NeoGenomics

NEONASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$16.83
−$0.13 (−0.77%)Today 1M +2.94%
After hours$16.830.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$16.96
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$16.75–$17.67
Regular-session low and high so far today.
957.2K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 11 projected
Projected for 2027-01-11 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$7.07–$20.15
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own NEO if NeoGenomics can compound shareholder value by converting its oncology-focused scale, broad test menu (especially NGS and MRD) and community-hospital penetration into sustained revenue growth and improving margins, provided it preserves cash flow while integrating.

NEO price history

Latest price$16.83Today−$0.13 (-0.77%)
NEO +4.28%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Adoption of NeoGenomics’ expanded NGS and MRD assays in the community oncology channel will sustain above-industry revenue growth because the company sells a broad, oncology-focused menu plus consultative services that lower switching costs for community providers.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Revenue rose from $509,728,000 (2022) to $727,332,000 (2025), showing sustained top-line growth. If true, revenue growth funds margin expansion and justifies a premium multiple; if false, top-line growth slows and valuation re-rates.

    Watch: Major payor cuts to NGS/MRD reimbursement or a broad FDA imposition of premarket LDT reviews that restrict ability to offer in-house assays.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue rose from $509,728,000 (2022) to $727,332,000 (2025), showing sustained top-line growth.

    Open source ↗
  • Scale of the lab network plus automation and process improvements will continue to lower per-test cost and sustain gross margin expansion, protecting pricing power versus small regional labs.HoldingMateriality: High

    Gross profit increased from $187,896,000 (2022) to $314,293,000 (2025), indicating improved absolute gross-dollar contribution. Rising gross margins are the lever that converts growth into operating profit and cash; if margins compress, GAAP losses may persist regardless of revenue.

    Watch: Sustained reagent or consumable price inflation or supply shortages that materially raise COGS.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Gross profit increased from $187,896,000 (2022) to $314,293,000 (2025), indicating improved absolute gross-dollar contribution.

    Open source ↗
  • Achieving sustained GAAP operating income depends on controlling SG&A and realizing acquisition synergies (e.g., Pathline) so that Adjusted EBITDA improvements translate into operating income.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Adjusted EBITDA reported up 9.5% to positive $43.4M in 2025 (MD&A) while GAAP operating income remains negative, indicating the gap driven by non-EBITDA items and integration/SG&A. Adjusted EBITDA is positive, but without converting to GAAP operating income the company remains exposed to write-offs, stock-based dilution, and multiple compression.

    Watch: Failed integration of Pathline or other acquisitions that increases SG&A and one-time charges.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Adjusted EBITDA reported up 9.5% to positive $43.4M in 2025 (MD&A) while GAAP operating income remains negative, indicating the gap.

    Open source ↗
  • Near-term capital-allocation flexibility depends on sustaining positive operating cash flow; if operating cash flow falters, the company will face increased risk of dilution or debt-financed M&A.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow turned from -$65,993,000 (2022) to -$1,953,000 (2023), then to positive $7,023,000 (2024) and $5,230,000 (2025), a narrow positive trend. Sustained positive OCF preserves the balance sheet (cash fell materially in 2025) and funds automation, R&D and potential bolt-ons without diluting shareholders.

    Watch: Large, cash-consuming acquisitions or unexpected litigation settlements that exceed operating cash generation.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow turned from -$65,993,000 (2022) to -$1,953,000 (2023), then to positive $7,023,000 (2024) and $5,230,000 (2025), a narrow.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Adoption of NeoGenomics’ expanded NGS and MRD assays in the community oncology channel will sustain above-industry revenue growth because the company sells a broad, oncology-focused menu plus consultative services that lower switching costs for community providers. If true, revenue growth funds margin expansion and justifies a premium multiple; if false, top-line growth slows and valuation re-rates.

Scale of the lab network plus automation and process improvements will continue to lower per-test cost and sustain gross margin expansion, protecting pricing power versus small regional labs. Rising gross margins are the lever that converts growth into operating profit and cash; if margins compress, GAAP losses may persist regardless of revenue.

Achieving sustained GAAP operating income depends on controlling SG&A and realizing acquisition synergies (e.g., Pathline) so that Adjusted EBITDA improvements translate into operating income. Adjusted EBITDA is positive, but without converting to GAAP operating income the company remains exposed to write-offs, stock-based dilution, and multiple compression.

Near-term capital-allocation flexibility depends on sustaining positive operating cash flow; if operating cash flow falters, the company will face increased risk of dilution or debt-financed M&A. Sustained positive OCF preserves the balance sheet (cash fell materially in 2025) and funds automation, R&D and potential bolt-ons without diluting shareholders.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

NeoGenomics can compound shareholder value by converting its oncology-focused scale, broad test menu (especially NGS and MRD) and community-hospital penetration into sustained revenue growth and improving margins, provided it preserves cash flow while integrating.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Neogenomics

Where the evidence on Neogenomics stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Adoption of NeoGenomics’ expanded NGS and MRD assays in the community oncology channel will sustain above-industry revenue growth because the company sells a broad, oncology-focused menu plus consultative services that lower switching costs for community providers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Scale of the lab network plus automation and process improvements will continue to lower per-test cost and sustain gross margin expansion, protecting pricing power versus small regional labs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Achieving sustained GAAP operating income depends on controlling SG&A and realizing acquisition synergies (e.g., Pathline) so that Adjusted EBITDA improvements translate into operating income.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Near-term capital-allocation flexibility depends on sustaining positive operating cash flow; if operating cash flow falters, the company will face increased risk of dilution or debt-financed M&A.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Major payor cuts to NGS/MRD reimbursement or a broad FDA imposition of premarket LDT reviews that restrict ability to offer in-house assays.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained reagent or consumable price inflation or supply shortages that materially raise COGS.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Failed integration of Pathline or other acquisitions that increases SG&A and one-time charges.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Neogenomics’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Neogenomics, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Neogenomics.

peers+15%-20%-2%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -2% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+15% to -20%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Neogenomics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Neogenomics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Neogenomics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-11: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major payor cuts to NGS/MRD reimbursement or a broad FDA imposition of premarket LDT reviews that restrict ability to offer in-house assays.
  • Sustained reagent or consumable price inflation or supply shortages that materially raise COGS.
  • Failed integration of Pathline or other acquisitions that increases SG&A and one-time charges.
  • Large, cash-consuming acquisitions or unexpected litigation settlements that exceed operating cash generation.

NEO news

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Financial statements

NEO income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

NEO: quick answers

When does Neogenomics (NEO) report earnings next?
Neogenomics's next results are projected for January 11, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 28, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is NEO's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 13.1M NEO shares were sold short, 10.2% of its shares outstanding, down 7.6% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. NEO short interest history
Have members of Congress traded NEO?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 2 trades in NEO by 2 filers: 2 purchases and 0 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed NEO trade
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