The Macerich Company

MACNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$25.38
−$0.24 (−0.94%)Today 1M +15.15%
After hours$25.380.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$25.62
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$25.24–$25.69
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 17 projected
Projected for 2027-02-17 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$16.03–$26.68
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own MAC if its mall locations remain scarce enough for retailers to lease into, and if redevelopment plus refinancing execution lets operating cash flow accrue to shareholders rather than creditors.

MAC price history

Latest price$25.38Today−$0.24 (-0.94%)
MAC +13.25%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Retailers continue to treat Macerich’s regional and community/power centers as valuable customer-access locations, so leasing demand can offset e-commerce pressure and store rationalization.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Item 1 Business description identifies Macerich as engaged in the acquisition, ownership, development, redevelopment, management and leasing of regional and community/power shopping centers. If this holds, rent and occupancy can compound from the existing asset base; if it breaks, redevelopment becomes defensive rather than value-creating.

    Watch: National retailers redirect new-store expansion toward open-air centers owned by peers such as Federal Realty or Regency Centers rather than enclosed regional malls.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 Business description identifies Macerich as engaged in the acquisition, ownership, development, redevelopment, management and leasing of regional and.

    Open source ↗
  • Macerich’s redevelopment and leasing capability turns obsolete or underused retail space into cash-producing tenancy rather than becoming a recurring capital drain.HoldingMateriality: High

    Item 1 Business description specifically includes development, redevelopment, management and leasing as core activities. Redevelopment is the mechanism that keeps mall real estate relevant; failure would turn asset ownership into a capex burden.

    Watch: Construction-cost inflation or permitting delays make redevelopment yields unattractive.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 Business description specifically includes development, redevelopment, management and leasing as core activities.

    Open source ↗
  • Debt markets remain accessible enough that Macerich can refinance and fund property reinvestment without handing the recovery upside to creditors through distressed sales, defaults or dilutive financing.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP liabilities were $5.84 billion at FY2025 year-end against $8.37 billion of GAAP assets. For a levered REIT, asset-level improvement only benefits common shareholders if financing risk does not absorb the gains.

    Watch: Mortgage or unsecured debt maturities are refinanced only at punitive rates that pressure cash flow.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP liabilities were $5.84 billion at FY2025 year-end against $8.37 billion of GAAP assets.

    Open source ↗
  • The interest, depreciation and impairment burden stops overwhelming the rent stream, allowing property-level recovery to reach common equity holders.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual net loss narrowed from $274.1 million in FY2023 to $197.1 million in FY2025. Revenue growth alone is not enough; the owner needs recurring profits or FFO-like cash economics to improve per-share value.

    Watch: Higher interest rates or refinancing costs keep consuming incremental rent.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual net loss narrowed from $274.1 million in FY2023 to $197.1 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Cash reserves and internally generated operating cash give Macerich enough time to execute leasing and redevelopment plans without forced equity issuance or fire-sale asset disposals.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $280.2 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $89.9 million at FY2024 year-end. The recovery thesis requires time; inadequate liquidity would convert operating progress into dilution or creditor control.

    Watch: Large near-term debt maturities or redevelopment commitments exceed available liquidity.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $280.2 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $89.9 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Retailers continue to treat Macerich’s regional and community/power centers as valuable customer-access locations, so leasing demand can offset e-commerce pressure and store rationalization. If this holds, rent and occupancy can compound from the existing asset base; if it breaks, redevelopment becomes defensive rather than value-creating.

Macerich’s redevelopment and leasing capability turns obsolete or underused retail space into cash-producing tenancy rather than becoming a recurring capital drain. Redevelopment is the mechanism that keeps mall real estate relevant; failure would turn asset ownership into a capex burden.

Debt markets remain accessible enough that Macerich can refinance and fund property reinvestment without handing the recovery upside to creditors through distressed sales, defaults or dilutive financing. For a levered REIT, asset-level improvement only benefits common shareholders if financing risk does not absorb the gains.

The interest, depreciation and impairment burden stops overwhelming the rent stream, allowing property-level recovery to reach common equity holders. Revenue growth alone is not enough; the owner needs recurring profits or FFO-like cash economics to improve per-share value.

Cash reserves and internally generated operating cash give Macerich enough time to execute leasing and redevelopment plans without forced equity issuance or fire-sale asset disposals. The recovery thesis requires time; inadequate liquidity would convert operating progress into dilution or creditor control.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its mall locations remain scarce enough for retailers to lease into, and if redevelopment plus refinancing execution lets operating cash flow accrue to shareholders rather than creditors.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Macerich Co

Where the evidence on Macerich Co disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 2 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Retailers continue to treat Macerich’s regional and community/power centers as valuable customer-access locations, so leasing demand can offset e-commerce pressure and store rationalization.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Macerich’s redevelopment and leasing capability turns obsolete or underused retail space into cash-producing tenancy rather than becoming a recurring capital drain.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Debt markets remain accessible enough that Macerich can refinance and fund property reinvestment without handing the recovery upside to creditors through distressed sales, defaults or dilutive financing.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Cash reserves and internally generated operating cash give Macerich enough time to execute leasing and redevelopment plans without forced equity issuance or fire-sale asset disposals.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The interest, depreciation and impairment burden stops overwhelming the rent stream, allowing property-level recovery to reach common equity holders.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Macerich Co

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Macerich Co’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Macerich Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-11: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Macerich Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Macerich Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • National retailers redirect new-store expansion toward open-air centers owned by peers such as Federal Realty or Regency Centers rather than enclosed regional malls.
  • Construction-cost inflation or permitting delays make redevelopment yields unattractive.
  • Mortgage or unsecured debt maturities are refinanced only at punitive rates that pressure cash flow.
  • Higher interest rates or refinancing costs keep consuming incremental rent.
  • Large near-term debt maturities or redevelopment commitments exceed available liquidity.

MAC news

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Financial statements

MAC income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

MAC: quick answers

When does Macerich Co (MAC) report earnings next?
Macerich Co's next results are projected for February 17, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 4, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is MAC's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 33.7M MAC shares were sold short, 11.9% of its shares outstanding, up 0.4% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 11 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. MAC short interest history
Have members of Congress traded MAC?
11 trades in MAC have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed MAC trade
Which well-known investors own MAC?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported MAC shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 0.6%. Fund portfolios

MAC in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported MAC shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
George SorosSoros Fund Management0.60%$48.8MNewQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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