Liquidia

LQDANASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$55.21
+$3.81 (+7.41%)Today 1M +101.64%
After hours$54.90−0.56%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$51.40
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$52.76–$56.79
Regular-session low and high so far today.
3.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Mar 4 projected
Projected for 2027-03-04 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$22.31–$93.61
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own LQDA if its PAH and PH-ILD focus becomes a durable commercial franchise rather than a one-year revenue inflection funded by continuing losses and rising obligations.

LQDA price history

Latest price$55.21Today+$3.81 (+7.41%)
LQDA +101.42%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Specialist demand in PAH and PH-ILD remains under-served enough that Liquidia can keep converting its disease focus into patient starts and repeat prescribing, rather than being treated as a marginal alternative.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    FY2025 GAAP annual revenue was $158.3M, up from $14.0M in FY2024. If adoption persists, Liquidia can become a real specialty-pharma business; if not, the revenue step will prove transient.

    Watch: United Therapeutics or other established pulmonary-hypertension competitors retain physician protocols and make Liquidia a niche fallback.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 GAAP annual revenue was $158.3M, up from $14.0M in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Liquidia’s focused specialty model can scale faster than its cost base because PAH and PH-ILD commercialization should rely on a concentrated prescriber network, not a mass-market sales infrastructure.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    FY2025 GAAP operating loss narrowed to $51.4M from $121.3M in FY2024 while revenue increased sharply. Operating leverage is the bridge from promising adoption to equity value; without it, growth can still destroy cash.

    Watch: Commercial access in PAH/PH-ILD requires a much larger field force, reimbursement team, patient-services infrastructure, or medical-affairs spend than the current model assumes.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 GAAP operating loss narrowed to $51.4M from $121.3M in FY2024 while revenue increased sharply.

    Open source ↗
  • The balance sheet gives Liquidia enough time to turn early commercial adoption into self-funding operations before financing risk dominates the story.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $190.7M at December 31, 2025, up from $176.5M at December 31, 2024. If the runway is adequate, shareholders can benefit from the launch; if not, dilution or restrictive financing may capture much of the upside.

    Watch: A litigation, regulatory, or commercialization setback delays adoption while cash burn continues.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $190.7M at December 31, 2025, up from $176.5M at December 31, 2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Liquidia’s product mix must carry specialty-pharma economics; if the revenue base is mostly low-margin pass-through, royalty-burdened, or heavily discounted sales, scale will not translate into value.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Estimated FY2024 GAAP gross_profit was $8.1M on $14.0M of revenue. Revenue quality determines whether growth funds R&D and commercialization or merely increases activity without shareholder returns.

    Watch: Launch economics are burdened by royalties, partner economics, manufacturing inefficiency, or high patient-assistance costs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Estimated FY2024 GAAP gross_profit was $8.1M on $14.0M of revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • The commercial franchise must grow faster than the claims on the enterprise; otherwise debt-like obligations, partner claims, or future financing needs can leave common shareholders with limited upside even if the products sell.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 liabilities were $283.2M, up from $150.9M at FY2024 year-end. For a loss-making biotech, enterprise value can accrue to creditors or financing providers before it accrues to common equity.

    Watch: Additional debt, royalty financing, or equity issuance is required before the company reaches sustainable cash generation.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 liabilities were $283.2M, up from $150.9M at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Specialist demand in PAH and PH-ILD remains under-served enough that Liquidia can keep converting its disease focus into patient starts and repeat prescribing, rather than being treated as a marginal alternative. If adoption persists, Liquidia can become a real specialty-pharma business; if not, the revenue step will prove transient.

Liquidia’s focused specialty model can scale faster than its cost base because PAH and PH-ILD commercialization should rely on a concentrated prescriber network, not a mass-market sales infrastructure. Operating leverage is the bridge from promising adoption to equity value; without it, growth can still destroy cash.

The balance sheet gives Liquidia enough time to turn early commercial adoption into self-funding operations before financing risk dominates the story. If the runway is adequate, shareholders can benefit from the launch; if not, dilution or restrictive financing may capture much of the upside.

Liquidia’s product mix must carry specialty-pharma economics; if the revenue base is mostly low-margin pass-through, royalty-burdened, or heavily discounted sales, scale will not translate into value. Revenue quality determines whether growth funds R&D and commercialization or merely increases activity without shareholder returns.

The commercial franchise must grow faster than the claims on the enterprise; otherwise debt-like obligations, partner claims, or future financing needs can leave common shareholders with limited upside even if the products sell. For a loss-making biotech, enterprise value can accrue to creditors or financing providers before it accrues to common equity.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its PAH and PH-ILD focus becomes a durable commercial franchise rather than a one-year revenue inflection funded by continuing losses and rising obligations.

Evidence assessed Oct 13, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Liquidia

Where the evidence on Liquidia disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 13, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening, 1 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Specialist demand in PAH and PH-ILD remains under-served enough that Liquidia can keep converting its disease focus into patient starts and repeat prescribing, rather than being treated as a marginal alternative.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Liquidia’s focused specialty model can scale faster than its cost base because PAH and PH-ILD commercialization should rely on a concentrated prescriber network, not a mass-market sales infrastructure.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The balance sheet gives Liquidia enough time to turn early commercial adoption into self-funding operations before financing risk dominates the story.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Liquidia’s product mix must carry specialty-pharma economics; if the revenue base is mostly low-margin pass-through, royalty-burdened, or heavily discounted sales, scale will not translate into value.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The commercial franchise must grow faster than the claims on the enterprise; otherwise debt-like obligations, partner claims, or future financing needs can leave common shareholders with limited upside even if the products sell.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Liquidia

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Liquidia’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Liquidia filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-30: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Liquidia filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-03: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Liquidia filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-12: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • United Therapeutics or other established pulmonary-hypertension competitors retain physician protocols and make Liquidia a niche fallback.
  • Commercial access in PAH/PH-ILD requires a much larger field force, reimbursement team, patient-services infrastructure, or medical-affairs spend than the current model assumes.
  • A litigation, regulatory, or commercialization setback delays adoption while cash burn continues.
  • Launch economics are burdened by royalties, partner economics, manufacturing inefficiency, or high patient-assistance costs.
  • Additional debt, royalty financing, or equity issuance is required before the company reaches sustainable cash generation.

LQDA news

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Financial statements

LQDA income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

LQDA: quick answers

When does Liquidia (LQDA) report earnings next?
Liquidia's next results are projected for March 4, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 10, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is LQDA's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 17.5M LQDA shares were sold short, 19.4% of its shares outstanding, up 1.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. LQDA short interest history
Have members of Congress traded LQDA?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 3 trades in LQDA by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 3 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed LQDA trade
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