Independent Bank

INDBNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$84.62
−$0.19 (−0.22%)Today 1M +10.11%
After hours$84.620.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$84.81
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$84.20–$85.20
Regular-session low and high so far today.
139.3K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$66.17–$88.58
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own INDB if Independent Bank (Rockland Trust) compunds value by turning a sticky local deposit base and branch/wealth distribution in Eastern Massachusetts/NH into higher-yielding loans and fee income, accelerated by disciplined, accretive M&A (Enterprise) and conservative credit.

INDB price history

Latest price$84.62Today−$0.19 (-0.22%)
INDB +8.63%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • The company can continue to scale earning assets via disciplined M&A and convert acquired deposits into higher-yielding loans without permanently diluting returns.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    assets increased to 24,912,896,000.0 USD (period_end 2025-12-31) following the July 1, 2025 Enterprise acquisition. If true, balance-sheet expansion will drive revenue and operating cash flow growth while supporting EPS and capital returns; if false, acquisitions will be dilutive and capital-destructive.

    Watch: a sharp deterioration in local commercial real estate or regional economy leading to higher nonperforming loans and charge-offs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets increased to 24,912,896,000.0 USD (period_end 2025-12-31) following the July 1, 2025 Enterprise acquisition.

    Open source ↗
  • Disciplined loan pricing and a funding mix biased to core deposits will keep net interest margin and revenue growth intact (i.e., prevent margin compression), converting asset growth into persistent top-line expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    revenue rose to 857,520,000.0 USD in FY2025 from 689,743,000.0 USD in FY2024 (reflecting loan/deposit additions and higher NII). Sustained NIM is the channel from loan/deposit growth to higher net interest income, revenue and operating cash flow; if NIM falls materially the revenue lift from asset growth will be insufficient to support current valuation.

    Watch: sustained competitive pressure on deposit pricing from internet banks or local competitors forcing higher cost of funds.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    revenue rose to 857,520,000.0 USD in FY2025 from 689,743,000.0 USD in FY2024 (reflecting loan/deposit additions and higher NII).

    Open source ↗
  • Rockland Trust's underwriting and provisioning discipline will prevent a material, sustained deterioration in credit quality from the Enterprise loan portfolio, so credit provisions remain manageable.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    net_income was 205,122,000.0 USD for FY2025 despite recording a $34.5 million provision for credit losses on non-PCD loans acquired from Enterprise. Credit performance is the leading driver of future net income and capital; a spike in charge-offs or sustained elevated provisions would erase acquired revenue gains and force capital conservation.

    Watch: a regional recession, a downturn in Massachusetts/NH commercial real estate, or a significant corporate borrower default in the core footprint that produces escalating charge-offs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    net_income was 205,122,000.0 USD for FY2025 despite recording a $34.5 million provision for credit losses on non-PCD loans acquired from.

    Open source ↗
  • The bank can sustain meaningful dividends and opportunistic buybacks without depleting capital because retained earnings and integration economics will grow tangible book value per share.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    stockholders equity increased to 3,565,728,000.0 USD at 2025-12-31 from 2,993,120,000.0 USD at 2024-12-31. Continued buybacks and modest dividend increases support EPS per share and shareholder returns; if capital is eroded, management must cut buybacks/dividends or raise capital, diluting returns.

    Watch: a requirement to strengthen capital ratios following adverse credit developments or regulatory constraints that halts buybacks/dividend growth.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    stockholders equity increased to 3,565,728,000.0 USD at 2025-12-31 from 2,993,120,000.0 USD at 2024-12-31.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

The company can continue to scale earning assets via disciplined M&A and convert acquired deposits into higher-yielding loans without permanently diluting returns. If true, balance-sheet expansion will drive revenue and operating cash flow growth while supporting EPS and capital returns; if false, acquisitions will be dilutive and capital-destructive.

Disciplined loan pricing and a funding mix biased to core deposits will keep net interest margin and revenue growth intact (i.e., prevent margin compression), converting asset growth into persistent top-line expansion. Sustained NIM is the channel from loan/deposit growth to higher net interest income, revenue and operating cash flow; if NIM falls materially the revenue lift from asset growth will be insufficient to support current valuation.

Rockland Trust's underwriting and provisioning discipline will prevent a material, sustained deterioration in credit quality from the Enterprise loan portfolio, so credit provisions remain manageable. Credit performance is the leading driver of future net income and capital; a spike in charge-offs or sustained elevated provisions would erase acquired revenue gains and force capital conservation.

The bank can sustain meaningful dividends and opportunistic buybacks without depleting capital because retained earnings and integration economics will grow tangible book value per share. Continued buybacks and modest dividend increases support EPS per share and shareholder returns; if capital is eroded, management must cut buybacks/dividends or raise capital, diluting returns.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Independent Bank (Rockland Trust) compunds value by turning a sticky local deposit base and branch/wealth distribution in Eastern Massachusetts/NH into higher-yielding loans and fee income, accelerated by disciplined, accretive M&A (Enterprise) and conservative credit.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Independent Bank

Where the evidence on Independent Bank stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • The company can continue to scale earning assets via disciplined M&A and convert acquired deposits into higher-yielding loans without permanently diluting returns.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Disciplined loan pricing and a funding mix biased to core deposits will keep net interest margin and revenue growth intact (i.e., prevent margin compression), converting asset growth into persistent top-line expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rockland Trust's underwriting and provisioning discipline will prevent a material, sustained deterioration in credit quality from the Enterprise loan portfolio, so credit provisions remain manageable.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The bank can sustain meaningful dividends and opportunistic buybacks without depleting capital because retained earnings and integration economics will grow tangible book value per share.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • a sharp deterioration in local commercial real estate or regional economy leading to higher nonperforming loans and charge-offs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • sustained competitive pressure on deposit pricing from internet banks or local competitors forcing higher cost of funds.

    sec.gov ↗

  • a regional recession, a downturn in Massachusetts/NH commercial real estate, or a significant corporate borrower default in the core footprint that produces escalating charge-offs.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Independent Bank

Loading the break-condition record for Independent Bank.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Independent Bank filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-02: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Independent Bank filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-15: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Independent Bank filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-17: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • a sharp deterioration in local commercial real estate or regional economy leading to higher nonperforming loans and charge-offs.
  • sustained competitive pressure on deposit pricing from internet banks or local competitors forcing higher cost of funds.
  • a regional recession, a downturn in Massachusetts/NH commercial real estate, or a significant corporate borrower default in the core footprint that produces escalating charge-offs.
  • a requirement to strengthen capital ratios following adverse credit developments or regulatory constraints that halts buybacks/dividend growth.

INDB news

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Financial statements

INDB income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

INDB: quick answers

Which well-known investors own INDB?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported INDB shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

INDB in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported INDB shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.07%$16.8M−2.2%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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