IDACORP

IDANYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$146.85
−$1.42 (−0.96%)Today 1M +9.49%
After hours$146.850.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$148.27
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$145.09–$147.93
Regular-session low and high so far today.
722.5K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$124.12–$154.91
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own IDA if IDACORP (through Idaho Power) converts monopoly service territory, regulatory-approved cost recovery, and predictable load/customer growth into steady, high-quality cash flow and rising dividends by investing rate-base capital (transmission, renewables, storage) that regulators allow into.

IDA price history

Latest price$146.85Today−$1.42 (-0.96%)
IDA +7.86%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Idaho Power will continue to recover its prudently incurred costs and earn allowed returns because regulators have historically approved settlements and the company applies regulatory accounting, keeping returns predictable.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    MD&A: 2025 IPUC approval of the 2025 Settlement Stipulation (rate case) with new rates effective Jan 1, 2026. If regulators keep allowing cost recovery and returns, earnings and cash flows remain predictable and fund dividends and capex; if regulators deny recovery or reduce allowed returns, earnings and financing costs would rise and equity returns fall.

    Watch: Regulatory rulings (IPUC/OPUC/FERC) that deny recovery of major projects (e.g., B2H, SWIP‑N or new generation) or lower allowed ROE.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A: 2025 IPUC approval of the 2025 Settlement Stipulation (rate case) with new rates effective Jan 1, 2026.

    Open source ↗
  • Sustained customer and MWh growth will require Idaho Power to deploy the company’s planned capital program, and regulators will include prudently incurred additions in rate base, driving long-term revenue and cash growth.HoldingMateriality: High

    MD&A: customer count grew 2.3% in 2025 and MWh sales to retail customers in 2025 were the highest in company history. If load/customer growth persists and capex is folded into rate base, revenue and cash flow expand organically; if load growth stalls or distributed generation materially reduces load, the capital program may not translate to higher regulated earnings.

    Watch: Sustained slowdown in customer or MWh growth (e.g., large industrial customer loss, accelerated behind-the-meter adoption reducing retail load).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A: customer count grew 2.3% in 2025 and MWh sales to retail customers in 2025 were the highest in company.

    Open source ↗
  • Delivering contracted renewables, battery storage and transmission (B2H, SWIP‑N interests) will reduce Idaho Power’s exposure to volatile wholesale markets and power-cost swings, stabilizing operating cash flow.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    MD&A: 2025 agreements to purchase outputs of solar+100 MW battery projects (online by June 2027), B2H construction commenced (in-service expected late 2027), and receipt under a 20‑year storage agreement. If resource and transmission projects come online as contracted, power-supply cost volatility falls and operating cash flow becomes more predictable; if projects are delayed or over-budget, the company retains higher market exposure and cash volatility rises.

    Watch: Delays or cost overruns on B2H, SWIP‑N or contracted solar/storage projects.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A: 2025 agreements to purchase outputs of solar+100 MW battery projects (online by June 2027), B2H construction commenced (in-service expected.

    Open source ↗
  • Selling Oregon distribution and associated transmission assets will materially reshape Idaho Power’s asset base and could improve capital allocation and regulatory alignment if sale approvals proceed and proceeds are deployed prudently.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Item 1. Business and MD&A: definitive agreement entered Feb 13, 2026 to sell Oregon electric distribution business and certain transmission assets to OTEC. If the Oregon sale closes on favorable terms and regulators approve it, IDACORP can reduce complexity and potentially return proceeds or reallocate capital; if the sale is blocked, delayed, or yields poor economics, stranded costs or regulatory disputes could press earnings or require write-downs.

    Watch: OPUC/IPUC/FERC disapproval or materially adverse conditions attached to the sale.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1. Business and MD&A: definitive agreement entered Feb 13, 2026 to sell Oregon electric distribution business and certain transmission.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Idaho Power will continue to recover its prudently incurred costs and earn allowed returns because regulators have historically approved settlements and the company applies regulatory accounting, keeping returns predictable. If regulators keep allowing cost recovery and returns, earnings and cash flows remain predictable and fund dividends and capex; if regulators deny recovery or reduce allowed returns, earnings and financing costs would rise and equity returns fall.

Sustained customer and MWh growth will require Idaho Power to deploy the company’s planned capital program, and regulators will include prudently incurred additions in rate base, driving long-term revenue and cash growth. If load/customer growth persists and capex is folded into rate base, revenue and cash flow expand organically; if load growth stalls or distributed generation materially reduces load, the capital program may not translate to higher regulated earnings.

Delivering contracted renewables, battery storage and transmission (B2H, SWIP‑N interests) will reduce Idaho Power’s exposure to volatile wholesale markets and power-cost swings, stabilizing operating cash flow. If resource and transmission projects come online as contracted, power-supply cost volatility falls and operating cash flow becomes more predictable; if projects are delayed or over-budget, the company retains higher market exposure and cash volatility rises.

Selling Oregon distribution and associated transmission assets will materially reshape Idaho Power’s asset base and could improve capital allocation and regulatory alignment if sale approvals proceed and proceeds are deployed prudently. If the Oregon sale closes on favorable terms and regulators approve it, IDACORP can reduce complexity and potentially return proceeds or reallocate capital; if the sale is blocked, delayed, or yields poor economics, stranded costs or regulatory disputes could press earnings or require write-downs.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

IDACORP (through Idaho Power) converts monopoly service territory, regulatory-approved cost recovery, and predictable load/customer growth into steady, high-quality cash flow and rising dividends by investing rate-base capital (transmission, renewables, storage) that regulators allow into.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Idacorp

Where the evidence on Idacorp stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Idaho Power will continue to recover its prudently incurred costs and earn allowed returns because regulators have historically approved settlements and the company applies regulatory accounting, keeping returns predictable.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained customer and MWh growth will require Idaho Power to deploy the company’s planned capital program, and regulators will include prudently incurred additions in rate base, driving long-term revenue and cash growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Delivering contracted renewables, battery storage and transmission (B2H, SWIP‑N interests) will reduce Idaho Power’s exposure to volatile wholesale markets and power-cost swings, stabilizing operating cash flow.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Selling Oregon distribution and associated transmission assets will materially reshape Idaho Power’s asset base and could improve capital allocation and regulatory alignment if sale approvals proceed and proceeds are deployed prudently.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Regulatory rulings (IPUC/OPUC/FERC) that deny recovery of major projects (e.g., B2H, SWIP‑N or new generation) or lower allowed ROE.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Sustained slowdown in customer or MWh growth (e.g., large industrial customer loss, accelerated behind-the-meter adoption reducing retail load).

    sec.gov ↗

  • Delays or cost overruns on B2H, SWIP‑N or contracted solar/storage projects.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Idacorp

Loading the break-condition record for Idacorp.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Idacorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Idacorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-30: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Idacorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-15: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Regulatory rulings (IPUC/OPUC/FERC) that deny recovery of major projects (e.g., B2H, SWIP‑N or new generation) or lower allowed ROE.
  • Sustained slowdown in customer or MWh growth (e.g., large industrial customer loss, accelerated behind-the-meter adoption reducing retail load).
  • Delays or cost overruns on B2H, SWIP‑N or contracted solar/storage projects.
  • OPUC/IPUC/FERC disapproval or materially adverse conditions attached to the sale.

IDA news

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Financial statements

IDA income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

IDA: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded IDA?
5 trades in IDA have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed IDA trade
Which well-known investors own IDA?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported IDA shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 1.0%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

IDA in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported IDA shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
George SorosSoros Fund Management1.0%$82.6M−5.4%Q2 2026
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.07%$16.5M+14.2%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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