s field-service workforce and asset base create operating leverage only when crews and equipment stay well utilized; underutilization or poor project execution quickly absorbs gross profit.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income improved from a $0.9 million loss in FY2022 to $137.7 million in FY2024. Operating leverage is the bridge from regional demand to earnings power; if utilization weakens, NESR can grow revenue without compounding earnings.

    Watch: Contract start-ups require more crews, maintenance, or mobilization expense than bid assumptions allowed.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income improved from a $0.9 million loss in FY2022 to $137.7 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • NESR’s operating model must convert earnings into cash despite MENA customer payment cycles, because working-capital strain would limit its ability to mobilize crews and equipment for new awards.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow rose from $92.6 million in FY2022 to $264.2 million in FY2025. Strong cash conversion gives NESR flexibility to fund growth and withstand delays; weak collections would turn activity growth into a financing problem.

    Watch: National-oil-company customers stretch payment terms or delay invoice approvals.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow rose from $92.6 million in FY2022 to $264.2 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • NESR needs enough balance-sheet flexibility to bid, bond, and mobilize for large regional service contracts without distressed financing or customer-confidence issues.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities declined from $1.026 billion at FY2022 year-end to $883.6 million at FY2025 year-end. Financial flexibility protects competitive position in a capital- and working-capital-intensive services business; a stressed balance sheet would reduce growth options.

    Watch: A major customer payment delay forces NESR to draw materially more debt to fund receivables and mobilization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities declined from $1.026 billion at FY2022 year-end to $883.6 million at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

NESR’s MENA focus and regional scale keep it relevant to customer drilling, completion, and production programs, so activity in its core region continues to convert into awarded work rather than bypassing the company. If the driver holds, NESR has a demand base to leverage; if it breaks, revenue becomes vulnerable even if regional oilfield activity remains healthy.

NESR must have enough pricing power and service mix discipline to pass through labor, equipment, and mobilization costs; otherwise growth is bought at deteriorating economics. This determines whether revenue growth creates owner value or merely expands a low-return contractor base.

NESR’s field-service workforce and asset base create operating leverage only when crews and equipment stay well utilized; underutilization or poor project execution quickly absorbs gross profit. Operating leverage is the bridge from regional demand to earnings power; if utilization weakens, NESR can grow revenue without compounding earnings.

NESR’s operating model must convert earnings into cash despite MENA customer payment cycles, because working-capital strain would limit its ability to mobilize crews and equipment for new awards. Strong cash conversion gives NESR flexibility to fund growth and withstand delays; weak collections would turn activity growth into a financing problem.

NESR needs enough balance-sheet flexibility to bid, bond, and mobilize for large regional service contracts without distressed financing or customer-confidence issues. Financial flexibility protects competitive position in a capital- and working-capital-intensive services business; a stressed balance sheet would reduce growth options.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

national-oil-company work stays local and pricing recovers, but FY2025 margin erosion makes the moat unproven.

Evidence assessed Oct 22, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for National Energy Services Reunited

Where the evidence on National Energy Services Reunited disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 22, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 2 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • NESR’s MENA focus and regional scale keep it relevant to customer drilling, completion, and production programs, so activity in its core region continues to convert into awarded work rather than bypassing the company.

    sec.gov ↗

  • NESR’s field-service workforce and asset base create operating leverage only when crews and equipment stay well utilized; underutilization or poor project execution quickly absorbs gross profit.

    sec.gov ↗

  • NESR’s operating model must convert earnings into cash despite MENA customer payment cycles, because working-capital strain would limit its ability to mobilize crews and equipment for new awards.

    sec.gov ↗

  • NESR needs enough balance-sheet flexibility to bid, bond, and mobilize for large regional service contracts without distressed financing or customer-confidence issues.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • NESR must have enough pricing power and service mix discipline to pass through labor, equipment, and mobilization costs; otherwise growth is bought at deteriorating economics.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in National Energy Services Reunited’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on National Energy Services Reunited, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for National Energy Services Reunited.

peers+18%-17%+1%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical +1% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+18% to -17%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Sharp drawdowncondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 15,428 times before. Those stocks beat comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    National Energy Services Reunited filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Changed certifying accountant.

    National Energy Services Reunited filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Changed certifying accountant. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    National Energy Services Reunited filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-21: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Saudi Aramco, ADNOC, Kuwait Oil Company, or other large regional customers reduce upstream service budgets or defer drilling and workover programs.
  • Large MENA customers shift tenders toward lowest-price bidding or demand contract repricing.
  • Contract start-ups require more crews, maintenance, or mobilization expense than bid assumptions allowed.
  • National-oil-company customers stretch payment terms or delay invoice approvals.
  • A major customer payment delay forces NESR to draw materially more debt to fund receivables and mobilization.

NESR news

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Financial statements

NESR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

NESR: quick answers

When does National Energy Services Reunited (NESR) report earnings next?
National Energy Services Reunited's next results are projected for February 8, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 9, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is NESR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 4.9M NESR shares were sold short, 4.79% of its shares outstanding, down 28.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. NESR short interest history
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