JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPMNYSEUSD
- — Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- — Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- — Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $342.07 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $340.82–$344.59 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 1.9M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 3:11 PM ET.
- Jan 12 projected Projected for 2027-01-12 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $279.10–$366.50 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own JPM if that scale keeps producing stable net income, manageable cash-flow volatility, and regulatory capital that permits buybacks/dividends.
JPM price history
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INVESTMENT THESIS
What must happen next
JPM’s size and diversified business mix will continue to translate balance-sheet growth into steady top-line revenue because revenue has risen alongside assets through recent cycles.StrengtheningMateriality: High
revenue grew from 128,695,000,000 (2022) to 182,447,000,000 (2025). If true, revenue resilience cushions earnings through cycle swings and justifies premium for scale; if false, cyclicality or concentrated losses will expose earnings and cut capital returns.
Watch: a prolonged capital-markets downturn that collapses trading and IB fees.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
revenue grew from 128,695,000,000 (2022) to 182,447,000,000 (2025).
Open source ↗JPM’s large equity capital base gives the firm the buffer to absorb shocks and sustain shareholder returns (buybacks/dividends), enabling EPS compounding over time.HoldingMateriality: High
stockholders' equity increased from 292,332,000,000 (2022) to 362,438,000,000 (2025). If equity is sufficient and losses manageable, the bank can continue buybacks/dividends that support EPS; if capital is impaired, returns will be cut and EPS arrested.
Watch: a major credit-cycle shock or large one-off loss that materially reduces regulatory capital.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
stockholders' equity increased from 292,332,000,000 (2022) to 362,438,000,000 (2025).
Open source ↗JPM’s operating cash flow is highly sensitive to balance‑sheet and market liquidity movements; persistent large negative swings in operating_cash_flow will constrain capital deployment and shareholder returns even if GAAP earnings remain positive.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
operating_cash_flow swung from 107,119,000,000 (2022) to 12,974,000,000 (2023) to -42,012,000,000 (2024) to -147,782,000,000 (2025). If cash-flow volatility normalizes, capital returns and investment are feasible; if volatility persists, the firm may need to hoard liquidity, slow buybacks, or raise capital.
Watch: systemic deposit outflows or market liquidity shock that force sustained negative cash flow.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_cash_flow swung from 107,119,000,000 (2022) to 12,974,000,000 (2023) to -42,012,000,000 (2024) to -147,782,000,000 (2025).
Open source ↗Continued expansion of JPM’s asset base will be the primary lever for future net-interest and fee income growth; as long as asset growth does not come with ROA or margin erosion, top-line expansion should continue.HoldingMateriality: Medium
assets expanded from 3,665,743,000,000 (2022) to 4,424,900,000,000 (2025) while revenue increased. If assets grow with preserved yields and credit performance, revenue and net income rise; if asset growth happens at lower yields or with poorer credit, margins and earnings will suffer.
Watch: competition for loans or deposits pushing yields down.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
assets expanded from 3,665,743,000,000 (2022) to 4,424,900,000,000 (2025) while revenue increased.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
JPM’s size and diversified business mix will continue to translate balance-sheet growth into steady top-line revenue because revenue has risen alongside assets through recent cycles. If true, revenue resilience cushions earnings through cycle swings and justifies premium for scale; if false, cyclicality or concentrated losses will expose earnings and cut capital returns.
JPM’s large equity capital base gives the firm the buffer to absorb shocks and sustain shareholder returns (buybacks/dividends), enabling EPS compounding over time. If equity is sufficient and losses manageable, the bank can continue buybacks/dividends that support EPS; if capital is impaired, returns will be cut and EPS arrested.
JPM’s operating cash flow is highly sensitive to balance‑sheet and market liquidity movements; persistent large negative swings in operating_cash_flow will constrain capital deployment and shareholder returns even if GAAP earnings remain positive. If cash-flow volatility normalizes, capital returns and investment are feasible; if volatility persists, the firm may need to hoard liquidity, slow buybacks, or raise capital.
Continued expansion of JPM’s asset base will be the primary lever for future net-interest and fee income growth; as long as asset growth does not come with ROA or margin erosion, top-line expansion should continue. If assets grow with preserved yields and credit performance, revenue and net income rise; if asset growth happens at lower yields or with poorer credit, margins and earnings will suffer.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
that scale keeps producing stable net income, manageable cash-flow volatility, and regulatory capital that permits buybacks/dividends.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for JPMorgan Chase & Co
Where the evidence on JPMorgan Chase & Co stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 14, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
JPM’s size and diversified business mix will continue to translate balance-sheet growth into steady top-line revenue because revenue has risen alongside assets through recent cycles.
JPM’s large equity capital base gives the firm the buffer to absorb shocks and sustain shareholder returns (buybacks/dividends), enabling EPS compounding over time.
JPM’s operating cash flow is highly sensitive to balance‑sheet and market liquidity movements; persistent large negative swings in operating_cash_flow will constrain capital deployment and shareholder returns even if GAAP earnings remain positive.
Continued expansion of JPM’s asset base will be the primary lever for future net-interest and fee income growth; as long as asset growth does not come with ROA or margin erosion, top-line expansion should continue.
Bear case: what would count against it
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · JPMorgan Chase & Co
No break has crossed JPMorgan Chase & Co’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MIXEDRegulation FD disclosure.
JPMorgan Chase & Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-13: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MIXEDReported results of operations (earnings release).
JPMorgan Chase & Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-13: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MIXEDOther material event.
JPMorgan Chase & Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-23: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
RISKS / FALSIFIERS
What could break the thesis
- a prolonged capital-markets downturn that collapses trading and IB fees.
- a major credit-cycle shock or large one-off loss that materially reduces regulatory capital.
- systemic deposit outflows or market liquidity shock that force sustained negative cash flow.
- competition for loans or deposits pushing yields down.
JPM news
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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
JPM income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
JPM: quick answers
- When does JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) report earnings next?
- JPMorgan Chase & Co's next results are projected for January 12, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 13, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is JPM's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 23.7M JPM shares were sold short, 0.89% of its shares outstanding, down 7.3% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. JPM short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded JPM?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 8 trades in JPM by 4 filers: 3 purchases and 5 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed JPM trade
- Which well-known investors own JPM?
- 4 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported JPM shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Viking Global Investors (Andreas Halvorsen), 2.7%; Markel Group (Tom Gayner), 0.7%; Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 0.5%. Fund portfolios
JPM in well-known investors’ portfolios
4 of 37 funds reported JPM shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas HalvorsenViking Global Investors | 2.7% | $949M | +7.2% | Q2 2026 |
| Tom GaynerMarkel Group | 0.65% | $83.6M | No change | Q3 2026 |
| George SorosSoros Fund Management | 0.48% | $38.7M | No change | Q2 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.03% | $7.7M | New | Q2 2026 |
