Masco

MASNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$84.91
+$0.11 (+0.13%)Today 1M +23.35%
After hours$84.910.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$84.80
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$83.69–$85.22
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.3M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$58.16–$87.86
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own MAS if Masco is a scale manufacturer of plumbing/heating and other building products that converts steady aftermarket and new-construction demand into resilient operating profits and cash flow, which management can return to shareholders via buybacks to.

MAS price history

Latest price$84.91Today+$0.11 (+0.13%)
MAS +22.45%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Masco's manufacturing scale and product mix deliver resilient operating cash flow that stays around $1B+ even when revenue softens, enabling shareholder returns and funding operations without relying on cyclical revenue growth.HoldingMateriality: High

    operating_cash_flow was $1,022,000,000 for FY2025. If operating cash flow holds, the company can continue buybacks/dividends and avoid destructive financing or asset sales; if it collapses, capital returns and balance-sheet flexibility vanish.

    Watch: A prolonged U.S. housing downturn or large decline in renovation activity that meaningfully reduces volumes.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow was $1,022,000,000 for FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Masco can sustain operating income near its recent ~$1.2B level through pricing and cost control despite modest revenue declines because of product breadth and factory/SG&A leverage.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    operating_income was $1,248,000,000 in FY2025 and has been roughly $1.30-1.36B in prior years (FY2022-FY2024) indicating operating-profit resilience. Sustained operating income supports earnings and cash flow which underpin dividends/buybacks; a drop would force either reduced returns or debt-funded payouts.

    Watch: Raw-material inflation (resins/metal) that cannot be passed through to customers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_income was $1,248,000,000 in FY2025 and has been roughly $1.30-1.36B in prior years (FY2022-FY2024) indicating operating-profit resilience.

    Open source ↗
  • Management's capital allocation (share repurchases and dividends) will continue to lift EPS even if revenue growth remains muted, because underlying net income is steady and cash flow funds buybacks.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    eps_diluted rose to $3.86 in FY2025 from $3.76 in FY2024 despite revenue sliding from $7.83B to $7.56B — implies per-share improvement. If true, shareholders get per-share returns via EPS accretion; if management stops buybacks or is forced to conserve cash, EPS could fall with revenue.

    Watch: Company halts repurchases to shore up balance sheet if liquidity tightens.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    eps_diluted rose to $3.86 in FY2025 from $3.76 in FY2024 despite revenue sliding from $7.83B to $7.56B — implies per-share.

    Open source ↗
  • Absolute gross profit dollars are an early gauge of pricing power and demand; sustained declines in gross_profit would indicate Masco cannot pass costs or is losing volume/market share and would precede operating-profit deterioration.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    gross_profit declined from $2,836,000,000 in FY2023 to $2,679,000,000 in FY2025, tracking the revenue slide. A falling gross_profit trend signals the business driver breaking — pricing power or demand loss — and would foreshadow weaker operating income and cash flow.

    Watch: Temporary inventory valuation or one-time cost swings that distort gross profit (transitory).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    gross_profit declined from $2,836,000,000 in FY2023 to $2,679,000,000 in FY2025, tracking the revenue slide.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Masco's manufacturing scale and product mix deliver resilient operating cash flow that stays around $1B+ even when revenue softens, enabling shareholder returns and funding operations without relying on cyclical revenue growth. If operating cash flow holds, the company can continue buybacks/dividends and avoid destructive financing or asset sales; if it collapses, capital returns and balance-sheet flexibility vanish.

Masco can sustain operating income near its recent ~$1.2B level through pricing and cost control despite modest revenue declines because of product breadth and factory/SG&A leverage. Sustained operating income supports earnings and cash flow which underpin dividends/buybacks; a drop would force either reduced returns or debt-funded payouts.

Management's capital allocation (share repurchases and dividends) will continue to lift EPS even if revenue growth remains muted, because underlying net income is steady and cash flow funds buybacks. If true, shareholders get per-share returns via EPS accretion; if management stops buybacks or is forced to conserve cash, EPS could fall with revenue.

Absolute gross profit dollars are an early gauge of pricing power and demand; sustained declines in gross_profit would indicate Masco cannot pass costs or is losing volume/market share and would precede operating-profit deterioration. A falling gross_profit trend signals the business driver breaking — pricing power or demand loss — and would foreshadow weaker operating income and cash flow.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Masco is a scale manufacturer of plumbing/heating and other building products that converts steady aftermarket and new-construction demand into resilient operating profits and cash flow, which management can return to shareholders via buybacks to.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Masco

Where the evidence on Masco stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Masco's manufacturing scale and product mix deliver resilient operating cash flow that stays around $1B+ even when revenue softens, enabling shareholder returns and funding operations without relying on cyclical revenue growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Masco can sustain operating income near its recent ~$1.2B level through pricing and cost control despite modest revenue declines because of product breadth and factory/SG&A leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management's capital allocation (share repurchases and dividends) will continue to lift EPS even if revenue growth remains muted, because underlying net income is steady and cash flow funds buybacks.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Absolute gross profit dollars are an early gauge of pricing power and demand; sustained declines in gross_profit would indicate Masco cannot pass costs or is losing volume/market share and would precede operating-profit deterioration.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A prolonged U.S. housing downturn or large decline in renovation activity that meaningfully reduces volumes.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Raw-material inflation (resins/metal) that cannot be passed through to customers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Company halts repurchases to shore up balance sheet if liquidity tightens.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Masco

Loading the break-condition record for Masco.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Masco filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Masco filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A prolonged U.S. housing downturn or large decline in renovation activity that meaningfully reduces volumes.
  • Raw-material inflation (resins/metal) that cannot be passed through to customers.
  • Company halts repurchases to shore up balance sheet if liquidity tightens.
  • Temporary inventory valuation or one-time cost swings that distort gross profit (transitory).

MAS news

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Financial statements

MAS income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

MAS: quick answers

Which well-known investors own MAS?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported MAS shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

MAS in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported MAS shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.02%$5.4M+166.1%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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