KBR

KBRNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$36.29
−$2.61 (−6.71%)Today 1M +10.07%
After hours$36.27−0.06%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$38.90
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$36.25–$38.79
Regular-session low and high so far today.
3.4M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$29.94–$45.37
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own KBR if its shift toward mission-critical government services and asset-light engineering technology keeps lifting profit quality faster than the underlying contract base grows.

KBR price history

Latest price$36.29Today−$2.61 (-6.71%)
KBR +1.90%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • KBR’s move toward specialized, higher-value services rather than commodity construction keeps converting modest contract growth into disproportionate operating profit.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual operating_income rose from $343 million in FY2023 to $449 million in FY2024, $659 million in FY2025, and $778 million in FY2026. If this holds, owners get earnings compounding without needing rapid top-line growth; if it breaks, KBR reverts toward lower-multiple contractor economics.

    Watch: Large government or industrial customers force recompetes into lowest-price technically acceptable awards, reducing the value of specialization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating_income rose from $343 million in FY2023 to $449 million in FY2024, $659 million in FY2025, and $778.

    Open source ↗
  • Demand tied to complex government, defense, space, intelligence and logistics missions gives KBR a more resilient revenue base than a traditional construction contractor.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $6.564 billion in FY2023 to $6.956 billion in FY2024, $7.710 billion in FY2025, and $7.786 billion in FY2026. If demand remains resilient, KBR can sustain scale and talent utilization; if government mission demand weakens or shifts away, the margin thesis loses its base.

    Watch: U.S. defense or civil-agency budget pressure reduces outsourcing of technical and logistics work.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $6.564 billion in FY2023 to $6.956 billion in FY2024, $7.710 billion in FY2025, and $7.786.

    Open source ↗
  • KBR’s specialized engineering and technology capability gives it enough pricing power and contract selectivity to expand gross profit without relying on balance-sheet-heavy construction risk.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual gross_profit rose from $828 million in FY2023 to $977 million in FY2024, $1.099 billion in FY2025, and $1.150 billion in FY2026. If gross profit expansion is structural, KBR’s business quality is improving; if not, revenue growth may come at unattractive project risk.

    Watch: Customers commoditize engineering services and demand lower markups in recompetes.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross_profit rose from $828 million in FY2023 to $977 million in FY2024, $1.099 billion in FY2025, and $1.150.

    Open source ↗
  • KBR’s asset-light service model must keep converting earnings into operating cash so growth is not funded by working-capital strain or debt.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating_cash_flow was positive at $396 million in FY2023, $331 million in FY2024, and $462 million in FY2025. If cash conversion holds, KBR can delever, reinvest, repurchase shares or pursue disciplined acquisitions; if it fails, accounting earnings become lower quality.

    Watch: Working capital builds because customers delay payments or contract milestones shift.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating_cash_flow was positive at $396 million in FY2023, $331 million in FY2024, and $462 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • KBR’s operating improvement only creates durable per-share value if liabilities remain controlled and management does not use leverage to mask weak organic compounding.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Liabilities declined from $5.196 billion at FY2025 year-end to $5.072 billion at FY2026 year-end. If balance-sheet discipline holds, more of the operating upside reaches equity holders; if leverage rises, refinancing and integration risk can overwhelm business progress.

    Watch: Debt-funded acquisitions increase liabilities faster than acquired earnings and cash flow.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Liabilities declined from $5.196 billion at FY2025 year-end to $5.072 billion at FY2026 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

KBR’s move toward specialized, higher-value services rather than commodity construction keeps converting modest contract growth into disproportionate operating profit. If this holds, owners get earnings compounding without needing rapid top-line growth; if it breaks, KBR reverts toward lower-multiple contractor economics.

Demand tied to complex government, defense, space, intelligence and logistics missions gives KBR a more resilient revenue base than a traditional construction contractor. If demand remains resilient, KBR can sustain scale and talent utilization; if government mission demand weakens or shifts away, the margin thesis loses its base.

KBR’s specialized engineering and technology capability gives it enough pricing power and contract selectivity to expand gross profit without relying on balance-sheet-heavy construction risk. If gross profit expansion is structural, KBR’s business quality is improving; if not, revenue growth may come at unattractive project risk.

KBR’s asset-light service model must keep converting earnings into operating cash so growth is not funded by working-capital strain or debt. If cash conversion holds, KBR can delever, reinvest, repurchase shares or pursue disciplined acquisitions; if it fails, accounting earnings become lower quality.

KBR’s operating improvement only creates durable per-share value if liabilities remain controlled and management does not use leverage to mask weak organic compounding. If balance-sheet discipline holds, more of the operating upside reaches equity holders; if leverage rises, refinancing and integration risk can overwhelm business progress.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its shift toward mission-critical government services and asset-light engineering technology keeps lifting profit quality faster than the underlying contract base grows.

Evidence assessed Oct 17, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Kbr

Where the evidence on Kbr stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 17, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • KBR’s move toward specialized, higher-value services rather than commodity construction keeps converting modest contract growth into disproportionate operating profit.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Demand tied to complex government, defense, space, intelligence and logistics missions gives KBR a more resilient revenue base than a traditional construction contractor.

    sec.gov ↗

  • KBR’s specialized engineering and technology capability gives it enough pricing power and contract selectivity to expand gross profit without relying on balance-sheet-heavy construction risk.

    sec.gov ↗

  • KBR’s asset-light service model must keep converting earnings into operating cash so growth is not funded by working-capital strain or debt.

    sec.gov ↗

  • KBR’s operating improvement only creates durable per-share value if liabilities remain controlled and management does not use leverage to mask weak organic compounding.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large government or industrial customers force recompetes into lowest-price technically acceptable awards, reducing the value of specialization.

    sec.gov ↗

  • U.S. defense or civil-agency budget pressure reduces outsourcing of technical and logistics work.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Customers commoditize engineering services and demand lower markups in recompetes.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Kbr

Loading the break-condition record for Kbr.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Kbr filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-01: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Kbr filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-30: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Kbr filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-10: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large government or industrial customers force recompetes into lowest-price technically acceptable awards, reducing the value of specialization.
  • U.S. defense or civil-agency budget pressure reduces outsourcing of technical and logistics work.
  • Customers commoditize engineering services and demand lower markups in recompetes.
  • Working capital builds because customers delay payments or contract milestones shift.
  • Debt-funded acquisitions increase liabilities faster than acquired earnings and cash flow.

KBR news

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Financial statements

KBR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

KBR: quick answers

Which well-known investors own KBR?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported KBR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

KBR in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported KBR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.03%$6.5M+113.8%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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