N-able

NABLNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$4.66
−$0.15 (−3.12%)Today 1M +0.65%

Updated Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

—
Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
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Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
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Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$4.81
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$4.56–$4.78
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 18 projected
Projected for 2027-02-18 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$2.92–$8.10
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own NABL if the company sustains ARR growth and margins while managing acquisition/integration and financing costs.

NABL price history

LATEST PRICE$4.66TODAY−$0.15 (-3.12%)
NABL +2.19%S&P 500 -3.68%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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INVESTMENT THESIS

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • N-able’s MSP/channel‑led land-and-expand model — adding partners brings their customer bases and incremental device/service sales — will sustain ARR and revenue growth.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Revenue increased from $422.163M (2023) to $465.552M (2024) to $508.840M (2025) (revenue). If true, predictable ARR and downstream service expansion produce repeatable revenue growth with low incremental acquisition cost; if false, growth stalls and unit economics worsen.

    Watch: Large MSPs or MSP platforms (e.g., ConnectWise, Datto, Kaseya) or consolidating MSP groups migrate partners/customers off N-able, reducing land-and-expand reach.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue increased from $422.163M (2023) to $465.552M (2024) to $508.840M (2025) (revenue).

    Open source ↗
  • The subscription-heavy, multi-tenant SaaS architecture (and increased long-term committed contracts) will continue to convert ARR into robust operating cash flow, supporting organic investment and optional capital return or debt reduction.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Operating cash flow has been consistently positive: $90.089M (2023), $79.437M (2024), $93.202M (2025) (operating_cash_flow). High cash conversion makes the business self-funding and lowers reliance on external capital; a failure here would force dilution or constrain growth.

    Watch: Material deterioration in partner collections or an increase in working capital needs (e.g., refunds, extended payment terms) that reduce cash conversion.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow has been consistently positive: $90.089M (2023), $79.437M (2024), $93.202M (2025) (operating_cash_flow).

    Open source ↗
  • N-able’s integrated, multi-tenant platform and a higher mix of larger ARR customers will protect gross margins and enable operating leverage as revenue scales.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Gross profit has been large and stable in absolute terms: $353.893M (2023), $384.678M (2024), $391.483M (2025) (gross_profit). Stable/high gross margins enable incremental revenue to flow to the operating line and support margin expansion; if gross margin falls, profitability and cash flow are at risk.

    Watch: Commoditization of endpoint/security tooling from competitors or cloud vendors (Microsoft, AWS) undercutting pricing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Gross profit has been large and stable in absolute terms: $353.893M (2023), $384.678M (2024), $391.483M (2025) (gross_profit).

    Open source ↗
  • GAAP net income is volatile and sensitive to interest expense, FX and acquisition-related amortization; absent lower leverage or reduced acquisition-related charges, GAAP profit can remain negative even while adjusted EBITDA and cash flow stay positive.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Net income moved from $23.818M (2023) to $30.74M (2024) to a loss of $18.815M (2025) (net_income). Persistent GAAP losses constrain valuation multiples and could pressure the stock; conversely, reducing interest/amortization would unlock GAAP earnings and re-rate the stock.

    Watch: Sustained high interest rates or additional debt-financed acquisitions that increase interest expense and amortization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Net income moved from $23.818M (2023) to $30.74M (2024) to a loss of $18.815M (2025) (net_income).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

N-able’s MSP/channel‑led land-and-expand model — adding partners brings their customer bases and incremental device/service sales — will sustain ARR and revenue growth. If true, predictable ARR and downstream service expansion produce repeatable revenue growth with low incremental acquisition cost; if false, growth stalls and unit economics worsen.

The subscription-heavy, multi-tenant SaaS architecture (and increased long-term committed contracts) will continue to convert ARR into robust operating cash flow, supporting organic investment and optional capital return or debt reduction. High cash conversion makes the business self-funding and lowers reliance on external capital; a failure here would force dilution or constrain growth.

N-able’s integrated, multi-tenant platform and a higher mix of larger ARR customers will protect gross margins and enable operating leverage as revenue scales. Stable/high gross margins enable incremental revenue to flow to the operating line and support margin expansion; if gross margin falls, profitability and cash flow are at risk.

GAAP net income is volatile and sensitive to interest expense, FX and acquisition-related amortization; absent lower leverage or reduced acquisition-related charges, GAAP profit can remain negative even while adjusted EBITDA and cash flow stay positive. Persistent GAAP losses constrain valuation multiples and could pressure the stock; conversely, reducing interest/amortization would unlock GAAP earnings and re-rate the stock.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

the company sustains ARR growth and margins while managing acquisition/integration and financing costs.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

BULL CASE / BEAR CASE

Bull case and bear case for N-able

Where the evidence on N-able disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 1 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • N-able’s MSP/channel‑led land-and-expand model — adding partners brings their customer bases and incremental device/service sales — will sustain ARR and revenue growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The subscription-heavy, multi-tenant SaaS architecture (and increased long-term committed contracts) will continue to convert ARR into robust operating cash flow, supporting organic investment and optional capital return or debt reduction.

    sec.gov ↗

  • N-able’s integrated, multi-tenant platform and a higher mix of larger ARR customers will protect gross margins and enable operating leverage as revenue scales.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • GAAP net income is volatile and sensitive to interest expense, FX and acquisition-related amortization; absent lower leverage or reduced acquisition-related charges, GAAP profit can remain negative even while adjusted EBITDA and cash flow stay positive.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · N-able

Loading the break-condition record for N-able.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    N-able filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. MIXED
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    N-able filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-28: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    N-able filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-10: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

RISKS / FALSIFIERS

What could break the thesis

  • Large MSPs or MSP platforms (e.g., ConnectWise, Datto, Kaseya) or consolidating MSP groups migrate partners/customers off N-able, reducing land-and-expand reach.
  • Material deterioration in partner collections or an increase in working capital needs (e.g., refunds, extended payment terms) that reduce cash conversion.
  • Commoditization of endpoint/security tooling from competitors or cloud vendors (Microsoft, AWS) undercutting pricing.
  • Sustained high interest rates or additional debt-financed acquisitions that increase interest expense and amortization.

NABL news

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

NABL income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

NABL: quick answers

When does N-able (NABL) report earnings next?
N-able's next results are projected for February 18, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is NABL's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 3.8M NABL shares were sold short, down 6.1% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.0 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. NABL short interest history
Have members of Congress traded NABL?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in NABL by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed NABL trade
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