Magnitude International

MAGHUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the MAGH thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
Price temporarily unavailable
— Today

Quote time unavailable · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
—
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
—
Regular-session low and high so far today.
—
Regular-session shares traded.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
—
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own MAGH if its Singapore electrical-work projects produce durable gross spread and cash rather than just reported revenue.

MAGH price history

Latest price—Today— (—)
MAGH —S&P 500 —Since first plotted close

Loading MAGH and S&P 500 price history…

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • MAGH’s customer problem remains recurring enough that electrical-work demand can keep converting into awarded projects rather than one-off activity.HoldingMateriality: High

    IFRS annual FY2025 revenue was $11.8 million, showing MAGH had a meaningful base of completed or billable electrical-work activity. If demand is repeatable, MAGH has a base to scale from; if awards are episodic, revenue becomes unpredictable and valuation should be heavily discounted.

    Watch: A slowdown in Singapore construction, renovation, or industrial electrical activity reduces the pool of tenders MAGH can bid on.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual FY2025 revenue was $11.8 million, showing MAGH had a meaningful base of completed or billable electrical-work activity.

    Open source ↗
  • MAGH can price and execute projects with enough discipline to retain a positive gross spread despite competitive tendering and input-cost volatility.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    IFRS annual FY2025 gross profit was $1.8 million on $11.8 million of revenue, implying MAGH retained a positive project-level spread. Gross spread is the first proof that project wins are economically useful rather than volume bought at uneconomic prices.

    Watch: Fixed-price contracts suffer cost overruns from labor shortages, materials inflation, or rework.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual FY2025 gross profit was $1.8 million on $11.8 million of revenue, implying MAGH retained a positive project-level spread.

    Open source ↗
  • MAGH must absorb public-company and operating overhead through scale and project mix rather than letting gross profit disappear below the operating line.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    IFRS annual FY2025 operating income was positive at $54 thousand. A contractor with positive gross profit but no operating leverage may never produce meaningful per-share value.

    Watch: Nasdaq listing, audit, compliance, and foreign-private-issuer reporting costs rise faster than gross profit.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual FY2025 operating income was positive at $54 thousand.

    Open source ↗
  • The business model only works if customer milestone payments, receivables collection, and supplier terms convert accounting profit into operating cash; that mechanism is currently under pressure.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    IFRS annual FY2025 net income was positive at $33 thousand, showing accounting profitability existed. If profits consume cash, MAGH may need outside financing even while reporting positive earnings.

    Watch: Customers delay milestone payments, retainages, or final certifications, stretching receivables.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual FY2025 net income was positive at $33 thousand, showing accounting profitability existed.

    Open source ↗
  • MAGH’s ability to bid, finance work-in-progress, and avoid dilution depends on preserving creditor and supplier confidence despite a thin equity cushion.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    IFRS FY2025 equity was positive at $459 thousand. Weak balance-sheet capacity can cap growth, transfer economics to lenders and suppliers, or force equity issuance at unattractive prices.

    Watch: Banks, bonding providers, landlords, or suppliers tighten credit terms because liabilities are large relative to equity.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS FY2025 equity was positive at $459 thousand.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

MAGH’s customer problem remains recurring enough that electrical-work demand can keep converting into awarded projects rather than one-off activity. If demand is repeatable, MAGH has a base to scale from; if awards are episodic, revenue becomes unpredictable and valuation should be heavily discounted.

MAGH can price and execute projects with enough discipline to retain a positive gross spread despite competitive tendering and input-cost volatility. Gross spread is the first proof that project wins are economically useful rather than volume bought at uneconomic prices.

MAGH must absorb public-company and operating overhead through scale and project mix rather than letting gross profit disappear below the operating line. A contractor with positive gross profit but no operating leverage may never produce meaningful per-share value.

The business model only works if customer milestone payments, receivables collection, and supplier terms convert accounting profit into operating cash; that mechanism is currently under pressure. If profits consume cash, MAGH may need outside financing even while reporting positive earnings.

MAGH’s ability to bid, finance work-in-progress, and avoid dilution depends on preserving creditor and supplier confidence despite a thin equity cushion. Weak balance-sheet capacity can cap growth, transfer economics to lenders and suppliers, or force equity issuance at unattractive prices.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its Singapore electrical-work projects produce durable gross spread and cash rather than just reported revenue.

Evidence assessed Oct 14, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Magnitude International

Where the evidence on Magnitude International disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 14, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • MAGH’s customer problem remains recurring enough that electrical-work demand can keep converting into awarded projects rather than one-off activity.

    sec.gov ↗

  • MAGH can price and execute projects with enough discipline to retain a positive gross spread despite competitive tendering and input-cost volatility.

    sec.gov ↗

  • MAGH must absorb public-company and operating overhead through scale and project mix rather than letting gross profit disappear below the operating line.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The business model only works if customer milestone payments, receivables collection, and supplier terms convert accounting profit into operating cash; that mechanism is currently under pressure.

    sec.gov ↗

  • MAGH’s ability to bid, finance work-in-progress, and avoid dilution depends on preserving creditor and supplier confidence despite a thin equity cushion.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Magnitude International’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Magnitude International, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Magnitude International.

peers+16%-43%-12%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -12% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+16% to -43%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Late SEC filingcondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 4,811 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 12% over the next six months, and 52% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Magnitude International filed an SEC report on 2026-09-18: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Magnitude International filed an SEC report on 2026-08-05: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Magnitude International filed an SEC report on 2026-04-30: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A slowdown in Singapore construction, renovation, or industrial electrical activity reduces the pool of tenders MAGH can bid on.
  • Fixed-price contracts suffer cost overruns from labor shortages, materials inflation, or rework.
  • Nasdaq listing, audit, compliance, and foreign-private-issuer reporting costs rise faster than gross profit.
  • Customers delay milestone payments, retainages, or final certifications, stretching receivables.
  • Banks, bonding providers, landlords, or suppliers tighten credit terms because liabilities are large relative to equity.

MAGH news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

MAGH income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

MAGH: quick answers

What is MAGH's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 565,601 MAGH shares were sold short, unchanged from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1000 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. MAGH short interest history
ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.