Nocera
NCRANASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $1.54 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $1.41–$1.54 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 3.1K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $1.29–$39.90 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own NCRA if Nocera is a high-risk turnaround option on making a tiny fish-trading/aquaculture platform economically viable, but the current evidence shows commodity margins, cash burn, and capital-structure risk rather than a proven moat.
NCRA price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Fish Trading remains a volume business with limited durable demand pull unless Nocera demonstrates recurring customer demand beyond spot or commodity trading.WeakeningMateriality: High
FY2025 GAAP annual revenue was $11.0 million, down from $12.1 million in FY2024, suggesting the current demand base is not yet compounding. If demand is not contractually or relationship-driven, revenue can fluctuate without creating durable enterprise value.
Watch: Disclosure of multi-year customer offtake contracts with minimum purchase commitments.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
FY2025 GAAP annual revenue was $11.0 million, down from $12.1 million in FY2024, suggesting the current demand base is not.
Open source ↗Suppliers and customers currently appear to capture most of the economics, so scaling Fish Trading will not create much value unless Nocera changes mix or gains pricing power.StrengtheningMateriality: High
FY2025 GAAP annual gross profit was only $161,245 on $11.0 million of revenue, implying roughly 1.5% gross margin. Gross-profit capture determines whether revenue growth can fund operations, reinvestment, and shareholder value.
Watch: Exclusive sourcing rights, proprietary aquaculture production, processing, or branding that raises Nocera’s take-rate.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
FY2025 GAAP annual gross profit was only $161,245 on $11.0 million of revenue, implying roughly 1.5% gross margin.
Open source ↗The larger cash balance gives management a window to improve the business model, but it creates value only if deployed into higher-margin, working-capital-efficient operations rather than funding continuing losses.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Cash rose to $8.0 million at FY2025 year-end from $0.5 million at FY2024 year-end, materially extending available liquidity. Cash can be a bridge to a better model or simply a countdown to dilution and balance-sheet stress.
Watch: Large acquisitions, inventory commitments, or supplier prepayments that consume cash before margins improve.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash rose to $8.0 million at FY2025 year-end from $0.5 million at FY2024 year-end, materially extending available liquidity.
Open source ↗Capital structure will drive per-share outcomes unless Nocera restores positive equity through profitable operations or non-punitive financing.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Stockholders’ equity was negative $0.4 million at FY2025 year-end, down from positive $2.1 million at FY2024 year-end. Even an operating recovery may not benefit common shareholders if liabilities, conversions, or financing terms absorb the value.
Watch: Favorable settlement, conversion, or refinancing of liabilities without material common-share dilution.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Stockholders’ equity was negative $0.4 million at FY2025 year-end, down from positive $2.1 million at FY2024 year-end.
Open source ↗The business has not yet shown operating leverage because public-company and operating costs overwhelm the gross profit generated by current trading activity.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
FY2025 GAAP net loss was $2.9 million despite $11.0 million of revenue. Without operating leverage, higher revenue may still leave shareholders funding recurring losses.
Watch: A structural reduction in corporate overhead or operating expenses not tied to cutting necessary controls.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
FY2025 GAAP net loss was $2.9 million despite $11.0 million of revenue.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Fish Trading remains a volume business with limited durable demand pull unless Nocera demonstrates recurring customer demand beyond spot or commodity trading. If demand is not contractually or relationship-driven, revenue can fluctuate without creating durable enterprise value.
Suppliers and customers currently appear to capture most of the economics, so scaling Fish Trading will not create much value unless Nocera changes mix or gains pricing power. Gross-profit capture determines whether revenue growth can fund operations, reinvestment, and shareholder value.
The larger cash balance gives management a window to improve the business model, but it creates value only if deployed into higher-margin, working-capital-efficient operations rather than funding continuing losses. Cash can be a bridge to a better model or simply a countdown to dilution and balance-sheet stress.
Capital structure will drive per-share outcomes unless Nocera restores positive equity through profitable operations or non-punitive financing. Even an operating recovery may not benefit common shareholders if liabilities, conversions, or financing terms absorb the value.
The business has not yet shown operating leverage because public-company and operating costs overwhelm the gross profit generated by current trading activity. Without operating leverage, higher revenue may still leave shareholders funding recurring losses.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Nocera is a high-risk turnaround option on making a tiny fish-trading/aquaculture platform economically viable, but the current evidence shows commodity margins, cash burn, and capital-structure risk rather than a proven moat.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Nocera
Where the evidence on Nocera disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening, 1 holding and 1 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Suppliers and customers currently appear to capture most of the economics, so scaling Fish Trading will not create much value unless Nocera changes mix or gains pricing power.
The larger cash balance gives management a window to improve the business model, but it creates value only if deployed into higher-margin, working-capital-efficient operations rather than funding continuing losses.
Capital structure will drive per-share outcomes unless Nocera restores positive equity through profitable operations or non-punitive financing.
The business has not yet shown operating leverage because public-company and operating costs overwhelm the gross profit generated by current trading activity.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
Fish Trading remains a volume business with limited durable demand pull unless Nocera demonstrates recurring customer demand beyond spot or commodity trading.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Nocera
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Nocera filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-23: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Nocera filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-19: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedPreviously issued financials no longer reliable (restatement).
Nocera filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-17: Previously issued financials no longer reliable (restatement). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Disclosure of multi-year customer offtake contracts with minimum purchase commitments.
- Exclusive sourcing rights, proprietary aquaculture production, processing, or branding that raises Nocera’s take-rate.
- Large acquisitions, inventory commitments, or supplier prepayments that consume cash before margins improve.
- Favorable settlement, conversion, or refinancing of liabilities without material common-share dilution.
- A structural reduction in corporate overhead or operating expenses not tied to cutting necessary controls.
NCRA news
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Financial statements
NCRA income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
