Interparfums

IPARNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$132.52
−$3.04 (−2.24%)Today 1M +18.10%

Updated Nov 11, 1:48 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

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Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
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Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
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Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$135.56
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$132.23–$134.75
Regular-session low and high so far today.
99.1K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 1:48 PM ET.
Feb 23 projected
Projected for 2027-02-23 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$77.21–$138.13
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own IPAR if Inter Parfums converts a high-margin premium fragrance portfolio into steady revenue growth and strong free cash flow, which funds shareholder returns and drives EPS compounding — provided its brand/license relationships and retail distribution hold.

IPAR price history

LATEST PRICE$132.52TODAY−$3.04 (-2.24%)
IPAR +18.51%S&P 500 -2.09%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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INVESTMENT THESIS

What must happen next

3 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Sustained revenue growth causally depends on maintaining and renewing the company's major brand/license and distribution relationships; if those relationships fail to renew or are narrowed, revenue will slow quickly.HoldingMateriality: High

    Revenue rose from $879.5m (2021) to $1,488.5m (2025), a ~69% increase (2021-2025). If these relationships persist, the company can keep its historical top-line momentum and leverage fixed costs; if they break, revenue and the margin base will erode and EPS will fall despite buybacks.

    Watch: Non-renewal or termination of a top licensing agreement or major distributor contract (one or more of the company's largest brand relationships) would directly remove revenues before any wider market shift appears.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Revenue rose from $879.5m (2021) to $1,488.5m (2025), a ~69% increase (2021-2025).

    Open source ↗
  • The company's gross-margin profile is sustained by premium pricing and product mix, giving it pricing power to absorb input cost swings and protecting headline profitability.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Gross profit has been stable and high: $839.1m (2023), $927.3m (2024), $947.2m (2025) while revenue grew — implying gross margins around ~63–64%. High and stable gross margins preserve operating leverage and cash flow even if SG&A or marketing must rise; a durable premium position supports predictable profits.

    Watch: Sustained price erosion from competitors or a pivot by fashion houses to in‑house/franchised fragrance programs that forces lower wholesale pricing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Gross profit has been stable and high: $839.1m (2023), $927.3m (2024), $947.2m (2025) while revenue grew — implying gross margins.

    Open source ↗
  • The business's low capital intensity and operating leverage causally produce strong operating cash flow, enabling buybacks/dividends that compound EPS even if top-line growth moderates.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Operating cash flow rose from $105.8m (2023) to $187.6m (2024) to $214.9m (2025), demonstrating improving cash generation. If cash conversion continues, shareholders get both operational growth and policy-driven EPS compounding; if cash is redirected to poor acquisitions or capex, the EPS tailwind disappears.

    Watch: Management pivoting to large, value-destroying acquisitions financed with cash/debt instead of returning capital.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow rose from $105.8m (2023) to $187.6m (2024) to $214.9m (2025), demonstrating improving cash generation.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Sustained revenue growth causally depends on maintaining and renewing the company's major brand/license and distribution relationships; if those relationships fail to renew or are narrowed, revenue will slow quickly. If these relationships persist, the company can keep its historical top-line momentum and leverage fixed costs; if they break, revenue and the margin base will erode and EPS will fall despite buybacks.

The company's gross-margin profile is sustained by premium pricing and product mix, giving it pricing power to absorb input cost swings and protecting headline profitability. High and stable gross margins preserve operating leverage and cash flow even if SG&A or marketing must rise; a durable premium position supports predictable profits.

The business's low capital intensity and operating leverage causally produce strong operating cash flow, enabling buybacks/dividends that compound EPS even if top-line growth moderates. If cash conversion continues, shareholders get both operational growth and policy-driven EPS compounding; if cash is redirected to poor acquisitions or capex, the EPS tailwind disappears.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Inter Parfums converts a high-margin premium fragrance portfolio into steady revenue growth and strong free cash flow, which funds shareholder returns and drives EPS compounding — provided its brand/license relationships and retail distribution hold.

Evidence assessed Nov 9, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

BULL CASE / BEAR CASE

Bull case and bear case for Interparfums

Where the evidence on Interparfums stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 3 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Sustained revenue growth causally depends on maintaining and renewing the company's major brand/license and distribution relationships; if those relationships fail to renew or are narrowed, revenue will slow quickly.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company's gross-margin profile is sustained by premium pricing and product mix, giving it pricing power to absorb input cost swings and protecting headline profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The business's low capital intensity and operating leverage causally produce strong operating cash flow, enabling buybacks/dividends that compound EPS even if top-line growth moderates.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Non-renewal or termination of a top licensing agreement or major distributor contract (one or more of the company's largest brand relationships) would directly remove revenues before any wider market shift appears.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained price erosion from competitors or a pivot by fashion houses to in‑house/franchised fragrance programs that forces lower wholesale pricing.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management pivoting to large, value-destroying acquisitions financed with cash/debt instead of returning capital.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Interparfums

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Interparfums’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Interparfums filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. MIXED
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Interparfums filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-20: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. MIXED
    Other material event.

    Interparfums filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-22: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

RISKS / FALSIFIERS

What could break the thesis

  • Non-renewal or termination of a top licensing agreement or major distributor contract (one or more of the company's largest brand relationships) would directly remove revenues before any wider market shift appears.
  • Sustained price erosion from competitors or a pivot by fashion houses to in‑house/franchised fragrance programs that forces lower wholesale pricing.
  • Management pivoting to large, value-destroying acquisitions financed with cash/debt instead of returning capital.

IPAR news

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

IPAR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

IPAR: quick answers

When does Interparfums (IPAR) report earnings next?
Interparfums's next results are projected for February 23, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 4, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is IPAR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 1.9M IPAR shares were sold short, 6.04% of its shares outstanding, down 0.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 9.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. IPAR short interest history
Which well-known investors own IPAR?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported IPAR shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

IPAR in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported IPAR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.01%$1.4M−29.9%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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