SeaStar Medical Holding
ICUNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $1.90 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $1.85–$2.00 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 143.9K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $1.84–$5.38 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own ICU if it does, operating leverage can compress losses and justify equity value.
ICU price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Initial commercial adoption will produce sustained year-over-year revenue growth as the company scales product sales.HoldingMateriality: High
Revenue: 0 (2023) -> 135,000 (2024) -> 1,234,000 (2025), showing early commercial traction. If true, revenue growth will drive operating leverage and reduce losses; if false, the company will likely need additional financing or to cut spending.
Watch: Failure to secure repeat orders or a meaningful customer base (demand concentration).
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Revenue: 0 (2023) -> 135,000 (2024) -> 1,234,000 (2025), showing early commercial traction.
Open source ↗The very high reported gross_profit implies the company’s revenues are productized, high-margin sales (not low-margin R&D/contract services), supporting potential pricing power if adoption scales.HoldingMateriality: High
GrossProfit equals 1181000 in 2025 against Revenue 1234000 (gross margin ~96% in 2025). Sustained high gross margins would allow incremental revenue to flow significantly toward operating profit as fixed costs are leveraged; if margins collapse, scale won't translate to profitability.
Watch: If 2024–2025 revenue was one-time license/grant or collaboration revenue rather than durable product sales, gross margin could fall when product revenue scales.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GrossProfit equals 1181000 in 2025 against Revenue 1234000 (gross margin ~96% in 2025).
Open source ↗Operating losses (operating_income) will continue to shrink as revenue scales because fixed R&D and SG&A can be spread over higher sales.HoldingMateriality: Medium
OperatingIncomeLoss improved: -17,842,000 (2024) -> -12,175,000 (2025), showing a reduction in annual operating losses. Narrowing operating losses would validate the commercialization model and reduce the need for dilutive financing; widening losses would threaten the balance sheet and share value.
Watch: The company choosing to increase commercial spend aggressively (sales hires, marketing) could temporarily widen operating losses.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
OperatingIncomeLoss improved: -17,842,000 (2024) -> -12,175,000 (2025), showing a reduction in annual operating losses.
Open source ↗Negative operating_cash_flow at current scale means SeaStar will need external financing unless operating cash flow turns positive; access to capital is a gating factor for the thesis.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities: -10,285,000 (2023) -> -16,007,000 (2024) -> -13,599,000 (2025), showing persistent negative OCF and sizable burn. If financing is available on acceptable terms, the commercialization plan can continue; if not, operations will be curtailed or equity heavily diluted.
Watch: Rapid conversion to positive OCF from large, prepaid orders or milestone payments.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities: -10,285,000 (2023) -> -16,007,000 (2024) -> -13,599,000 (2025), showing persistent negative OCF and sizable burn.
Open source ↗The move from negative to positive shareholders' equity reflects a recapitalization (financing or liability reductions) that materially reduced insolvency risk but raises expectations for near-term execution.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
StockholdersEquity: -13,870,000 (2023) -> -2,183,000 (2024) -> 10,416,000 (2025). A repaired balance sheet gives time for commercialization; however, earlier financings often create dilution risk and investors now expect execution rather than another balance-sheet fix.
Watch: Need for additional dilutive financing if revenue and OCF do not improve.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
StockholdersEquity: -13,870,000 (2023) -> -2,183,000 (2024) -> 10,416,000 (2025).
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Initial commercial adoption will produce sustained year-over-year revenue growth as the company scales product sales. If true, revenue growth will drive operating leverage and reduce losses; if false, the company will likely need additional financing or to cut spending.
The very high reported gross_profit implies the company’s revenues are productized, high-margin sales (not low-margin R&D/contract services), supporting potential pricing power if adoption scales. Sustained high gross margins would allow incremental revenue to flow significantly toward operating profit as fixed costs are leveraged; if margins collapse, scale won't translate to profitability.
Operating losses (operating_income) will continue to shrink as revenue scales because fixed R&D and SG&A can be spread over higher sales. Narrowing operating losses would validate the commercialization model and reduce the need for dilutive financing; widening losses would threaten the balance sheet and share value.
Negative operating_cash_flow at current scale means SeaStar will need external financing unless operating cash flow turns positive; access to capital is a gating factor for the thesis. If financing is available on acceptable terms, the commercialization plan can continue; if not, operations will be curtailed or equity heavily diluted.
The move from negative to positive shareholders' equity reflects a recapitalization (financing or liability reductions) that materially reduced insolvency risk but raises expectations for near-term execution. A repaired balance sheet gives time for commercialization; however, earlier financings often create dilution risk and investors now expect execution rather than another balance-sheet fix.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
it does, operating leverage can compress losses and justify equity value.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for SeaStar Medical Holding
Where the evidence on SeaStar Medical Holding stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 3, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Initial commercial adoption will produce sustained year-over-year revenue growth as the company scales product sales.
The very high reported gross_profit implies the company’s revenues are productized, high-margin sales (not low-margin R&D/contract services), supporting potential pricing power if adoption scales.
Operating losses (operating_income) will continue to shrink as revenue scales because fixed R&D and SG&A can be spread over higher sales.
Negative operating_cash_flow at current scale means SeaStar will need external financing unless operating cash flow turns positive; access to capital is a gating factor for the thesis.
The move from negative to positive shareholders' equity reflects a recapitalization (financing or liability reductions) that materially reduced insolvency risk but raises expectations for near-term execution.
Bear case: what would count against it
Failure to secure repeat orders or a meaningful customer base (demand concentration).
If 2024–2025 revenue was one-time license/grant or collaboration revenue rather than durable product sales, gross margin could fall when product revenue scales.
The company choosing to increase commercial spend aggressively (sales hires, marketing) could temporarily widen operating losses.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · SeaStar Medical Holding
No break has crossed SeaStar Medical Holding’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedOther material event.
SeaStar Medical Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
SeaStar Medical Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-05: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
SeaStar Medical Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-12: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Failure to secure repeat orders or a meaningful customer base (demand concentration).
- If 2024–2025 revenue was one-time license/grant or collaboration revenue rather than durable product sales, gross margin could fall when product revenue scales.
- The company choosing to increase commercial spend aggressively (sales hires, marketing) could temporarily widen operating losses.
- Rapid conversion to positive OCF from large, prepaid orders or milestone payments.
- Need for additional dilutive financing if revenue and OCF do not improve.
ICU news
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Financial statements
ICU income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
ICU: quick answers
- What is ICU's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 175,168 ICU shares were sold short, down 5.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. ICU short interest history
