Lamar Advertising Company

LAMRNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the LAMR thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$162.62
−$0.78 (−0.48%)Today 1M +11.03%
After hours$159.45−1.95%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$163.40
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$161.01–$164.00
Regular-session low and high so far today.
724.9K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 19 projected
Projected for 2027-02-19 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$122.31–$166.33
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own LAMR if Lamar is a cash-generative billboard REIT whose value depends on scarce outdoor-ad locations continuing to command local advertising dollars at high incremental margins despite digital-media competition and leverage.

LAMR price history

Latest price$162.62Today−$0.78 (-0.48%)
LAMR +10.57%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Scarce roadside billboard reach remains valuable enough to local and national advertisers that Lamar can keep monetizing its display network without relying on rapid new-site creation.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Item 1 profile text says Lamar is one of the largest outdoor advertising companies in the United States based on number of displays and has operated under the Lamar name since 1902. If this holds, Lamar can compound through pricing, occupancy, and selective acquisitions; if it breaks, the core asset base becomes a melting ice cube.

    Watch: Local advertisers shift budget from billboards to Google, Meta, retail media, or connected-TV products because those channels prove materially better attribution.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 profile text says Lamar is one of the largest outdoor advertising companies in the United States based on.

    Open source ↗
  • Regulatory and location scarcity allow Lamar to retain enough pricing power over advertisers and discipline over site costs to preserve high field-level economics.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Derived GAAP annual gross profit was $1.365 billion in FY2022, $1.414 billion in FY2023, $1.479 billion in FY2024, and $1.519 billion in FY2025. Stable gross economics are what make billboard revenue valuable; deterioration would mean growth is being bought with weaker pricing or higher location costs.

    Watch: Landowners capture more billboard economics through higher lease renewals or revenue-sharing demands.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Derived GAAP annual gross profit was $1.365 billion in FY2022, $1.414 billion in FY2023, $1.479 billion in FY2024, and $1.519.

    Open source ↗
  • Digital billboard conversion and operating scale should raise or defend yield without adding enough technology, maintenance, or sales cost to structurally impair operating profitability.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income recovered to $774.1 million in FY2025 after $532.0 million in FY2024. Digital displays can improve revenue per location, but the owner only benefits if the incremental revenue is not offset by higher depreciation, power, maintenance, or sales costs.

    Watch: Programmatic or short-duration digital buying commoditizes digital billboard inventory and pushes rates lower.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income recovered to $774.1 million in FY2025 after $532.0 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • The recurring nature of billboard advertising and the REIT structure should keep converting accounting profits into operating cash flow sufficient to fund distributions, debt service, and reinvestment.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $781.6 million in FY2022, $783.6 million in FY2023, $873.6 million in FY2024, and $864.0 million in FY2025. For a REIT, durable cash generation is the bridge from business quality to owner returns; if cash conversion weakens, dividend capacity and balance-sheet flexibility decline.

    Watch: A recession or local-business slowdown cuts billboard ad commitments faster than Lamar can reduce fixed site costs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was $781.6 million in FY2022, $783.6 million in FY2023, $873.6 million in FY2024, and $864.0.

    Open source ↗
  • Lamar’s leverage must remain financeable because the business carries substantial liabilities and modest balance-sheet cash while depending on recurring cash flow and credit-market access.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities were $5.907 billion at FY2025 year-end versus $6.932 billion of total assets. If financing stays available, leverage can support REIT equity returns; if credit tightens, more cash goes to lenders and less to shareholders.

    Watch: Credit spreads widen or interest rates stay high when Lamar needs to refinance debt.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities were $5.907 billion at FY2025 year-end versus $6.932 billion of total assets.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Scarce roadside billboard reach remains valuable enough to local and national advertisers that Lamar can keep monetizing its display network without relying on rapid new-site creation. If this holds, Lamar can compound through pricing, occupancy, and selective acquisitions; if it breaks, the core asset base becomes a melting ice cube.

Regulatory and location scarcity allow Lamar to retain enough pricing power over advertisers and discipline over site costs to preserve high field-level economics. Stable gross economics are what make billboard revenue valuable; deterioration would mean growth is being bought with weaker pricing or higher location costs.

Digital billboard conversion and operating scale should raise or defend yield without adding enough technology, maintenance, or sales cost to structurally impair operating profitability. Digital displays can improve revenue per location, but the owner only benefits if the incremental revenue is not offset by higher depreciation, power, maintenance, or sales costs.

The recurring nature of billboard advertising and the REIT structure should keep converting accounting profits into operating cash flow sufficient to fund distributions, debt service, and reinvestment. For a REIT, durable cash generation is the bridge from business quality to owner returns; if cash conversion weakens, dividend capacity and balance-sheet flexibility decline.

Lamar’s leverage must remain financeable because the business carries substantial liabilities and modest balance-sheet cash while depending on recurring cash flow and credit-market access. If financing stays available, leverage can support REIT equity returns; if credit tightens, more cash goes to lenders and less to shareholders.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Lamar is a cash-generative billboard REIT whose value depends on scarce outdoor-ad locations continuing to command local advertising dollars at high incremental margins despite digital-media competition and leverage.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Lamar Advertising Co

Where the evidence on Lamar Advertising Co stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Scarce roadside billboard reach remains valuable enough to local and national advertisers that Lamar can keep monetizing its display network without relying on rapid new-site creation.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Regulatory and location scarcity allow Lamar to retain enough pricing power over advertisers and discipline over site costs to preserve high field-level economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Digital billboard conversion and operating scale should raise or defend yield without adding enough technology, maintenance, or sales cost to structurally impair operating profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The recurring nature of billboard advertising and the REIT structure should keep converting accounting profits into operating cash flow sufficient to fund distributions, debt service, and reinvestment.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Lamar’s leverage must remain financeable because the business carries substantial liabilities and modest balance-sheet cash while depending on recurring cash flow and credit-market access.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Local advertisers shift budget from billboards to Google, Meta, retail media, or connected-TV products because those channels prove materially better attribution.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Landowners capture more billboard economics through higher lease renewals or revenue-sharing demands.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Programmatic or short-duration digital buying commoditizes digital billboard inventory and pushes rates lower.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Lamar Advertising Co

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Lamar Advertising Co’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Lamar Advertising Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Lamar Advertising Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-06: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Lamar Advertising Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-01: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Local advertisers shift budget from billboards to Google, Meta, retail media, or connected-TV products because those channels prove materially better attribution.
  • Landowners capture more billboard economics through higher lease renewals or revenue-sharing demands.
  • Programmatic or short-duration digital buying commoditizes digital billboard inventory and pushes rates lower.
  • A recession or local-business slowdown cuts billboard ad commitments faster than Lamar can reduce fixed site costs.
  • Credit spreads widen or interest rates stay high when Lamar needs to refinance debt.

LAMR news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

LAMR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

LAMR: quick answers

When does Lamar Advertising Co (LAMR) report earnings next?
Lamar Advertising Co's next results are projected for February 19, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is LAMR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 2.9M LAMR shares were sold short, 3.36% of its shares outstanding, down 7.3% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. LAMR short interest history
Have members of Congress traded LAMR?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 5 trades in LAMR by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 5 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed LAMR trade
Which well-known investors own LAMR?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported LAMR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Markel Group (Tom Gayner), 0.2%. Fund portfolios

LAMR in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported LAMR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Tom GaynerMarkel Group0.22%$27.8MNo changeQ3 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.